Marlins vs Mets Odds and Betting Lines (Sep. 28)
- The Marlins and Mets begin a four-game set on Tuesday afternoon
- Both teams are currently on five-game losing streaks
- Find the odds, preview, and prediction, below
The Miami Marlins (64-91, 24-53 away) visit the New York Mets (73-82, 44-33 home) on Tuesday for the series opener of a four-game set at Citi Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 4:10 PM EST. It will be two quality arms on the mound in Trevor Rogers and Marcus Stroman.
Miami has the slight edge in the season series, going 8-7 against NY, and also won the last two games earlier this month.
Marlins vs Mets Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins | +150 | +1.5 (-165) | Ov 5.5 (-120) |
| New York Mets | -170 | -1.5 (+145) | Un 5.5 (+100) |
Odds as of September 27th at DraftKings.
Probable Pitchers
Rogers has undoubtedly been the ace of this Marlins rotation this season, posting an impressive 2.67 ERA. While his 7-8 record is a testament to the lack of run support he’s received, the lefty has struck out 151 hitters in just 128 innings of work while walking 44.
Since Rogers returned to Miami at the start of this month after a short absence due to personal reasons, he’s given up only eight earned runs in four outings. In his latest start, the 23-year-old tossed 5.1 innings while allowing four runs, but only one was earned. He also racked up 10 K’s against the Nationals.
The 2021 All-Star, who is in just his second season at the MLB level, has faced the Mets once this year and dominated, going six scoreless frames while surrendering a mere three hits and striking out 10. His ERA lowers to 2.60 on the road and also sits at 2.51 in day games. That being said, all signs point to another quality start here for Rogers.
Rogers vs Stroman
| 7-8 | Record | 9-13 |
| 2.67 | ERA | 3.00 |
| 128 | Innings Pitched | 174 |
| 151 | SO | 154 |
| 44 | BB | 40 |
Stroman has also been relatively consistent for the Mets, but he isn’t receiving much help from their lackluster offense. In 32 starts, the right-hander is 9-13 with a 3.00 ERA. He’s struck out 154 in 174 innings and allowed just 40 free passes.
However, Stroman has posted a 4.03 ERA in September and is coming off a rough outing against the Red Sox, allowing four earned runs and two homers at Fenway across 5.1 innings. New York is out of playoff contention at this point, but Stroman will be looking to finish the year on a high note here.
Marcus Stroman, Pretty 90mph Back Door Cutter. ✂️
And, K Hop. 🦘 pic.twitter.com/3jAbvqnhnx
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) September 22, 2021
He’s already faced the Marlins three times this season, compiling a 2.13 ERA. They’ve had a tough time scoring runs off him. In fact, their current lineup is batting only .117 against Stroman. He also has a terrific 2.96 ERA at Citi Field, which is a huge reason for optimism heading into Tuesday’s outing.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Mets Hitters | Batting Average vs Rogers | Marlins Hitters | Batting Average vs Stroman |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | .000 | Jazz Chisholm Jr | .167 |
| Michael Conforto | .000 | Bryan De La Cruz | .000 |
| Luis Guillorme | .333 | Lewin Diaz | .000 |
| Francisco Lindor | .000 | Sandy Leon | .500 |
| James McCann | .000 | Joe Panik | .333 |
| Jeff McNeil | .400 | Miguel Rojas | .167 |
| Brandon Nimmo | .200 | Jesus Sanchez | .000 |
| Dominic Smith | .500 | Magneuris Sierra | .000 |
| Jonathan Villar | .000 | N/A | N/A |
Although the Marlins are not even close to a playoff spot, they will be looking to get back on track here to conclude the campaign. They’ve lost five straight heading into Tuesday and just got swept by the Tampa Bay Rays. It was a very tough series for Miami from an offensive standpoint especially, scoring only five runs across three games.
Producing at the plate has been a huge problem for them all season long, scoring 3.9 runs per night, which is 27th in the Majors. The Marlins are also hitting .234 as a team and that ranks 25th.
Deep sea diving in Tampa Bay. pic.twitter.com/sHT3LxnmjC
— Miami Marlins (@Marlins) September 25, 2021
For a team that had such promise heading into 2021, the Mets have been a big disappointment. They’ve also lost five consecutive contests and have an atrocious 1-9 record in their last 10 games. While injuries are definitely a huge reason New York has struggled, their bats have simply not been consistent enough. The Red Sox and Brewers swept them with ease. The Mets drove in just six runs in the Milwaukee series, which was a three-game set. Hopefully, NY can give Stroman some offensive support here.
Got him! 💪 @JeffMcNeil805 ➡️ @javy23baez pic.twitter.com/xDfz1sJCDz
— New York Mets (@Mets) September 26, 2021
Marlins vs Mets Prediction
With two solid arms on the hill, this is definitely a tough one to call. Both guys have ERA’s of around four in September as well. However, the Marlins have one of the worst road records in the big leagues, while the Mets are well over .500 at Citi field. Take New York.
Pick: New York Mets moneyline -170
Quinn Allen is a sports journalist, with a background and education in broadcast journalism (BCIT '17). He is a full-time associate editor at ClutchPoints by day, where he writes about soccer, baseball, basketball, football, and more. At night, Quinn is a frequent contributor at SBD.
