Marlins vs Reds Picks & Odds (Aug. 9)

• Cincinnati is a -125 home favorite in Wednesday’s Marlins vs Reds odds
•  Johnny Cueto (0-3, 5.32 ERA) gets the ball for Miami, while Cincy counters with Graham Ashcraft (6-7, 5.18 ERA)
• Keep reading for the latest Marlins vs Reds picks and odds below

Both the Marlins (59-56, 25-32 away) and Reds (60-56, 29-30 home) have postseason aspirations. If they continue the current trajectory their on now however, playoff baseball will be nothing more than a pipe dream.

Miami and Cincy are each in the midst of a horrendous stretch, with the Marlins having dropped seven of nine outings, while the Reds have lost seven of eight.

They’ve split the first two games of this three-game set, and online sportsbooks are siding with the home team to claim a series victory in Wednesday’s MLB odds

Marlins vs Reds Odds

Cincinnati is currently a -125 moneyline favorite, in a contest with a total of 10. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35 pm ET at the Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH, with clear skies, 79 degree temperatures, and a 60 percent chance of showers in the forecast.

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Odds as of August 8 at Caesars. Get a Caesars promo code to bet on MIA vs CIN on Wednesday and check out Caesars Sportsbook Kentucky if you’re a resident of KY. 

Miami vs Cincinnati Probable Pitchers

Despite the Reds currently occupying a Wild Card berth, and the Marlins sitting just outside the playoff picture, neither team is considered a serious player in the World Series odds.

Cincinnati will give the ball to sophomore Graham Ashcraft on Wednesday, who’s been one of the team’s better starters over the last six weeks. Ashcraft has surrendered two runs or less in six of his past seven starts. He’s fresh off a season-high 8 innings in a loss to the Nationals, after blanking the mighty Dodgers in his previous outing.

Graham Ashcraft, Nasty 96mph Dead Zone Cutter. ☠️✂️ pic.twitter.com/2qscEWRNXc

— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) August 4, 2023

The 25-year-old posted a 1.84 ERA in July, and has pitched at least 6 innings in all but one of his past seven starts. He was victorious in his only outing against Miami earlier this season, and has a solid track record against the Marlins regulars in the MLB starting lineups. Ashcraft has held current Miami batters to a .224 lifetime average, and just five extra-base hits in 49 at-bats.

Cueto vs Ashcraft Stats

Former Red Johnny Cueto meanwhile, will counter for the Marlins. Cueto is fresh off back-to-back shaky starts, surrendering four runs apiece to the Phillies and Tigers. He’s posted only one quality start in five appearances this season, and his been victimized by the long ball three times in his last 12 innings of work.

Cueto’s home run per 9 innings rate has never been higher than it is this year, while he’s surrendering hard hit balls at his highest mark since 2019. His fastball velocity is surprisingly the fastest it’s been since 2016, but the 37-year-old is generating called + swinging strikes at a below 24% clip for only the second time since 2011.

Marlins vs Reds Predictions

Fortunately for Marlins and under backers, Cueto is catching the Cincinnati lineup at precisely the right time. His former team has scored three runs or less in five of their past six contests, and are slashing .196/.267/.417 during that stretch.

TJ Friedl is the lone Reds regular hitting north of .250 over their past six games, with five of his teammates including Joey Votto and Spencer Steer, batting sub. 180.

Marlins vs Reds 2023 H2H Results

Not to be outdone, the Miami bats haven’t performed much better lately. They’ve scored three or fewer runs in seven of nine outings, batting .240 as a team along the way. It’s not all doom and gloom for the Marlins though, as Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been a major bright spot over the last week and a half.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. – Miami Marlins (11)
pic.twitter.com/LLPrOziW0h

— MLB HR Videos (@MLBHRVideos) August 8, 2023

Chisholm Jr. is slashing .375/.444/.875 during that timeframe, with a pair of home runs and three steals. Luis Arraez meanwhile, who flirted with .400 for most of the first half of the year, is in a funk. He’s mustered only one hit in his last nine at-bats, and is just 3-for-18 (.166 avg) against Cincinnati pitching this season, his worst mark against any NL club.

Pick: Under 10 (-108)