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Mets vs Orioles Picks and Odds – Sep. 2

Paul Attfield

by Paul Attfield in MLB Baseball

Updated Sep 2, 2020 · 6:36 AM PDT

Baltimore Orioles pitcher John Means
Baltimore Orioles pitcher John Means. Photo by KA Sports Photos (Wiki Commons).
  • Pair of fourth-place teams send underachieving pitchers to the mound on Wednesday
  • Orioles have won five of their last six meetings, although Mets won nine in a row prior to that
  • Read on for all the odds, analysis and a best best for this matchup

At five games and counting following Tuesday night’s 9-5 loss to the Baltimore Orioles in the series opener, the New York Mets are currently the proud owners of the longest losing streak in the majors.

And the portents are definitely mixed when it comes to their chances of ending it in Wednesday afternoon’s mini-series finale against the O’s at 4:10 pm ET. While the Mets send Michael Wacha to the mound for the second time since his return from the injured list, the Orioles counter with 2019 All-Star John Means. However, neither is having a stellar 2020 season, with just one win between them and ERAs of 7.41 and 8.59 respectively.

As a result, the Mets are the favorite in the Mets vs Orioles odds.

Mets vs Orioles Odds

Team Runline Moneyline Total Runs at DraftKings
New York Mets -1.5 (+114) -139 O 10 (-112)
Baltimore Orioles +1.5 (-134) +120 U 10 (-108)

Odds taken Sept. 2

Wacha Whacked Around

It’s been a while since the Mets right-hander has shown glimpses of the burgeoning ace who pitched the St. Louis Cardinals into the World Series as a rookie back in 2013.

After a 6-7 year in 2019 with a 4.76 ERA, Wacha became a free agent and signed with the Mets. The Big Apple experience hasn’t gone well for the 2015 All-Star so far. In four starts he is 1-2 with a 7.41 ERA and a WHIP of 1.765.

In his last three starts – sandwiched around a trip to the IL with shoulder inflammation – he has a 9.75 ERA.

In addition, Wacha will be making his first career start against the Orioles. If there’s any advantage to be had there, it is that only one batter on the Baltimore roster has ever faced Wacha before, giving him a slight element of surprise.

Orioles Career Stats vs Wacha

Player AB HR RBI AVG.
Jose Iglesias 7 0 0 .286

Means Needs to Get Groove Back

After a 12-11 All-Star season with a 3.60 ERA in 2019, the Baltimore left-hander entered his second full MLB season confident of pushing his star higher.

It hasn’t happened so far. In five starts, Means has yet to make it out of the fifth inning as he has had to overcome both the tragic loss of his father to cancer as well as dealing with bouts of arm fatigue at times.

As a result, he is 0-2 with an 8.59 ERA heading into his first career appearance against the Mets. And he has been even worse at Camden Yards, where Wednesday’s game is taking place, making four of his five starts there but with a 10.13 ERA in that 10.2 innings he’s pitched there.

If there’s anything like a silver lining to be found here, it’s that his last appearance, against the Toronto Blue Jays on August 28, saw Means throw a season-high 74 pitches before being pulled in a 5-4 loss. He started that game strong, too, retiring the first eight batters he saw.

2024 World Series Odds Tracker
Read More

Recent History Sides With Baltimore

The other thing going in the Orioles’ favor is the recent head-to-head matchup between the teams. Baltimore has won five of the last six meetings, although three of those wins were of the one-run variety.

YouTube video

The Mets’ lone victory was in blowout fashion – by a 16-5 scoreline in August 2018 – but the team did win nine in a row before the Orioles’ recent run of success, taking every game from 2010 through to their last meeting in 2015.

Pick: O 10 (-112)

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