Orioles vs Braves Odds, Picks & Props to Target (May 7)
- The Orioles vs Braves odds list Atlanta as -165 moneyline favorites on Sunday
- Baltimore and Atlanta have the second and third-best winning percentages in MLB
- See the Orioles vs Braves predictions, odds, probable pitchers, and prop picks here
You better cancel brunch on Sunday, because a full slate of MLB games is on deck with the first contest starting at 11:35 am ET. That matchup features the Orioles and Braves, who own the second and third-best winning percentages in baseball. Read on for an analysis of Orioles vs Braves.
Online sportsbooks are bullish on the hometown team in the MLB odds, listing Atlanta as the chalk. This game is part of the Peacock and NBC MLB Sunday Leadoff package and will be the first of six straight Sunday tilts that start before Noon.
Orioles vs Braves Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles | +140 | +1.5 (-145) | O 9 (-105) |
| Atlanta Braves | -165 | -1.5 (+125) | U 9 (-115) |
The Braves are currently -165 moneyline favorites, in a contest with a total of 9. The forecast is currently calling for sunshine at Truist Park in Atlanta, GA, with 81-degree game-time temperatures expected.
Odds as of May 7th at FanDuel. Claim a FanDuel Sportsbook promo code for Sunday’s MLB action.
Baltimore vs Atlanta Probable Pitchers
Atlanta (23-11, 8-8 home) enters play as the favorites in the World Series odds, as they seek their second title in three years. Baltimore (22-11, 13-7 away) meanwhile, is still an extreme championship longshot at +5000, despite having the second fewest losses in baseball.
The Braves will turn to Bryce Elder on Sunday, who’s been virtually unhittable for most of the season. The 23-year-old has shut out his opponent in four of his six outings, yielding only seven total runs over 36 innings.
Elder was penciled in as the number five starter in Atlanta’s rotation, but so far he’s outperformed all of them with the exception of NL Cy Young odds favorite Spencer Strider. The right-hander blanked Miami over 7 innings in his last outing, allowing only three hits and striking out six.
Wells vs Elder Stats
| 2-1 | Record | 3-0 |
| 3.34 | ERA | 1.75 |
| 0.77 | WHIP | 1.06 |
| .171 | OBA | .221 |
| 4.5 | SO/W Ratio | 2.5 |
The Orioles will counter with a righty of their own in Tyler Wells. The 28-year-old has looked brilliant at times in 2023, but awful during other stretches. His latest outing was his worst of the season, as he was lit up by the light-hitting Royals.
KC tagged Wells for four runs in 6 innings, taking him deep three times. That marked the second start this season in which Wells has been taking deep at least twice, and the second outing where he’s coughed up four runs.
In between those two rough starts, he has pitched well, but it’s important to note the level of competition. He shut out Detroit two weeks ago over 7 innings, but only the Marlins are more lifeless offensively than the Tigers.
The Braves, on the other hand, have a top-five set of regulars in the MLB starting lineups, cranking homers at MLB’s second-highest rate.
Orioles vs Braves Betting Notes
Atlanta went deep twice on Saturday in a 5-4 come-from-behind win, getting bombs from Kevin Pillar and Marcell Ozuna. The Braves rank second in slugging and OPS, and top-five in average, hits, and scoring.
Ronald Acuna Jr. is the leader in the NL MVP odds, while teammates Matt Olson and Austin Riley are fourth and seventh respectively. Acuna ranks second in the NL in average, and tops in steals. Olson leads the team in home runs (9) and RBI (28), while Riley is riding a six-game hitting streak.
Ronald Acuna Jr. this season:
.352/.444/.578
6 HR
20 RBI
15 SB (1st in MLB)
11 2BTop 3 in average, hits and stolen bases. pic.twitter.com/pkoVNvHREL
— StatMuse (@statmuse) May 6, 2023
Not to be outdone, the O’s enter play with a potent lineup of their own. They rank third in a loaded AL in scoring, and top-five in OPS, slugging, and average. Catcher Adley Rutschman is a top-four AL MVP candidate, and top to bottom, Baltimore is just extremely balanced offensively.
Seven players have an OPS north of .780, while six of them have cranked at least four dingers. Ryan Mountcastle leads the team in homers with eight, while Jorge Mateo has the highest WAR (1.6), slugging percentage (.565), and OPS (.918).
Orioles vs Braves Predictions
The potency of both lineups brings over 9 runs into play. Each of the first two games of this three-game set have produced at least nine runs, while the Braves and Orioles have seen their respective contests go over the total at the fourth and fifth-highest rates in MLB.
Orioles vs Braves 2023 H2H Results
| Date | Away Team | Home Team | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 6 | Orioles | Braves | ATL, 5-4 |
| May 5 | Orioles | Braves | BAL, 9-4 |
Atlanta home games in particular have been high-scoring, going 13-3 to the over so far. Truist Park is one of the top nine most hitter-friendly parks for right-handed batters, and the majority of the Braves’ best bats hit from that side of the plate.
Picks: Over 9 (-105), Atlanta Braves Over 5 Runs (-118)
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As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
