Over/Under for Mike Trout Home Runs in 2019 Set at 36.5

• You can wager on Mike Trout’s key offensive statistics in 2019
• Trout looks poised to eclipse his Home Run prop
• Which bets offer the best value?

If Bryce Harper is worth $330 million, just imagine how much money Mike Trout will cost when his contract expires after the 2020 season. Trout’s career WAR (52.0) is more than double that of Harper’s (25.5), and he’s coming off a season where he trumped Harper in home runs, hits, stolen bases, batting average, on base percentage, and slugging percentage.

Trout has been the model of consistency over the past five seasons, averaging .304 at the plate, with 36 Home Runs and 90 RBI per campaign.

Mike Trout Statistics Last 5 Seasons

He had the highest offensive War of any player in baseball last season, and you can now wager on his 2019 offensive production in every major offensive category. Let’s dive into the numbers and see where you can find the best value.

Mike Trout Projected 2019 Batting Average

*All odds taken 03/17/19

Trout is a career .307 hitter and has eclipsed his prop total each of the past three seasons. His only sub .305 full seasons were in 2014 and 2015, in large part due to two of the lowest walk rates of his career. He’s been a much more selective hitter the last three years and had the highest combination of exit velocity and sweet spot percentage of any player in baseball in 2018.

Pick: Over .305 (-115)

Mike Trout Projected 2019 Home Run Total

Trout hit 39 home runs in 140 games last season, and 33 in just 114 games in 2017. He’s averaged a home run every 12.2 at-bats over the last two years and is the only player in baseball to finish top three in slugging percentage in 2017 and 2018.

Mike Trout just hit a 524-foot home run. pic.twitter.com/TIuNJYrsOD

— Joe Giglio (@JoeGiglioSports) May 3, 2018

Pick: Over 36.5 (-115)

Mike Trout Projected 2019 Hits

This is a massive total and one that only seven players in baseball eclipsed all of last season. Trout has five career seasons of 172 hits or more, but none since 2016. Part of this is due to injuries he suffered in 2017 and 2018, but a more important factor could be the team he plays for. The Angles are a middling organization, and the lack of offensive talent in the their line-up outside of Trout will limit his number of at-bats and prevent him from reaching this mark.

Pick: Under 170.5 (-115)

Mike Trout Projected 2019 RBI Total

This is the most mis-priced prop on the board. If you take away Trout’s 39 home runs last season, he drove in only 40 runs with runners on base, despite hitting .346 with runners in scoring position. That’s because the Angels got the worst production in the Majors from the leadoff spot in 2018, and none of the three hitters that preceded Trout in the order had an OBP above .300.

Trout drove in only 40 runs with runners on base in 2018, despite hitting .346 with runners in scoring position.

This year’s team isn’t that much different from last season’s, and Trout won’t have anywhere near the opportunity he needs to account for 100+ RBI.

Pick: Under 101.5 (-115)

Mike Trout Projected 2019 Run Total

This prop will ultimately come down to health. If Trout can play a full season, he should have no issue surpassing this total. For his career he averages a run scored every 5.89 plate appearances. If he can get 650-700 plate appearances in 2019, like he did in every season from 2013-2016, this will be a slam dunk.

Pick: Over 109.5 (-115)

Mike Trout Projected 2019 Stolen Base Total

Trout has the ninth highest successful stolen base percentage in MLB history (84.75%). If the Angels are once again a mediocre offensive team like many predict, he’ll be forced to be more aggressive on the basepaths. As the preseason AL MVP favorite, we know he’ll be on base often, giving him plenty of opportunity to swipe 25 bags.

Pick: Over 24.5 (-115)