Padres vs Dodgers Odds, Betting Lines, and Picks (Sep. 29)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers are -320 moneyline favorites over the San Diego Padres on Wednesday (September 29th, 10:10 pm ET)
- LA will give the ball to Max Scherzer (15-4, 2.28 ERA), while San Diego will counter with Ryan Weathers (4-7, 5.01 ERA)
- Read below for odds, analysis and a betting prediction
Time is running out on the Los Angeles Dodgers’ bid for a ninth straight NL West crown. The defending champs opened their final homestand of the season on Tuesday with a 2-1 win over San Diego, but didn’t pick up any ground on first place San Francisco.
LA enters play Wednesday against the Padres two games back of the Giants, and will need to win out and hope San Fran loses three of its final five games if they want to claim the division title.
Padres vs Dodgers Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres | +250 | +1.5 (+125) | O 8 (-110) |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | -320 | -1.5 (-145) | U 8 (-110) |
Odds as of September 29th at DraftKings.
The Dodgers opened as hefty -320 moneyline favorites over San Diego, in a game that features a total of 8. First pitch at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 pm ET, with clear skies and 60 degree night time temperatures on deck.
Probable Pitchers
Max Scherzer will get the ball for LA, in what will be his final start of the regular season. Scherzer will be the Dodgers starter for either the Wild Card contest or Game 1 of the NLDS, depending on where LA finishes up.
Mad Max has been nothing short of sensational in 2021, and is the NL Cy Young Award favorite ahead of Milwaukee’s Corbin Burnes. Since being dealt to the Dodgers at the trade deadline, he’s posted a 7-0 record with a 1.43 ERA, and an 85-8 strikeout-to-walk rate.
Max Scherzer has 103 10-strikeout games in his career.
5th most all-time. pic.twitter.com/4i9wpr3EQV
— MLB Stats (@MLBStats) August 27, 2021
The Dodgers are 10-0 in his starts, winning all but two by at least two runs. Last time out was the first time in Dodger blue he surrendered more than two runs in a start, as Colorado crossed the plate five times against him in only 5 innings.
Weathers vs Scherzer
| 4-7 | Record | 15-4 |
| 5.01 | ERA | 2.28 |
| 1.34 | WHIP | 0.83 |
| .276 | OBA | .163 |
| 2.6 | SO/W Ratio | 6.4 |
Scherzer is 2-0 in four starts against San Diego this season, and was virtually unhittable when the two teams met two and a half weeks ago. That day, he pitched 8 shutout innings, scattering a single hit, while striking out nine.
The Padres will counter with Ryan Weathers, who’ll make his first start in over a month. The rookie has split time in the rotation and bullpen this season, posting sub-par results. He owns a 5.01 ERA, while yielding a 37.3% hard hit rate, and a 1.87 HR/9.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Padres Batters | Batting Average vs Scherzer | Dodgers Batters | Batting Average vs Weathers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Caratini | .400 | Mookie Betts | .000 |
| Eric Hosmer | .265 | Corey Seager | .000 |
| Adam Frazier | .294 | Trea Turner | .000 |
| Manny Machado | .136 | Max Muncy | .000 |
| Wil Meyers | .217 | Gavin Lux | 1.000 |
| Trent Grisham | .182 | Chris Taylor | .000 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | .071 | Will Smith | .000 |
| Tommy Pham | .176 | Justin Turner | .000 |
He’s coughed up 30 runs total in his past five starts, failing to make it past 4.2 innings in each outing. Shockingly, he’s pitched well against LA though, allowing three hits and one run over 10.2 innings this season.
Padres vs Dodgers Pick
With so much at stake for LA and with San Diego having so little to play for, we should expect a much more motivated Dodger side. Add the fact that their ace is on the mound, and they’ve completely owned the Padres this season, and another LA victory appears likely.
— Los Angeles Dodgers (@Dodgers) September 29, 2021
The Dodgers have won seven straight versus San Diego, with all but two of those results coming by at least two runs. The Padres’ lineup has been cold this week batting just .234 and crossing the plate three times or less in three of their past four, and a date with Scherzer isn’t going to cure their woes.
LA’s moneyline is unbettable at -320, so play them on the runline at more favorable odds.
Pick: LA Dodgers -1.5 (-145)
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
