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Pirates vs Padres Odds, Lines, and Pick – Anderson vs Diaz (May 3)

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in MLB Baseball

Updated May 3, 2021 · 6:15 AM PDT

Gregory Polanco smacks a hit
Pittsburgh Pirates' Gregory Polanco bats during a baseball game against the St. Louis Cardinals in Pittsburgh, Friday, April 30, 2021. (AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates ride a four-game losing streak into Monday night’s series-opening clash with the San Diego Padres
  • The Pirates have been rocked by opposing hitters during their slide, but visit a Padres squad struggling to produce on home turf
  • We’ve got you covered with all the odds and trends ahead of Monday night’s clash at Petco Park

The Pittsburgh Pirates look to put the brakes on a four-game losing streak when they open a three-game series in San Diego on Monday night as +164 underdogs. The Pirates struggled badly during their recent five-game home stand, capped by a 3-0 loss to the visiting St. Louis Cardinals, and now sit alone in fourth place in the NL Central standings, 4.5 games off the pace. Listed as -196 favorites in their series opener with Pittsburgh, the Padres saw a four-game win streak halted with Sunday’s 7-1 loss to San Francisco, but have avoided consecutive defeats during a steady 6-3 run. However, the club has lost ground in the NL West standings as a result of Sunday’s loss, and now trail the division-leading Giants by 1.5 games.

First pitch in this NL matchup is set for Monday night at 10:10pm ET at Petco Park.

Pirates vs Padres Odds

Team Run Line Moneyline at FanDuel Total
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 (-125) +164 O 9 (-122)
San Diego Padres -1.5 (+104) -196 U 9 (+100)

Odds as of May 3rd.

Pirates Getting Pummeled

The Pirates face a huge challenge to shore up a porous defense as they kick off a six-game road trip. The club has been rocked for 7.75 runs per game during their four-game slide, while averaging just 3.5 runs per game during that stretch. However, Pittsburgh has been far more competitive in recent road contests, going 6-3 in their past nine while limiting opponents to two or fewer runs on six occasions.

The club has also enjoyed steady success in recent trips to San Diego, going 7-4 in their past 11 and taking three of four in their last visit to Petco Park, back in May 2019. The Pirates have had little difficulty racking up runs when battling the Padres on the road, scoring five or more runs six times over their past eight dates.

Padres Career Stats vs Anderson

Player AVG AB HR RBI
Victor Caratini .000 2 0 0
Jake Cronenworth .000 7 0 0
Trent Grisham .400 5 0 0
Eric Hosmer .353 17 1 3
Ha-Seong Kim 1.000 2 0 0
Manny Machado .231 13 0 1
Jorge Mateo .000 1 0 0
Wil Myers .188 16 0 0
Austin Nola .667 3 0 0
Tommy Pham .400 5 0 1
Jurickson Profar .125 8 0 0
Fernando Tatis Jr. .000 4 0 0

Southpaw Anderson Coming Off Season-Best Performance

Tyler Anderson is expected to get the call for the Pirates in Monday’s series opener. The veteran southpaw is coming off his best performance of the season last Tuesday at home against Kansas City. Anderson surrendered just three hits and one earned run over a season-high 6.0 innings of work, but failed to earn the win in Pittsburgh’s 2-1 victory.

Anderson also turned in a stellar performance in his start against the Padres on April 14. The Pirates hurler tossed 5.1 innings of four-hit, one-run ball to pick up the win in a decisive 5-1 victory, and has now given up just four total earned runs over his past three starts.

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Padres Struggling on Home Turf

The Padres will be eager to atone for their blown opportunity on Sunday. The club missed out on their chance to claim a share of top spot in the NL West with Sunday’s loss to San Francisco. Shaky play on home turf has not helped the cause. Since opening the campaign with three straight home victories over Arizona, the Padres have won just four of 13 at Petco Park.

A lack of offensive production has been at the heart of the Padres home struggles. San Diego hitters have tallied a meagre 2.46 runs per game over the team’s past 13 home dates, and have scored two or fewer runs in five of their past eight. Fernando Tatis Jr. has particularly struggled at the plate at home this season. The budding superstar shortstop has failed to record a hit in eight of his past 12 home appearances, compiling a dismal .122 batting average during that stretch. Tatis is not alone in his batting slump at home. The Padres have averaged under 5.5 hits per game over their past seven home dates. That has contributed to a steady run for the UNDER in totals betting, which has gone 12-4 so far this season.

Miguel Diaz – Career MLB Stats

Season W L ERA G GS CG IP H R ER HR BB SO AVG WHIP
2019 0 0 7.11 5 0 0 6.1 9 5 5 1 1 4 .346 1.58
2018 1 0 4.82 11 0 0 18.2 16 11 10 2 12 30 .225 1.50
2017 1 1 7.34 31 3 0 41.2 44 35 34 11 25 33 .275 1.66

Diaz Makes Rare Start

With Chris Paddack sidelined, the Padres will turn to right-hander Miguel Diaz on Monday night. Paddack is out indefinitely due to Covid-19, opening the door for Diaz to make his first start since 2017.

The 26-year-old has not seen any major league action since 2019, when he made just five relief appearances, allowing five earned runs and nine hits over 6.1 innings while compiling no W/L record.

Pick: Pirates +1.5 (-125)

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