Pirates vs Reds Odds & Picks (Sep. 13)
- The Pirates vs Reds odds favor Cincinnati as -137 moneyline favorites in Game 1 of a doubleheader on Tuesday, September 13, at 12:35 pm ET
- Pittsburgh will give the ball to Johan Oviedo (2-2, 3.90 ERA), while Cincinnati will counter with Luis Cessa (3-2, 4.97 ERA)
- Read below for the Pirates vs Reds odds and betting prediction
It’s hard to get amped up for a Pirates (52-88, 24-45 away) and Reds (56-83, 29-40 home) matchup in April, let alone September. It’s even harder to get excited for two games between the NL Central bottom-feeders in one day.
Fortunately, though, we can bet on these games. With Game 1 of their doubleheader on Tuesday being one of only two contests running before 6:00 pm ET, the matchup is going to draw plenty of interest at online sportsbooks.
Pirates vs Reds Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates | +118 | +1.5 (-182 ) | Ov 9.5 (+102) |
| Cincinnati Reds | -137 | -1.5 (+150 ) | Un 9.5 (-122) |
Odds as of September 13 at Barstool Sportsbook. Get BSSB’s $1k offer for new users who sign-up with this Barstool Sportsbook promo code
Cincinnati opened up as -137 moneyline favorites, in a contest that features a total of 9.5. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35 pm ET at the Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio with cloudy skies and 69-degree game-time temperatures in the forecast.
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Probable Pitchers
The Reds will give the ball to Luis Cessa. The 30-year-old has spent the majority of the season in a bullpen role, but has looked sharp in back-to-back starts. Last time out he held the Cubs to three hits and two runs over 5.2 innings, while the start prior he yielded only two runs to the Rockies in 5 innings of work.
The @Reds will have with Luis Cessa on the mound tomorrow, as they look to even up the series at Great American Ball Park. pic.twitter.com/ZK4GnC31wm
— Bally Sports Cincinnati (@BallySportsCIN) September 13, 2022
The big thing working against him is his control. Cessa currently boasts a 1.31 WHIP and .266 opponent batting average. Enemy hitters are making hard contact at a 44.1% clip, which is well above his career mark, and well above the league average. That’s led to an xERA of 4.71, which is his worst mark over the last four seasons.
Oviedo vs Cessa Stats
| 2-2 | Record | 3-2 |
| 3.90 | ERA | 4.97 |
| 1.47 | WHIP | 1.33 |
| .227 | OBA | .266 |
| 2.8 | SO/W Ratio | 2.4 |
Pittsburgh will counter with Johan Oviedo, who like Cessa has spent the majority of his season as a reliever. Oviedo was recently acquired from the Cardinals and his tenure with the Pirates is off to a rocky start.
He’s allowed four runs over 4.2 innings, walking three more batters (8) than he’s struck out (5). Control has been an issue over the course of his career, as he averages over one free pass every two innings.
Johan Oviedo might be the least efficient pitcher I've watched
— Joshua Froess (@AngryStatsGuy) September 7, 2022
Oviedo has been able to bail himself out of trouble by stranding runners at an 81.2% clip this season. That number is abnormally high and he’s due for some negative regression. If he continues to walk batters at the rate he currently is, he won’t last very long.
Pirates vs Reds Betting Trends
These two teams may have putrid records, but when they square off offensive fireworks usually follow. They combined for nine runs in Monday’s series opener, and have reached at least that number in eight of their 13 meetings.
Cincinnati is averaging over five runs per contest versus Pittsburgh this season, while their .723 OPS versus Pirates pitching is their fifth-best mark against any team in a minimum of seven matchups.
.@Aristide_Aquino is hitting .375 with seven XBH over his last ten games! 💀 pic.twitter.com/hp97TnWkRT
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) September 12, 2022
Losses have been piling up for the Reds, but it’s worth noting that seven of their past nine outings have produced at least nine runs.
Pittsburgh on the other hand is simply a bad offense, there’s no way around it. They rank bottom three in baseball in runs per game, slugging and OPS. They are, however, trending up.
Got the dub tonight.#RaiseIt pic.twitter.com/2dwNXEDLhv
— Pittsburgh Pirates (@Pirates) September 13, 2022
The Pirates scored six times in Monday’s series opener, and are slashing .276/.329/.452 over the last week, which is a roughly a 20% improvement on their season-long stats.
Pirates vs Reds Last 10 Meetings
| Date | Away Team | Home Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/12/22 | Pirates | Reds | PIT, 6-3 |
| 8/21/22 | Reds | Pirates | CIN, 9-5 |
| 8/20/22 | Reds | Pirates | CIN, 10-1 |
| 8/19/22 | Reds | Pirates | PIT, 5-4 |
| 7/7/22 | Pirates | Reds | CIN, 5-1 |
| 7/7/22 | Pirates | Reds | PIT, 4-2 |
| 5/15/22 | Reds | Pirates | PIT, 1-0 |
| 5/14/22 | Reds | Pirates | PIT, 3-1 |
| 5/13/22 | Reds | Pirates | CIN, 8-2 |
| 5/12/22 | Reds | Pirates | CIN, 4-0 |
Pirates vs Reds Pick
In other words, we can play the over confidently in this matchup. Neither starter instills fear in the opposition, while both teams’ bullpens rank in the bottom-four in ERA.
Four of Pittsburgh’s last five outings have either met or exceeded the total, while each of the Pirates’ last three meetings versus Cincy have gone over.
The Reds meanwhile, have been an over darling all season. Just four teams in MLB have seen a higher percentage of their games clear the total than Cincy, and interestingly they’re all from the National League (Braves, Mets, Phillies, Brewers).
Pick: Over 9.5 (+102)
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As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
