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Yankees vs Red Sox Odds, Picks, and Probable Pitchers (Sep. 24)

Quinn Allen

by Quinn Allen in MLB Baseball

Updated Sep 24, 2021 · 5:21 AM PDT

Yankees vs Athletics
New York Yankees' Joey Gallo, center, is congratulated by Aaron Judge (99) after hitting a three-run home run against the Oakland Athletics during the third inning of a baseball game Thursday, Aug. 26, 2021, in Oakland, Calif. (AP Photo/Tony Avelar)
  • The Yankees and Red Sox begin a massive three-game set at Fenway on Friday
  • Both teams are fighting for a Wild Card spot in AL
  • Find the odds, preview, and prediction, below

In one of the most important series of the entire season, the New York Yankees (86-67, 41-34 away) visit the Boston Red Sox (88-65, 49-29 home) on Friday for the first of a three-game set. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 PM EST at Fenway Park.

As it stands right now, the Yanks sit in the final Wild Card spot, sitting two games behind Boston. However, it’s extremely tight, with the Blue Jays a half-game back of NY.

For the opener, The Bronx Bombers will send Gerrit Cole to the hill, with Boston handing Nathan Eovaldi the ball.

Yankees vs Red Sox Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
New York Yankees -115 -1.5 (+160) Ov 9 (-115)
Boston Red Sox -105 +1.5 (-190) Un 9 (-105)

Odds as of September 23rd at DraftKings.

 

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Probable Pitchers

Cole has undoubtedly been the ace of this Yankees rotation this season, going 15-8 with a sharp 3.03 ERA. He’s also third in the entire Majors with 231 strikeouts in just 169.1 innings of work. However, the hard-throwing righty is coming off a rather dismal outing that was very unlike him. He was absolutely torched by the Cleveland Indians, lasting just 5.2 frames after giving up 10 hits, seven earned, and two long balls.

However, prior to that start, Cole had surrendered a maximum of two runs in his previous six outings.

The Red Sox are a lineup that he is very familiar with, having already faced them three times in 2021. However, Boston’s potent offense has hit him around, with Cole compiling a rough 5.06 ERA. But, the 31-year-old has a 1.86 ERA in night games. New York desperately needs a good start out of Cole here as they look to extend their win streak.

It’s also important to note that, even though Alex Cora’s squad has done damage against him this season, he holds a career 3.74 ERA versus Boston.

Cole vs Eovaldi

Gerrit Cole
VS
Nathan Eovaldi
15-8 Record 10-8
3.03 ERA 3.58
169.1 Innings Pitched 173.2
231 SO 188
38 BB 30

Eovaldi has also been the leading catalyst for a Red Sox rotation that hasn’t been great. He’s thrown a team-high 173.2 innings while posting a 10-8 record and 3.58 ERA. Despite having control issues in the past,  the right-hander has been dominant with his command, striking out 188 and walking only 30 batters.

In his last start, Eovaldi allowed three earned across five innings against the Orioles while racking up eight K’s. While it wasn’t a fantastic outing, he’s been very impressive this month, compiling 2.70 ERA in four appearances. Eovaldi has already pitched against the Yankees five times this season, going 2-1 with a terrific 2.01 ERA. They have a very hard time hitting off him. The veteran also pitches great at Fenway with a 2.99 ERA in 2021.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Red Sox Hitters Batting Average vs Cole Yankees Hitters Batting Average vs Eovaldi
Christian Arroyo .500 Joey Gallo .000
Xander Bogaerts .278 Brett Gardner .185
Bobby Dalbec .000 Kyle Higashioka .1000
Rafael Devers .188 Aaron Judge .368
Enrique Hernandez .400 DJ LaMahieu .385
Jose Iglesias .186 Rougned Odor .083
J.D. Martinez .167 Gary Sanchez .143
Hunter Renfroe .167 Aaron Judge .208
Kyle Schwarber .111 Gleyber Torres .222
Travis Shaw .176 Gio Urshela .250
Christian Vazquez .250 Luke Voit .364
Alex Verdugo .364 Tyler Wade .000

After a COVID-19 outbreak left their roster severely depleted just weeks ago, the Red Sox have bounced back and won seven straight games. They just swept the Orioles and Mets, capping off the finale against New York with a 12-5 victory. Kyle Schwarber clubbed two homers, while Chris Sale tossed five stellar innings. Boston’s offense is clicking on all cylinders right now, hitting a mind-boggling .337 across the last five contests.

The Yanks are also enjoying an unbeaten run as well, winning three straight against the lowly Texas Rangers. It was exactly what New York needed after back-to-back embarrassing losses to Cleveland.

While this Red Sox series will be a tall task, Friday’s opener is arguably the biggest challenge because of just how well Eovaldi has pitched against them. The Yankees scored 18 runs across the last three contests though and will be looking to carry their hot bats into Fenway.

https://twitter.com/Yankees/status/1440864323132289027

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction

Two top-tier arms on the mound make it tough to call. It’s hard to imagine Cole having another bad start, but the Red Sox see the ball extremely well off him. It’s going to be a close one, but I’m giving Boston the upper hand here behind a gem from Eovaldi.

Pick: Boston Red Sox moneyline (-105)

 

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