UFC Fight Night: Araujo vs Grasso – Odds, Picks & Predictions

• Women’s flyweight contenders clash in the main event at UFC Vegas 62, as Alexa Grasso takes on Viviane Araujo
• The co-main event features a battle of bantamweights, as veteran Cub Swanson tangles with Jonathan Martinez
• Read on for the UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs Araujo predictions and odds

Top women’s flyweight contenders will be aiming to earn the right at a coveted UFC title shot on Saturday when Alexa Grasso takes on Viviane Araujo in the main event at UFC Fight Night 212. Grasso has overtaken Araujo while rising to No. 5 in the UFC women’s flyweight division during a three-fight win streak, capped by a first-round submission win over Joanne Wood in her last outing seven months ago. Araujo remains stalled at No. 6 in the rankings in the wake of a unanimous decision win over Andrea Lee in May.

UFC Vegas 62 prelim action gets underway at 4:00 pm ET on Saturday night at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, with all the action available on ESPN+. The main card follows on ESPN+ at 7:00 pm ET.

UFC Vegas 62 Odds

Odds at Barstool Sportsbook as of October 12, 2022.

Grasso is currently a -230 betting favorite with Araujo coming back as a +180 underdog. The penultimate fight of the night has a similar betting line: Jonathan Martinez is -220 chalk over Cub Swanson (+175).

Araujo vs Grasso Odds & Prediction

Viviane Araujo has gone the distance in each of the dates during her current 4-2-0 run. That marks a significant turnaround for the 35-year-old Brazilian, who finished opponents on seven occasions during a 7-1-0 start to her pro MMA career.

Alexa Grasso forced an opponent to tap out for the first time in her pro MMA career in her recent opening-round finish of Joanne Wood at UFC Columbus. With that win, Grasso now rides her first three-fight win streak since joining the UFC back in 2016.

Grasso vs Araujo Stats

Araujo responded well in her last outing, which came in the wake of a decisive unanimous decision loss to Katlyn Chookagian a year earlier at UFC 262. While she struggled to keep pace with Andrea Lee’s striking, Araujo convinced the judges with a well rounded performance that featured three takedowns and two submission attempts.

UFC 262 results: Katlyn Chookagian uses volume striking attack to win unanimous decision over Viviane Araujo (@DamonMartin) https://t.co/swrbdBg1tL pic.twitter.com/kinDGwRTaC

— MMAFighting.com (@MMAFighting) May 16, 2021

“Vivi” had struggled in outings in which she was outstruck, falling to defeat in two of her past three.

UFC Vegas 9 results: Vivane Araujo busts up and bloodies Montana De La Rosa in striking showcase (@DamonMartin) https://t.co/euijIa4kRS pic.twitter.com/424qoQH0z1

— MMAFighting.com (@MMAFighting) September 6, 2020

Indeed, Araujo has shown steady improvement when the action goes to the mat, establishing control for almost 14 total minutes over her past two fights.

Grasso vs Araujo Recent Fights

A skilled boxer, Grasso established herself as a knockout specialist early in her MMA career while tallying first-round wins by KO and TKO in four of her first six pro fights. Over the course of her MMA career, Grasso has landed an average of almost five significant strikes per round, and sports an impressive 63% strike defense.

A 5️⃣ rounds veremos a @AlexaGrasso 🇲🇽 en la estelar de #UFCVegas62

Sáb. 15 de Oct. https://t.co/GES61KpDJ7 pic.twitter.com/gmo0jNRTQ1

— UFC Español (@UFCEspanol) October 9, 2022

While she also holds a purple belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, Grasso has more regularly come out on the wrong end of takedown attempts, and has been brought to the mat on 15 total occasions over her past eight fights.

Alexa Grasso gave the current Straw Weight champ all she could handle in Mexico City, which sits a mere 7,349 feet above sea level pic.twitter.com/sLgeTkTPWI

— evaaaaaand (@Evaaaaaand) October 9, 2022

Grasso has seen nine of her 14 career wins come by decision, but so far she not yet seen any action in championship rounds.

Pick: Grasso by decision (+130)

Swanson vs Martinez Odds & Prediction

Cub Swanson has enjoyed a career renaissance since snapping a brutal four-fight losing streak, claiming victory in two of his past three outings, capped by a crushing first-round TKO of Darren Elkins last time out at UFC Vegas 45.

Cub Swanson is such a fun fighter man. pic.twitter.com/c65Kf8eNZA

— 𝕄𝕒𝕟𝕝𝕖𝕥 𝕂𝕚𝕟𝕘 👑 (@TheMMAHaven) October 11, 2022

“Killer” is one of the most experienced fighters in MMA today. Since joining the UFC in 2011, Swanson has racked up a 13-8-0 record and has claimed a record nine performance bonuses.

Swanson vs Martinez Recent Fights

Jonathan Martinez has split his time fighting as both a featherweight and bantamweight over the course of eight-year pro MMA career. The 28-year-old American has produced mixed results while fighting at bantamweight, going 6-3-0.

Jonathan Martinez was head-hunting in round two 😨 #UFCVegas5

(🎥 @ufc)pic.twitter.com/vgVS01bMVH

— MMAFighting.com (@MMAFighting) August 2, 2020

Martinez has been knocked down in two of his past four fights, including his first ever loss by finish, a second-round KO defeat at the hands of Davey Grant at UFC Vegas 21.

Pick: Any fighter to win by KO, TKO, DQ (+155)

Other UFC Vegas 62 Picks

• Alonzo Menifield (-215): Fresh off a dominating first-round finish of Askar Mozharov, Menifield is poised to claim his fourth win in five outings in his date with rapidly declining Misha Cirkunov
• Askar Askarov (-250): Askarov arguably deserved a better fate in his recent unanimous lodd to UFC flyweight title contender Kai Kara-France, which marked his only loss in 14 career fights
• Dusko Todorovic (-215): Todorovic is coming off a brutal opening-round KO loss to Chidi Njokuani, but should have enough in the tank to get past Jordan Wright, who has been outclassed in three of four outings.