UFC Vegas 42 Odds, Picks and Betting Preview – Holloway vs Rodriguez
- The UFC returns to the Apex after back-to-back numbered events
- Max Holloway battles the returning Yair Rodriguez in what should be a phenomenal fight
- See the odds, picks, and betting preview for the full UFC Vegas 42 main card, below
The UFC is back at the UFC Apex on Saturday, November 13th for UFC Vegas 42 after back-to-back numbered events in Abu Dhabi and Madison Square Garden, respectively.
In the main event of UFC Vegas 42, Max Holloway takes on Yair Rodriguez – who has not fought since 2019 – in a featherweight scrap. Holloway is a -650 favorite while the Mexican is a +460 underdog.
UFC Vegas 42 main card airs live on ESPN+ at 4 PM EST. The table below shows UFC odds for the main card at DraftKings followed by best bets.
Make sure to check out the latest sportsbook promos before placing your bets for UFC Vegas 42.
UFC Vegas 42 Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Max Holloway | -650 |
| Yair Rodriguez | +460 |
| Fighter | Odds |
| Ben Rothwell | -140 |
| Marcos Rogerio de Lima | +120 |
| Fighter | Odds |
| Felicia Spencer | -290 |
| Leah Letson | +225 |
| Fighter | Odds |
| Roman Dolidze | +185 |
| Kyle Daukaus | -225 |
| Fighter | Odds |
| Song Yadong | -135 |
| Julio Arce | +115 |
All odds as of Nov. 8 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Can Rodriguez Pull Off the Upset?
Max Holloway is considered by many fans a legitimate title contender, as at UFC 251 he lost a controversial split decision to Alexander Volkanovski. Although he isn’t the champ, he put on a dominant performance over Calvin Kattar in January and now will take on Yair Rodriguez.
Holloway & Rodriguez Recent Fights
| Calvin Kattar, win by decision | Fight 1 | Jeremy Stephens, win by decision |
| Alexander Volkanovski, loss by split decision (title fight) | Fight 2 | Jeremy Stephens, No Contest |
| Alexander Volkanovski, loss by decision (title fight) | Fight 3 | Korean Zombie, win by KO |
| Frankie Edgar, win by decision (title fight) | Fight 4 | Frankie Edgar, loss by TKO |
Rodriguez has not fought since September of 2019 due to injuries as well as a USADA suspension for not telling the drug agency his whereabouts which caused him to miss tests. In his return, he gets a tough fight against Holloway, who is arguably the best boxer in the UFC and has a relentless pace.
Holloway & Rodriguez Stats
| 29 | Age | 29 |
| 5’11” | Height | 5’11” |
| 69″ | Reach | 71″ |
| 11 | UFC Finishes | 3 |
The fight should remain standing for the entire time as Holloway is a boxer while Rodriguez is a kickboxer and likes to use flashy spinning kicks and punches. The Mexican does have KO power and that is likely the only way he will win this fight, as his cardio won’t be able to match Holloway’s. Neither will his output, as the Hawaiian throws a ton of volume and breaks down his opponents.
Holloway has a great chin and has rarely even been rocked. I expect Holloway to just piece up Rodriguez on the feet and in the third or fourth round, inflict enough damage and pace to earn the TKO win. Look for Holloway inside the distance prop to find better value than laying the -650, or you can parlay him with another fighter or two on the card.
Pick: Max Holloway (-650)
Who Wins the Co-Main Event?
A heavyweight fight between Ben Rothwell and Marcos Rogerio de Lima serves as the co-main event as they both look to make it two in a row.
Rothwell & de Lima Recent Fights
| Chris Barnett, win by submission | Fight 1 | Maurice Greene, win by decision |
| Marcin Tybura, loss by decision | Fight 2 | Alexandr Romanov, loss by submission |
| Ovince Saint Preux, win by split decision | Fight 3 | Ben Sosoli, win by TKO |
| Stefan Struve, win by KO | Fight 4 | Stefan Struve, loss by submission |
If you like trends, de Lima has alternated wins and losses in his last 11 appearances in the UFC, and given he is coming off a win, a loss seems likely. In all seriousness, this is a tough matchup for the Brazilian as Rothwell is very durable and is tough to get down, so I expect this fight to remain standing.
On the feet, Rothwell doesn’t throw a ton of volume but he should be able to piece up de Lima and do enough to win a decision. -140 odds are short enough to play straight up, but if you want more value, Rothwell by decision and the over in this fight is worth a look.
Pick: Ben Rothwell (-140)
Other UFC Vegas 42 Picks & Odds Boosts
Let’s take a look at the best UFC Vegas 42 odds boosts from all sportsbooks:
- DraftKings Sportsbook – Max Holloway to win by KO/TKO/DQ (boosted to +180)
- Caesars Sportsbook – Yair Rodriguez, Julio Arce, and Ben Rothwell all to win (boosted to +2000)
- Caesars Sportsbook – Max Holloway to win by Submission (boosted to +1200)
- Caesars Sportsbook – Felicia Spencer to Win in Round 2 (boosted to +900)
Here are some of our favorite UFC Vegas 42 bets for the rest of the main card:
- Felicia Spencer (-290): Spencer’s grappling will be too much for Letson as she’ll be able to take her down and either find the submission or get a ground and pound TKO. She can be parlayed with Holloway to lower the Hawaiian’s odds.
- Kyle Daukaus (-225): Daukaus should be able to keep the fight standing and just piece up Dolidze on the feet to earn a clear-cut decision.
- Song Yadong (-135): Yadong is a great striker and should be able to outstrike Arce and either get a TKO win or a decision victory.
Cole graduated from Sheridan College in April of 2019 with a diploma in journalism. He now is a full-time freelance writer, focusing on MMA for sites like BJPENN, while also covering the Toronto Blue Jays as a credentialed media member. At SBD, Cole covers the four major sports and MMA.
