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May 7 NBA Player Props – Over/Unders and Picks for Game 3 Bucks vs Celtics, Grizzlies vs Warriors

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in NBA Basketball

Updated May 7, 2022 · 6:00 AM PDT

Al Horford battles for a rebound
May 3, 2022; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Boston Celtics center Al Horford (42) and Milwaukee Bucks guard Jrue Holiday (21) battle for the ball in the second half during game two of the second round for the 2022 NBA playoffs at TD Garden. Mandatory Credit: Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports
  • The NBA Playoffs continue on Saturday (May 7) with a two-game slate
  • A full menu of NBA player props are available for both contests
  • See below to find out where we think the betting value lies

Saturday’s NBA playoff schedule features a pair of Second Round series deadlocked at one. The action gets underway in Milwaukee, where the defending champs host the Celtics at 3:30pm ET.

The second game meanwhile, tips off five hours later in the Bay Area, as Golden State looks to take a 2-1 series lead over Memphis.

Both contests should make for very enjoyable sweats, and there’s no better way to get action down than in the player props market. A full menu of props is available for both matchups, so check out the odds below plus a few bets to target.

NBA Player Props – Saturday, May 7

Celtics vs Bucks Points Rebounds Assists Three Pointers Made
Brook Lopez (MIL) 9.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105) 5.5 (Ov +115 / Un -155) OFF 0.5 (Ov -170 / Un +150)
Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL) 30.5 (Ov +100 / Un -125) 12.5 (Ov -130 / Un +100) 6.5 (Ov -155 / Un +115) 0.5 (Ov -130 / Un +100)
Grayson Allen (MIL) 10.5 (Ov +100 / Un -125) OFF OFF 1.5 (Ov -185 / Un +145)
Jrue Holiday (MIL) 19.5 (Ov -125 / Un +100) 4.5 (Ov -130 / Un +105) 7.5 (Ov +115 / Un -150) 1.5 (Ov -185 / Un +145)
Bobby Portis (MIL) 14.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 9.5 (Ov -135 / Un +105) OFF 1.5 (Ov -130 / Un +100)
Al Horford (BOS) 10.5 (Ov -125 / Un +100) 7.5 (Ov -150 / Un +115) OFF 1.5 (Ov -150 / Un +115)
Jaylen Brown (BOS) 24.5 (Ov +110 / Un -140) 5.5 (Ov -140 / Un +105) 4.5 (Ov +130 / Un -170) 2.5 (Ov -140 / Un +110)
Jayson Tatum (BOS) 29.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 6.5 (Ov +105 / Un -135) 5.5 (Ov -150 / Un +110) 3.5 (Ov -170 / Un +130)
Marcus Smart (BOS) 13.5 (Ov -120 / Un -105) 3.5 (Ov +120 / Un -160) 6.5 (Ov -130 / Un +100) 2.5 (Ov +105 / Un -135)
Grizzlies vs Warriors Points Rebounds Assists Three Pointers Made
Andrew Wiggins (GS) 15.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 5.5 (Ov -140 / Un +105) OFF 1.5 (Ov +135 / Un -175)
Draymond Green (GS) 8.5 (Ov +100 / Un -130) 8.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) 6.5 (Ov -155 / Un +115) OFF
Klay Thompson (GS) 21.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 3.5 (Ov -135 / Un +105) 2.5 (Ov +115 / Un -150) 3.5 (Ov -130 / Un +100)
Steph Curry (GS) 26.5 (Ov -130 / Un +100) 5.5 (Ov +120 / Un -160) 6.5 (Ov -105 / Un -125) 3.5 (Ov -170 / Un +130)
Jordan Poole (GS) 21.5 (Ov -120 / Un -105) 3.5 (Ov -145 / Un +110) 4.5 (Ov -155 / Un +115) 2.5 (Ov -105 / Un -120)
Jaren Jackson Jr. (MEM) 14.5 (Ov -120 / Un -105) 6.5 (Ov -145 / Un +110) OFF 1.5 (Ov -180 / Un +135)
Ja Morant (MEM) 28.5 (Ov -110 / Un -115) 7.5 (Ov -150 / Un +110) 8.5 (Ov -105 / Un -125) 2.5 (Ov +130 / Un -170)
Desmond Bane (MEM) 17.5 (Ov -110 / Un -115) 4.5 (Ov +125 / Un -170) 1.5 (Ov -205 / Un +150) 2.5 (Ov -180 / Un +140)

Odds as of May 6th at DraftKings Sportsbook.

We’ll kick things off with a bet from the Celtics and Bucks matchup, where Boston’s Al Horford isn’t getting nearly enough credit for the job he’s doing on the glass.

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Pick #1: Al Horford Over 7.5 Rebounds

Horford has gobbled up 21 rebounds through two games versus Milwaukee, averaging 36.5 minutes of playing time per contest. That’s up five minutes per outing from what he averaged against the Nets, and we shouldn’t expect him to see a minutes reduction anytime soon.

That’s because Horford has been tasked with guarding Giannis Antetokounmpo frequently. He’s excelled at that task to the point where the Celtics can’t afford to not have him out there against the Greek Freak.

Horford averaged 8 rebounds per game during the regular season playing only 29 minutes per night, so if we project him around 35 minutes the over on his rebounding prop shows major value.

Aside from injury, another factor that could reduce his playing time is if the game’s a blowout. However, with the Bucks favored by just 2.5-points, oddsmakers expect Saturday’s tilt to go down to the wire.

Pick: Al Horford Over 7.5 Rebounds (-150)

Pick #2: Draymond Green Under 8.5 Points

Our next target is the under on Draymond Green’s point total. Green has been making headlines left, right and center through two games of Golden State’s series with Memphis, seemingly for everything but his scoring.

Green is incredibly versatile, but with a roster featuring so many offensive studs, the Warriors don’t need to rely on him for points. They need him to rebound, defend, distribute and disrupt.

In four games versus the Grizzlies this season Green has failed to eclipse 8 points each time. He averaged only 7.5 points during the regular season, but the main reason to fade him is the lack of opportunity.

Green has taken six or fewer shots in five of his past six playoff games. There’s no reason to expect his volume to increase, even in a game 225.5 total, with a  especially with how Jordan Poole is playing. Poole is launching the ball at will now, and should arguably be considered the third Splash Bro. Between him, Curry and Klay Thompson there aren’t very many more shots to go around, and that’s before you add in Andrew Wiggins.

Green looks like the odd man out, making his rebounding and assist numbers more attractive if you want to target some of his overs.

Pick: Draymond Green Under 8.5 Points (-130)

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