May 7 NBA Player Props – Over/Unders and Picks for Game 3 Bucks vs Celtics, Grizzlies vs Warriors
- The NBA Playoffs continue on Saturday (May 7) with a two-game slate
- A full menu of NBA player props are available for both contests
- See below to find out where we think the betting value lies
Saturday’s NBA playoff schedule features a pair of Second Round series deadlocked at one. The action gets underway in Milwaukee, where the defending champs host the Celtics at 3:30pm ET.
The second game meanwhile, tips off five hours later in the Bay Area, as Golden State looks to take a 2-1 series lead over Memphis.
Both contests should make for very enjoyable sweats, and there’s no better way to get action down than in the player props market. A full menu of props is available for both matchups, so check out the odds below plus a few bets to target.
NBA Player Props – Saturday, May 7
Celtics vs Bucks | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Three Pointers Made |
---|---|---|---|---|
Brook Lopez (MIL) | 9.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105) | 5.5 (Ov +115 / Un -155) | OFF | 0.5 (Ov -170 / Un +150) |
Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL) | 30.5 (Ov +100 / Un -125) | 12.5 (Ov -130 / Un +100) | 6.5 (Ov -155 / Un +115) | 0.5 (Ov -130 / Un +100) |
Grayson Allen (MIL) | 10.5 (Ov +100 / Un -125) | OFF | OFF | 1.5 (Ov -185 / Un +145) |
Jrue Holiday (MIL) | 19.5 (Ov -125 / Un +100) | 4.5 (Ov -130 / Un +105) | 7.5 (Ov +115 / Un -150) | 1.5 (Ov -185 / Un +145) |
Bobby Portis (MIL) | 14.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 9.5 (Ov -135 / Un +105) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov -130 / Un +100) |
Al Horford (BOS) | 10.5 (Ov -125 / Un +100) | 7.5 (Ov -150 / Un +115) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov -150 / Un +115) |
Jaylen Brown (BOS) | 24.5 (Ov +110 / Un -140) | 5.5 (Ov -140 / Un +105) | 4.5 (Ov +130 / Un -170) | 2.5 (Ov -140 / Un +110) |
Jayson Tatum (BOS) | 29.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 6.5 (Ov +105 / Un -135) | 5.5 (Ov -150 / Un +110) | 3.5 (Ov -170 / Un +130) |
Marcus Smart (BOS) | 13.5 (Ov -120 / Un -105) | 3.5 (Ov +120 / Un -160) | 6.5 (Ov -130 / Un +100) | 2.5 (Ov +105 / Un -135) |
Grizzlies vs Warriors | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Three Pointers Made |
Andrew Wiggins (GS) | 15.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 5.5 (Ov -140 / Un +105) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov +135 / Un -175) |
Draymond Green (GS) | 8.5 (Ov +100 / Un -130) | 8.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) | 6.5 (Ov -155 / Un +115) | OFF |
Klay Thompson (GS) | 21.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 3.5 (Ov -135 / Un +105) | 2.5 (Ov +115 / Un -150) | 3.5 (Ov -130 / Un +100) |
Steph Curry (GS) | 26.5 (Ov -130 / Un +100) | 5.5 (Ov +120 / Un -160) | 6.5 (Ov -105 / Un -125) | 3.5 (Ov -170 / Un +130) |
Jordan Poole (GS) | 21.5 (Ov -120 / Un -105) | 3.5 (Ov -145 / Un +110) | 4.5 (Ov -155 / Un +115) | 2.5 (Ov -105 / Un -120) |
Jaren Jackson Jr. (MEM) | 14.5 (Ov -120 / Un -105) | 6.5 (Ov -145 / Un +110) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov -180 / Un +135) |
Ja Morant (MEM) | 28.5 (Ov -110 / Un -115) | 7.5 (Ov -150 / Un +110) | 8.5 (Ov -105 / Un -125) | 2.5 (Ov +130 / Un -170) |
Desmond Bane (MEM) | 17.5 (Ov -110 / Un -115) | 4.5 (Ov +125 / Un -170) | 1.5 (Ov -205 / Un +150) | 2.5 (Ov -180 / Un +140) |
Odds as of May 6th at DraftKings Sportsbook.
We’ll kick things off with a bet from the Celtics and Bucks matchup, where Boston’s Al Horford isn’t getting nearly enough credit for the job he’s doing on the glass.
Pick #1: Al Horford Over 7.5 Rebounds
Horford has gobbled up 21 rebounds through two games versus Milwaukee, averaging 36.5 minutes of playing time per contest. That’s up five minutes per outing from what he averaged against the Nets, and we shouldn’t expect him to see a minutes reduction anytime soon.
Giannis needs to try better if he wants to overcome Al Horford 💪 pic.twitter.com/YquXQX4TJE
— Celtics Nation (@CelticsNationCP) May 4, 2022
That’s because Horford has been tasked with guarding Giannis Antetokounmpo frequently. He’s excelled at that task to the point where the Celtics can’t afford to not have him out there against the Greek Freak.
Horford averaged 8 rebounds per game during the regular season playing only 29 minutes per night, so if we project him around 35 minutes the over on his rebounding prop shows major value.
Could watch Al Horford rebound for hours tbh pic.twitter.com/WAjgX8DYZI
— Mark Schindler (@MG_Schindler) December 17, 2021
Aside from injury, another factor that could reduce his playing time is if the game’s a blowout. However, with the Bucks favored by just 2.5-points, oddsmakers expect Saturday’s tilt to go down to the wire.
Pick: Al Horford Over 7.5 Rebounds (-150)
Pick #2: Draymond Green Under 8.5 Points
Our next target is the under on Draymond Green’s point total. Green has been making headlines left, right and center through two games of Golden State’s series with Memphis, seemingly for everything but his scoring.
Draymond with a message on his way to the locker room. pic.twitter.com/ftIvSS00JE
— Rob Perez (@WorldWideWob) May 4, 2022
Green is incredibly versatile, but with a roster featuring so many offensive studs, the Warriors don’t need to rely on him for points. They need him to rebound, defend, distribute and disrupt.
In four games versus the Grizzlies this season Green has failed to eclipse 8 points each time. He averaged only 7.5 points during the regular season, but the main reason to fade him is the lack of opportunity.
Green has taken six or fewer shots in five of his past six playoff games. There’s no reason to expect his volume to increase, even in a game 225.5 total, with a especially with how Jordan Poole is playing. Poole is launching the ball at will now, and should arguably be considered the third Splash Bro. Between him, Curry and Klay Thompson there aren’t very many more shots to go around, and that’s before you add in Andrew Wiggins.
Draymond Green is averaging 42 assists per 100 possessions used during the postseason.
That's the most of any player still competing in the playoffs BY FAR 👀 pic.twitter.com/luoMNM2ogt
— Golden State Warriors (@warriors) May 5, 2022
Green looks like the odd man out, making his rebounding and assist numbers more attractive if you want to target some of his overs.
Pick: Draymond Green Under 8.5 Points (-130)
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