Opening NBA Playoff Odds – See Make/Miss Odds for All 30 Teams
- NBA playoff odds are out for the 2023-24 season
- Only one team that made the postseason last year is plus-money to reach the 2024 NBA playoffs
- Below, see the odds to make the playoffs and miss the playoffs for all 30 NBA teams
While the start of the 2023-24 NBA season is still months away (Tuesday, October 24) and the beginning of the 2024 postseason is 264 days off, the available NBA futures have been expanded to include make/miss the playoff odds for all 30 teams in the league.
The table below lists the opening make/miss playoff odds for all NBA teams. The 16 teams which qualified for the 2023 postseason are listed in bold.
NBA Make/Miss the Playoff Odds 2023
| Western Conference | Odds to Make Playoffs | Odds to Miss Playoffs |
|---|---|---|
| Dallas Mavericks | -220 | +175 |
| Denver Nuggets | -4000 | +1400 |
| Golden State Warriors | -500 | +360 |
| Houston Rockets | +600 | -900 |
| Los Angeles Clippers | -250 | +200 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | -380 | +285 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | -250 | +200 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | -150 | +120 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | -150 | +120 |
| OKC Thunder | -135 | +110 |
| Phoenix Suns | -900 | +600 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | OFF | OFF |
| Sacramento Kings | -180 | +145 |
| San Antonio Spurs | +1100 | -2500 |
| Utah Jazz | +360 | -500 |
| Eastern Conference | Odds to Make Playoffs | Odds to Miss Playoffs |
| Atlanta Hawks | -230 | +185 |
| Boston Celtics | -6000 | +1800 |
| Brooklyn Nets | +145 | -180 |
| Charlotte Hornets | +475 | -700 |
| Chicago Bulls | +150 | -185 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | -1200 | +700 |
| Detroit Pistons | +950 | -2000 |
| Indiana Pacers | +145 | -180 |
| Miami Heat | -800 | +550 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | -5000 | +1600 |
| New York Knicks | -380 | +285 |
| Orlando Magic | +165 | -205 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | -800 | +550 |
| Toronto Raptors | +175 | -220 |
| Washington Wizards | +1100 | -2500 |
The shortest odds on the board belong to the Boston Celtics (-6000), who have made the playoffs in nine straight seasons and reached at least the conference finals in three of the past four. The C’s are closely followed by the reigning NBA-champion Denver Nuggets (-4000), who have claimed a top-three seed in the Western Conference four times in the past five years.
Notably, one team – the Portland Trail Blazers – are off the board and will likely remain so until the fate of star guard Damian Lillard is decided.
SPORTSBOOK
Bet $5 & Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly + a No Sweat NBA SGP Every Day!
Odds as of July 24, 2023, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim a DraftKings promo code to wager on NBA futures markets or compare to DK odds to other sports betting sites.
Longest NBA Playoff Odds
Only three teams are seen as truly massive longshots to qualify for the 2024 NBA postseason. The longest odds on the board belong jointly to the San Antonio Spurs and Washington Wizards at +1100.
The Wizards parted ways with longtime franchise cornerstone Bradley Beal this offseason, signalling the start of a true rebuild. Even with Beal suiting up for 50 games last year, the Wizards still finished with an ugly 35-47 record, five games back of qualifying for the play-in tournament.
The Spurs, of course, added Victor Wembanyama with the #1 pick in the 2023 NBA Draft, but remain in the midst of their own rebuild. San Antonio finished last season with a brutal 22-60 record, tied with the Houston Rockets for second-worst in the NBA. They also owned the single-worst point differential in the league at -10.1, nearly two points worse than the 29th-ranked team (Detroit Pistons, -8.2).
Joining the Spurs and Wizards at the bottom of the board are those same Pistons, who owned the dubious honor of holding the worst record in the entire NBA in 2022-23, going a horrendous 17-65. No team has finished with a worse record since the 2015-16 “Trust the Process” Philadelphia 76ers, who went 10-72. (The 2018-19 New York Knicks also went 17-65.)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HuUoZ2yMVRg
Oddsmakers are expecting a modicum of improvement from the Pistons this season, as long as they can stay a bit healthier. Cade Cunningham, the 2021 first-overall pick, only managed to play 12 games last year. Jaden Ivey, the fifth pick in the 2022 draft, showed promise as a rookie, finishing third on the team in scoring (16.3 PPG) while hitting at 34.3% from three. Ivey was sixth in 2023 NBA Rookie of the Year voting.
Best Odds Among Last Year’s Non-Playoff Teams
On the whole, oddsmakers aren’t expecting a lot of turnover in the 2024 playoffs compared to the 2023 edition. Of the 16 teams that reached the postseason last year, 15 are odds-on favorites to do so again. The only team that is favored to miss out in 2024 after qualifying in 2023 is the Brooklyn Nets, who of course traded Kevin Durant to the Phoenix Suns midway through last season.
Among the 14 teams that missed the 2023 NBA playoffs, the best odds for a reversal of fortune in 2024 belong to Luka Doncic’s Dallas Mavericks at -220. The Mavs finished 38-44 last year, two games back of the Minnesota Timberwolves for the final play-in berth. It was a season marred by injuries in Dallas, though. Doncic missed 16 games, while Kyrie Irving – who’s been re-signed – only managed to suit up for 20. Third-leading scorer Spencer Dinwiddie also missed 29 games.
Even with all the injuries, Dallas still finished with a positive point differential (+0.1) and, with better injury luck this season, figure to improve significantly. The Mavericks had reached the playoffs in three straight seasons before last year, including reaching the conference finals in 2021-22. Last year also marked the first time since Doncic’s rookie season that Dallas didn’t make the playoffs.
DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOKBET $5 & GET $200 INSTANTLY & A NO SWEAT NBA SGP EVERY DAY!
- FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $150 GUARANTEED!
- BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
GET UP TO $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS!
- CAESARS SPORTSBOOK
GET UP TO $1,000 BACK - ON CAESARS!
- BET365 SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $150 IN BONUS BETS!
Sascha was a hockey player in his youth, a lawyer in his capricious mid-20s, and has been with SBD since 2014. He specializes in football, basketball, politics, baseball, and hockey.
