Updated 2022 NBA Championship Odds After Trade Deadline – Nets Remain the Favorite and Sixers Odds Cut in Half
- The NBA trade deadline saw many big names change teams, most notably James Harden and Ben Simmons
- Harden’s move from Brooklyn to Philly cut the Sixers Championship odds in half, but the Nets remain the favorite to win the title
- See updated NBA Championship odds below, plus analysis on which teams are best suited to make a title run
The NBA trade deadline is in the rearview mirror, and some of the biggest moves have made a major impact in the futures market.
The day was headlined by the James Harden trade from Brooklyn to Philadelphia, a move that caused oddsmakers to slash the Sixers’ championship price in half.
Ben Simmons is the centerpiece of the deal heading over to the Nets, and while he should be an excellent fit alongside Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving, Brooklyn’s title price tag still took a hit.
2022 NBA Championship Odds
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Brooklyn Nets | +420 |
| Golden State Warriors | +460 |
| Phoenix Suns | +500 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | +600 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | +650 |
| Miami Heat | +1100 |
| Utah Jazz | +1300 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | +1800 |
| Chicago Bulls | +2700 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | +3000 |
| Denver Nuggets | +3000 |
| Dallas Mavericks | +4200 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | +4800 |
| Boston Celtics | +4900 |
| Atlanta Hawks | +7000 |
| Toronto Raptors | +8000 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | +10000 |
| Los Angeles Clippers | +10000 |
| Charlotte Hornets | +12000 |
| New York Knicks | +16000 |
| Washington Wizards | +24000 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | +49000 |
| Indiana Pacers | +50000 |
| San Antonio Spurs | +50000 |
| Houston Rockets | +50000 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | +50000 |
| OKC Thunder | +50000 |
| Sacramento Kings | +50000 |
| Detroit Pistons | +50000 |
| Orlando Magic | +50000 |
Odds as of February 10th at FanDuel Sportsbook
The Nets remain the favorite in the NBA Championship odds, but the gap between them and the best in the West has tightened. Brooklyn’s price was lengthened from +350 to +420 in light of the day’s events, which is just slightly ahead of Golden State and Phoenix.
Philadelphia 76ers Championship Odds Analysis
Harden’s addition to the Sixers roster, and the subsequent removal of a disgruntled Simmons, shortened Philadelphia’s title odds from +1300 to +650. Give Daryl Morey credit for not giving in to Simmons’ trade demands until he got a haul he deemed worthy in return.
Daryl Morey after finally trading Ben Simmons for James Harden pic.twitter.com/v6p4e6Jicr
— RingerNBA (@ringernba) February 10, 2022
Harden undoubtedly gives the 76ers a legit shot at winning it all, but let’s not overlook the red flags he brings with him. He’s now forced a trade from two teams in the past two seasons.
Despite being surrounded by elite talent everywhere he’s been, he’s not only never won a ring, but he hasn’t gotten to an NBA Finals since 2012 when he was with OKC.
James Harden is averaging 22.5 PPG and 10.2 APG this season.
According to Elias, this is the 2nd time in NBA history a player was averaging 20 points and 10 assists per game at the time of changing teams within a season.
The other instance was Harden last year (HOU to BKN). https://t.co/roeR2zgfGL
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) February 10, 2022
He’s been hampered by injuries in the each of the past two years, and hasn’t played in over a week due to a hamstring issue.
Brooklyn Nets Championship Odds Analysis
The Nets, meanwhile, did well to turn Harden into Simmons, Curry, Andre Drummond and two first round picks, all things considered. Oddsmakers predictably lowered their championship price tag, but Simmons is a great fit for this team.
Nets new squad:
Kevin Durant
Kyrie Irving
Ben Simmons
Seth Curry
Patty Mills
Joe Harris
Nicolas Claxton
LaMarcus Aldridge
Blake Griffin
Bruce Brown
James Johnson
Cam ThomasLOADED. pic.twitter.com/fXv2u8H1ax
— StatMuse (@statmuse) February 10, 2022
Playing alongside two elite shooters in Durant and Irving, offensive expectations will be very low for Simmons. He can focus on facilitating, rebounding and defense, similar to the role Draymond Green plays for the Warriors alongside Steph Curry and Klay Thompson.
In terms of the winning the title this year, both Golden State and Phoenix appear better suited than Brooklyn and Philadelphia, despite what the odds board currently looks like. As far as the East goes, it’s not crazy to think Milwaukee should be considered the favorite despite the Nets and Sixers’ blockbuster trade.
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Milwaukee Bucks Championship Odds Analysis
Speaking of the defending champs, their title odds stayed the same despite making a move of their own. They were involved in a four-team deal that saw them bring in center Serge Ibaka, while unloading impending free agent Donte DiVincenzo, as well as reserves Rodney Hood and Semi Ojeleye.
I did not expect Bucks to use their main trade chip on a center, but getting two 2nds back and opening up 2 more spots tees up another move. Ibaka's a solid hedge against Brook's return but value is reduced if Brook is healthy (read: they only played 3 bigs during playoffs).
— Frank Madden (@fmaddenNBA) February 10, 2022
Ibaka provides insurance down the middle if Brook Lopez is unable to return from his back injury. He’s a rim protector that can stretch the floor, and is shooting 39% from three this season.
DiVincenzo was made expendable by the off-season arrival of Grayson Allen, and the superb play of Pat Connaughton. Give the Bucks credit for taking on a big tax bill in an effort to win back-to-back titles.
They grade out better in both offensive and defensive rating than Brooklyn and Philly, and boast arguably the league’s best player in Giannis Antetokounmpo, who’s currently third in the 2022 NBA MVP odds.
The most important thing to remember at all times:
We have Giannis Antetokounmpo and they don't.
— Nathan Marzion (@nathanmarzion) February 10, 2022
Dallas Mavericks Championship Odds Analysis
Perhaps the most surprising move of the day saw Dallas send Kristaps Porzingis to Washington. Porzingis struggled to fit in on the court with Luka Doncic, and will now be used as a piece to lure Bradley Beal into signing an extension with the Wizards.
https://twitter.com/jtylerconway/status/1491859217824849927
In return, the Mavs received Spencer Dinwiddie and Davis Bertans, who’ve both been disappointing this season. Oddsmakers and experts alike believe this downgrades Dallas’ roster.
The Mavs championship odds were lengthened from +4200 to +4800 after the move, and they have to eat the remaining $49 million on Bertans’ $80 million dollar contract he signed a few years ago.
https://twitter.com/jtylerconway/status/1491861106247221254
League insiders were shocked that Dallas was willing to take on the deal without getting a high draft pick in return, as Bertans’ shooting has taken a significant step back this season. Dinwiddie meanwhile, is a strange addition given he needs the ball in his hands.
Jalen Brunson has made 11 of his last 21 three-point attempts (52.4%). 🎯
He continues to prove every game that he can play next to Luka in the starting lineup.
— Landon Thomas (@sixfivelando) February 9, 2022
That role belongs to Jalen Brunson, a restricted free agent at the end of the season. Unless the Mavs are looking to move on from Brunson, which would be foolish since he’s three years younger Dinwiddie is, Dinwiddie’s skillset seems redundant.
Los Angeles Lakers Championship Odds Analysis
No trade deadline day recap would be complete without checking in on the LA Lakers’ circus. The team was unable to make any moves at the deadline, mostly thanks to its dire cap situation. LA will now reportedly focus on the buyout market, and this video below tells you everything you need to know about their championship prospects.
Please wait for Richard Jefferson & Kendrick Perkins at the end 😂😂 pic.twitter.com/F0Xw04XJgi
— Dylan Eustis (@djeustis) February 10, 2022
The Lakers’ title odds were lengthened from +1800 to +3000 due to a day of inactivity, and they’re now four games below .500 after Wednesday’s loss to a shorthanded Portland. They’re 17.5 games out of first in the West, and are more likely to miss the playoffs than win the championship according to online sportsbooks.
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As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
