Upcoming Match-ups

Texas Southern vs Mount St. Mary’s First Four Odds and Picks

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in College Basketball

Updated Mar 15, 2021 · 11:10 AM PDT

Mount St. Mary's dunks
Mount St. Mary's forward Malik Jefferson (42) during an NCAA college basketball game for the Northeast Conference men's tournament championship Tuesday, March 9, 2021, in Smithfield, R.I. (AP Photo/Charles Krupa)
  • The No. 16 seed in the East Region will be on the line when Texas Southern battles Mount St. Mary’s in First Four action on Thursday at 5:10pm EST on truTV 
  • The Tigers ride a nine-game SU win streak into their first-ever matchup with the Mountaineers, who have won four straight, all on the road
  • We’ve got you covered with all the odds and trends ahead of Thursday’s First Four clash at Assembly Hall in the article below

A berth in the East Region bracket as a No. 16 seed will be on the line on Thursday, when the Texas Southern Tigers take on the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers in First Four action as slim two-point favorites.

The Tigers are poised to return to March Madness after posting wins in each of their past nine outings, capped by a lopsided 80-61 victory over Prairie View A&M in this past weekend’s SWAC final. The Mountaineers ride a four-game win streak into Thursday’s clash, and will be seeking their third win in four NCAA Tournament play-in contests.

Here’s a look at all the odds and trends ahead of this First Four matchup, set for Thursday afternoon at 5:10 pm ET from Assembly hall in Bloomington.

Texas Southern vs Mount St. Mary’s Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Texas Southern Tigers -2 (-110) -136 O 132 (-110)
Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers +2 (-110) +116 U 132 (-110)

Odds taken at FanDuel on March 15th

Tigers Dominant Since Overcoming Battle with COVID-19

Beset by COVID-19 outbreaks that ultimately forced the postponement and cancellation of seven regular season games, the Tigers overcame a 0-2 start in conference play in dominant fashion. The team has won outright in 14 of 15 contests since, and has produced steadily improving results at the sportsbooks while extending the run.

TSU managed to cover in consecutive games just once while going 4-6-2 over the first 12 games of their current 14-1 run. However, the team found a higher gear during the SWAC Tournament, outpacing opponents by an average of 15 points per game while marching undefeated SU and ATS to their first tournament championship win since 2014.

TSU Offense in the Zone

The challenge now for the Tigers is to rewrite a losing March Madness narrative. TSU has posted just one SU win in the nine NCAA Tournament appearances in school history.

However, that victory came in their most recent First Four appearance in 2018, when they shut down North Carolina Central to claim a 64-46 win. This season’s edition of the Tigers have also excelled on defense. TSU has limited opponents to a respectable 69.7 points per game this season, and have limited opponents to 65 or fewer points on five occasions during their current nine-game win streak.

The team has also steadily gained offensive momentum, averaging just over 80 points in their past five outings.

Karl Nicholas has played a key offensive role down the stretch, tallying double-digit point totals in each of the team’s nine recent wins, and also contributed a pair of double-doubles during the SWAC Tournament.

Mountaineers Getting it Done on the Road

While the Tigers look to be peaking at just the right time,  Mount St. Mary’s hits the hardwood for Thursday’s contest aiming top extend their season-high win streak to five games. It has been a streaky season for the Mountaineers, who have seen three win streaks lasting three or more games offset by four multi-game losing streaks.

However, like TSU, the Mountaineers found steady form just in time to embark on their current tear, which has featured four straight wins on the road.

The team’s recent success is all the more impressive considering that three of their four recent victories came while pegged as betting underdogs. The Mountaineers have defied the oddsmakers in impressive fashion. The team’s three recent upset wins have come by an average margin of eight points, including a spectacular 74-61 comeback victory over Fairleigh-Dickinson in a contest they trailed by 10 points at halftime.

Mount St. Mary’s Can’t Afford to Fall Behind Early

The Tigers have powered their recent success with some strong performances on offense. The team has averaged over 71 points per game over their past five outings after reaching that point total just once in their previous nine outings. That has generated winnings for sports bettors taking the over in four of their past five outings, and ending a 6-1 ATS run in their past seven road games.

With both of these teams trending up offensively, Thursday’s contests has the potential to be a relatively high-scoring affair. However, if the Tigers can maintain the high tempo early on, which they have displayed in early outings, look for them to advance with a SU and ATS win.

  • The Picks: Tigers -2 (-110); OVER 132 (-110)
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