Alabama vs Mississippi State Odds, Lines and Picks
- Alabama will look to rebound after a shocking loss to Tennessee
- The Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss
- Check out all the Alabama vs Mississippi State odds & predictions below
Nick Saban’s Alabama will look to bounce back when they take on Mike Leach’s Mississippi State on Saturday. The Crimson Tide will face their third straight SEC battle on Saturday when Alabama vs Mississippi State kicks off from Tuscaloosa.
Following a shocking, last-second upset loss to Tennessee, Nick Saban is sure to have his squad ultra-motivated for Week 8. Alabama are heavy 21.5-point favorites at home in Tuscaloosa.
On the flip side, Mike Leach’s Mississippi State team enters off a 27-17 loss to the Kentucky Wildcats.
This SEC conflict kicks off from Bryant-Denny Stadium on Saturday, October 22nd at 7pm ET. You can watch this one over on ESPN. Until then, check out all the odds and predictions for Alabama vs Mississippi State below.
Alabama vs Mississippi State Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | -21.5 (-110) | -1667 | Over 61.5 (-110) |
| Mississippi State | +21.5 (-115) | +900 | Under 61.5 (-110) |
Odds as of October 19th at BetMGM.
Alabama are heavy 21.5-point favorites entering this Week 8 matchup. That being said, there may not be a more dangerous squad than Nick Saban’s coming off a loss. The total is set at 61.5 for Alabama vs Mississippi State on Saturday.
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Alabama Betting Trends
Alabama lost for the first time this season last week, falling 52-49 in a thrilling contest in Knoxville. The Crimson Tide saw their 15-game winning streak against the Volunteers snapped in the loss and will have to have a short memory with another SEC clash on the horizon.
Quarterback Bryce Young returned from a shoulder injury to lead the Tide against Tennessee. Young showed no sign of any rust, completing 35 passes for 455 yards and 2 touchdowns. However, his performance fell by the wayside as the Crimson Tide missed a late field goal and were undone in the final minute.
Will Anderson Jr.: The Terminator 😤 pic.twitter.com/QuV4SvMrBA
— College GameDay (@CollegeGameDay) October 1, 2022
Star pass-rusher Will Anderson Jr. and the Crimson Tide defense will need to step up their game on Saturday. Thankfully, the betting trends all favor the Tide. The last time Alabama lost two consecutive games was way back in 2013, when Alabama lost the Iron Bowl and then a game to Oklahoma. Moreover, the Crimson Tide are 4-0 against the spread in their last four games played following a loss.
Mississippi State Betting Trends
Enter Will Rogers and Mike Leach’s Mississippi State Air Raid offense. The junior pivot will lead an offense more than capable of capitalizing on a lackadaisical Crimson Tide secondary on Saturday. Rogers currently sits third in the nation with 2,324 passing yards and 23 touchdowns so far this year. Should the Alabama defensive backs continue to make a slew of mental errors on the back end, Mississippi State is more than capable of making this game interesting.
Rogers broke Dak Prescott’s single-season yardage and touchdown records just last year and leads an even more explosive attack into Tuscaloosa this weekend.
Make that passing TD number 3️⃣ for Will Rogers.
Mississippi State up BIGhttps://t.co/WJq2yYBp8b
— Kota Capper College Football Central (@KotaCapperCFB) October 8, 2022
On the other side of the ball, Mississippi State will be looking to get their rushing defense right before taking on a powerful Crimson Tide team. The Bulldogs had no answer for Chris Rodriguez Jr. on Saturday, as the Wildcats running back went buck wild. Rodriguez Jr. finished with 196 rushing yards and two fourth-quarter touchdowns to lead his team to victory. If Alabama can run the ball like that in Tuscaloosa, Mississippi State is in big trouble.
Alabama vs Mississippi State Pick
A lot of teams have trouble winning in Tuscaloosa, and Mississippi State is no exception. Alabama has made Bryant-Denny Stadium their fortress in the Nick Saban era, and another loss would be stunning. Alabama has the power to run the ball down the Bulldogs’ throat. That could prove to be the silver lining in this one, as the more the two teams run the football, the more the clock will be moving.
Rather than focusing on a four-score spread and risking a late back door cover, let’s take a look at the total. The under has hit in 5 of the last 7 games these teams have played in Alabama. Additionally, the under is 17-4-1 in the last 22 Alabama vs Mississippi State meetings overall. Roll with the under here and hope the Tide don’t run up the score.
Pick: Alabama vs Mississippi State UNDER 61.5 (-110)
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A sports betting aficionado and graduate of Toronto Film School, Nick covers the NFL, NBA, Soccer, and MMA for SBD. He is also an avid NBA podcaster, and sports betting TikToker. Nick's work has been featured on Bleacher Report.
