Arkansas vs Florida Picks and Odds

• Arkansas (3-3) faces #6 Florida (4-1) at 7 PM EST on November 14, 2020, on ESPN
• The Razorbacks will be without head coach Sam Pittman who has tested positive for COVID-19
• See the game odds, spread, and total along with predictions below

The Florida Gators are back in contention for the College Football Playoff.

After an early season loss to Texas A&M, things looked grim but it’s been all smiles down in Gainesville these days. Florida hosts Arkansas on Saturday, one week after a huge road win over Georgia.

Arkansas vs Florida Week 11 Odds

Odds taken Nov. 11 at DraftKings

The Gators are 17-point favorites and there’s still an argument to be made that’s good value. Well, there are actually two key arguments. Here’s why you should confidently bet on Florida against Arkansas on Saturday night.

Get the win. Call the Hogs. TURN. IT. UP‼️@RazorbackFB x #SECInside pic.twitter.com/7FNttQ1WE9

— SEC Network (@SECNetwork) November 11, 2020

Razorbacks Will Be Without Head Coach Sam Pittman

Arkansas received news their head coach has tested positive for COVID-19 and will be unavailable to coach in Florida this weekend. He’ll be replaced by defensive coordinator Barry Odom and this could be a huge loss for the Razorbacks. ESPN College GameDay analyst Kirk Herbstreit recently pointed out how great Pittman has been in his first year with Arkansas.

Sam Pittman deserves SERIOUS consideration for SEC coach of the year-Let’s see how @RazorbackFB finish the year-But this team was 4-20 last 2 years & currently are 3-3 (very easily could be 4-2 Aub).
More importantly they’re just COMPETING, playing PHYSICAL & playing as a UNIT!

— Kirk Herbstreit (@KirkHerbstreit) November 8, 2020

The Florida vs Arkansas odds clearly reflect Pittman missing from the sidelines. This line is more reminiscent of when the Razorbacks were doormats in years past. They have been competitive through six games but it appears the oddsmakers believe a lot of the credit goes to Pittman.

Could Kyle Trask Win the Heisman Trophy?

Not buying the missing coach theory? No problem. Some believe games are won and lost with the players on the field. If that’s your preference there’s still a big reason to bet on the Gators. Quarterback Kyle Trask has been sensational for Florida this year and is making his case to be a top pick in the next NFL draft.

He’s compiled 1,815 passing yards, 22 touchdowns, and only three interceptions. He’s done all that while completing 68.7% of his passes. For some context, those 22 touchdown passes through five games is the same amount Joe Burrow had last season when he won the Heisman Trophy.

2️⃣2️⃣ TDs from @ktrask9 this season, watch em again. #GoGators pic.twitter.com/IaGIiR6Leg

— Florida Gators Football (@GatorsFB) November 11, 2020

Trask isn’t the only elite player on the Gators offense. Tight End Kyle Pitts may be the best player at his position in the nation. The 6’6 junior has eight touchdowns this season and averages an incredible 17.3 yards per reception.

Many college offenses stall in the red zone when things get cluttered and it becomes tough to find open receivers. Trask and the Gators don’t have that issue with Pitts seemingly open in the end zone on every possession deep in enemy territory.

Expect the Florida Offense To Cover the Number

Florida has already scored 212 points this season. It’s the most points scored by the program in any five-game stretch in the last 12 years. Head coach Dan Mullen has this team firing on all cylinders and the fact he’ll be coaching against a coordinator replacing a coach of the year candidate, it’s a big-time mismatch.

Bet the Gators confidently to cover the number and consider a second wager or parlay with the over if you’re feeling particularly aggressive come kickoff.

The Pick: Florida Gators -17 (-110)