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College Football Betting Trends to Know for Week 10

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in College Football

Updated Nov 3, 2022 · 12:00 PM PDT

College Football Betting Trends to Know for Week 10
Oct 29, 2022; Knoxville, Tennessee, USA; Tennessee Volunteers quarterback Hendon Hooker (5) passes the ball against the Kentucky Wildcats during the first quarter at Neyland Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Randy Sartin-USA TODAY Sports
  • The #1 Georgia Bulldogs are playing host to the #2 Tennessee Volunteers in the 53rd 1 vs 2 matchup in college football history
  • Tennessee and the #19 Tulane Green Wave share the best FBS ATS mark this season at 7-1
  • Check out all the College Football betting trends to know for Week 10 in the following story

There’s nothing like a 1 vs 2 college football matchup to get the juices flowing, especially when it’s a regular-season clash. And that’s what we’re getting on Saturday in Athens, Georgia as the #1-ranked Georgia Bulldogs are playing host to the #2 Tennessee Volunteers in a huge SEC contest.

While it’s certainly the game of the week, it’s not the only Week 10 game worth examining when it comes to college football betting trends worth knowing. For instance, did you know Notre Dame is a rare home underdog to Clemson?

Tennessee and the #19 Tulane Green Wave share the FBS mark for the best against the spread record this season at 7-1. Tulane is going into Tulsa to face the Golden Hurricanes, who tend to live up to their nickname in the CFB odds when facing ranked opposition.

Oklahoma almost always wins at home against Baylor, but the Bears almost always cover against the Sooners. And Virginia almost never goes over, except when the Cavaliers are playing this week’s opponent, the North Carolina Tar Heels.

Let’s look at all of these intriguing college football betting trends

 

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In College Football 1 vs 2, #1 Is Still The One

No matter how you slice it, when it’s 1 vs 2, the college football betting trends tend to favor #1. Overall, #1 is 29-21-2 straight up against #2. But for the purposes of analyzing this college football betting trend, let’s simplify the focus down to regular-season meetings.

In those games, #1 is a runaway winner. Overall, #1 is 17-4-2 SU in regular-season meetings with #2. Teams ranked #1 have won seven times at home, seven times on the road and three times at neutral sites. There’s been one neutral-site tie and one time #1 tied away to #2.

As far as #2, they’ve never beaten a #1 team on the road, so that doesn’t bode well for the 8-0 Volunteers. All four victories by schools ranked #2 over #1 came on home turf. The 8-0 Bulldogs are +135 favorites in the National Championship odds. Georgia is an 8.5-point home favorite over Tennessee.

The most recent 1 vs 2 game came in 2019 and was also an SEC regular-season clash. Joe Burrow and #1 LSU won 46-41 at #2 Alabama. A regular-season victory by #2 over #1 hasn’t happened since 1996. Second-ranked Florida State won 24-21 at home over #1 Florida.

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Will Golden Hurricanes Wash Away Green Wave?

Tulane and Tennessee share top spot in the nation with 7-1 ATS records. The Green Wave are 9-1 ATS over their past 10 games and 5-0 ATS through their last five road games.

However, Tulsa is 7-1 ATS in its last eight home meetings with Tulane. The Golden Hurricanes are also 7-1 SU in the past eight home games facing the Green Wave.

As well, Tulsa is 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 games as an underdog and 11-0 ATS in the last 11 games against ranked teams.

A Rarity In South Bend

Notre Dame doesn’t often deal with a home-field disadvantage. But the Fighting Irish will be doing just that as 3.5-point home underdogs to Clemson on Saturday.

It’s the seventh time since 2014 that the Irish are home underdogs. Notre Dame is 0-4 ATS at home this season. However, the Irish are 5-1 ATS the last six times they’ve been a home underdog.

A Cavalier Attitude Toward The Over

The Virginia Cavaliers just don’t get over it. At 1-6-1 on the total this season, the Cavaliers are showing a share of the lowest over percentage in the ACC, tied with Georgia Tech.

However, factor the North Carolina Tar Heels into the equation and suddenly, there’s plenty of overage on Virginia’s ledger. The #17 Tar Heels are 9.5-point road favorites Saturday at Virginia. The total is set at 60.5 points. It’s gone over in four of the last five North Carolina vs Virginia games.

Interesting Same Game Parlay For Baylor vs Oklahoma

Betting the Oklahoma Sooners on the moneyline to beat the Baylor Bears on Saturday makes perfect sense. Oklahoma is 12-1 over the last 13 occasions when the two schools clash in Norman.

Playing Baylor to cover against Oklahoma is also an astute. The Bears, 3.5-point road underdogs, are 5-1 ATS in the past six games against the Sooners.

Who says you can’t have it both ways?

 

 

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