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Georgia vs Kentucky Odds, Lines and Best Bets

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in College Football

Updated Nov 16, 2022 · 7:00 AM PST

Stetson Bennett scrambles for a big gain
Nov 12, 2022; Starkville, Mississippi, USA; Georgia Bulldogs quarterback Stetson Bennett (13) runs the ball againstMississippi State Bulldogs safety Collin Duncan (19) during the second quarter at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Bush-USA TODAY Sports
  • #1 Georgia is a massive 22.5-point favorite in the Georgia vs Kentucky odds in Week 12 college football action on Saturday (Nov. 19)
  • The Bulldogs are 7-3 to the under this season, while nine of the Wildcats’ 10 games have fallen short of the total
  • See below for the available Georgia vs Kentucky odds, plus analysis and best bets

#1 Georgia (10-0, 7-0 SEC) has already punched its ticket to the SEC Championship Game. The only thing left to do now is cap off a perfect regular season.

Just two hurdles remain for the Bulldogs to accomplish that feat, the first coming on Saturday at Kentucky (6-4, 3-4 SEC). Online sportsbooks expect Georgia to take care of business on the road, pegging them as massive favorites in the college football odds.

#1 Georgia vs Kentucky Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Georgia Bulldogs -22.5 (-110) -2400 O 49.5 (-105)
Kentucky Wildcats +22.5 (-110) +1200 U 49.5 (-115)

Odds as of November 15th at DraftKings. Get the DraftKings Sportsbook promo code.

The Bulldogs are currently 22.5-point road favorites, and most early-week bettors don’t think that’s enough. Georgia is currently drawing 78% of the spread wagers as of Tuesday afternoon, and 87% of the spread handle.

 

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The contest features a 49.5-point total, and there’s a clear divide on that number between public and big-money bettors. Both the over and the under are drawing 50% of the total money, but the under handle is coming from just 17% of the total tickets. That means those who wager the largest amounts, typically sharp bettors, and banking on a low-scoring affair.

Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm ET at Kroger Field in Lexington, KY, with CBS providing the coverage. The forecast currently calls for clear skies, sunshine and 48-degree temperatures.

Georgia Bulldogs Betting Analysis

On paper, there really is no weakness to this Bulldogs team. They rank top-four in points per game, and second in scoring defense. Nine of their 10 wins have been by at least two scores, including last week’s 45-19 blowout victory over Mississippi State.

Georgia dominated Mississippi State in nearly every facet, and if not for two Stetson Bennett turnovers and an enemy punt return TD, this game could have been a real laugher.

Bennett, a top-six Heisman Trophy odds contender, shook off his two picks to throw for 289 yards and three touchdowns. The Bulldogs rushed for 179 yards at 5.4 yards per clip, and held their opponent to 308 total yards, including just 47 yards on the ground.

Georgia has scored at least 42 points in four of its past five games, but as we’ll discuss, this Kentucky defense is one of the better ones they’ve seen all season.

Speaking of strong defenses, the only word to describe the Bulldogs unit is elite. Take away the punt return TD they coughed up to Mississippi State last week, and they’ve now held opposing offenses below 14 points in seven of 10 outings in 2022.

Kentucky Wildcats Betting Analysis

Georgia should be able to handle the Wildcats offense with relative ease on Saturday, despite the strong talent Kentucky possesses. QB Will Levis is a projected top-10 pick, with supreme athleticism and a cannon for an arm.

Running back Chris Rodriguez leads the SEC in rushing, and runs harder than just about any RB in the country. Yet, the Wildcats rank 92nd in scoring and 109th in total offense. While it’s true that both Levis and Rodriguez have missed time this season, the bottom line is that this unit is underperforming.

Kentucky has failed to eclipse 21 points in five of their past six games, and is averaging just 23.3 points per outing, which ranks 11th in the conference.

Defense has been the main reason they’ve been competitive this season, but not even the SEC’s third-best scoring defense could help overcome dismal offensive performances against inferior competition like South Carolina and last week versus Vanderbilt.

The Wildcats have lost four of six overall, despite ranking inside the top-20 in total yards allowed per game.

Georgia vs Kentucky Prediction

An underwhelming offense and strong defense has led to under bettors cashing in left, right and center when targeting Kentucky. The Wildcats are 9-1 to the under this season, which leads the nation for most games falling short of the total.

Their contests are going under the total by an average of 7.5 points per outing, and with their offense unlikely to have success against Georgia this week, big-money bettors are right to be pounding under 49.5.

Georgia vs Kentucky Recent Results

Date Away Team Home Team Result
10/16/2021 Kentucky Georgia UGA, 30-13
10/31/2020 Georgia Kentucky UGA, 14-3
10/19/2019 Kentucky Georgia UGA, 21-0
11/03/2018 Georgia Kentucky UGA, 34-17
11/18/2017 Kentucky Georgia UGA, 42-13

Not to be outdone, the Bulldogs’ 10 games this season are 7-3 to the under. Having already locked up a spot in the SEC Title Game, and with aspirations of a repeat performance in the National Championship odds, don’t be surprised if Georgia takes its foot off the gas if they get up by a few scores.  That will reduce their offensive ceiling, and lend even more credence to fading a high-scoring game.

Pick: Under 49.5 (-115)

 

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