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Odds for College Football Teams to Go Undefeated in 2023-24 Regular Season

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in College Football

Updated Jun 28, 2023 · 1:58 PM PDT

Donovan Edwards eludes an Ohio State tackle.
Nov 26, 2022; Columbus, Ohio, USA; Michigan Wolverines running back Donovan Edwards (7) rushes in the second half against the Ohio State Buckeyes at Ohio Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports
  • Ohio State has the shortest odds to go undefeated in the 2023-24 regular season at +340
  • Two-time defending National Champion Georgia doesn’t have odds posted, but are +116 to win 12 games
  • Get the latest odds here, plus our favorite picks to run the table in the 2023-24 college football regular season

Run the table in the regular season and there’s a high likelihood you’ll find yourself in the College Football Playoff conversation. Add a conference championship to the mix and you’re virtually a lock to be among the final four teams standing.

Of course there are rare exceptions, like UCF back in 2017, but the Knights were an outlier that season, not the norm. Since the inception of the College Football playoff in 2014, there have been 12 teams to enter the CFP without a blemish on their record (excluding the 2020-21 COVID-shortened season).

Last year, both Georgia and Michigan accomplished the feat, with the Bulldogs becoming the 11th team this century to run the table all the way to a National Championship.

Prior to the start of the 2023-24 campaign however, online sportsbooks aren’t ready to label any program a slam dunk to have a perfect regular season.

To Go Undefeated in the 2023-24 Regular Season Odds

Team Odds
Ohio State +340
Michigan +360
Clemson +550
Alabama +550
USC +850
Florida State +900
LSU +1000
Oklahoma +1100
Oregon +1100
Texas +1100
Penn State +1300
Tulane +1400
Washington +1600
Air Force +1700
Tennessee +1800
Wisconsin +1900
Notre Dame +2000
James Madison +2000
Oregon State +2400
Liberty +2400

Ohio State has the shortest odds to go undefeated at +340, followed by Michigan at +360. Michigan has notched 23 undefeated seasons in its storied history, the third most all-time behind Ivy-Leaguers Yale and Princeton.

Noticeably absent on this list is Georgia. The Bulldogs don’t have a price for this market, but are +116 to exceed 11.5 victories in the CFB Win Totals, which would equal a perfect regular season.

 

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Top of the Board

There has been at least one undefeated regular season team in each of the past nine seasons. The 2019-20 campaign produced three undefeated College Football Playoff participants, led by eventual champion LSU.

Lots of things have to go right for a team to run the table, but the number one priority is health at the QB position. No position in sports is more influential to success than quarterback, and the common denominator among perfect regular season teams this decade has been elite QB play.

If choosing from the top of the board, I’d lean the Wolverines over the Buckeyes. Jim Harbaugh is committed to staying at Michigan, and has routed Ohio State (their toughest opponent) in back-to-back years.

The Wolverines have made the College Football Playoff in consecutive seasons, and this year’s version of the offense has the chance to be the best of the Harbaugh era.

Starting QB J.J. McCarthy is back, as is the best running back duo in the country of Blake Corum and Donovan Edwards. The receiving group is veteran laden, while Michigan shored up its o-line holes in the transfer portal.

Their defense is expected to be elite once again, led by seven returning starters. Since 2021, Michigan ranks fifth nationally in points allowed, and yielded only 13.4 points per game in 2022-23.

As for the Buckeyes, the talent is there at the skill positions, but there’s no clear-cut replacement for CJ Stroud. That kind of uncertainty at the game’s most important position should be enough to give bettors pause, as should the underwhelming defense that was exposed by the Wolverines and Bulldogs last year.

Longshots to Consider

There’s not a ton of value on Michigan or Ohio State at such short numbers, but further down the board, there’s a pair of teams to consider.

Let’s start with Tulane. The Green Wave won the AAC last season, and then stunned Caleb Williams and USC in the Cotton Bowl. After flirting with other programs, head coach Willie Fritz is back, as is QB Michael Pratt and the bulk of his o-line and skill position players.

The defense lost some key pieces, but Tulane just hired Sheil Woods, whose Troy team held eight of its final nine opponents under 20 points in 2022-23. The icing on the cake though, is the schedule.

The Green Wave have just two preseason top-25 teams on their schedule. They’ll face an Ole Miss program that is ripe with turnover both on the field and the sidelines, and a UTSA squad that is making the leap from Conference USA to the AAC.

Going down even further, we’ll find Oregon State at +2400. Navigating an undefeated season in the Pac-12 is no easy feat, but the Beavers are fresh off a 10-3 campaign, where two of their losses were by three points. Their biggest hurdles are Utah and Oregon this time around, each of which has warts.

The status of injured Utes QB Cameron Rising is murky, while Oregon had to revamp their entire offensive line. The Ducks are also lacking defensive stars and produced virtually zero pass rush a season ago.

That allowed Oregon State to claim victory in their rivalry game, and this Beavers roster can compete with anyone in the conference. They’ve added former five-star recruit DJ Uiagalelei from Clemson to compete for the starting QB role, while 13 starters are back to challenge for the Pac-12 crown.

Oregon State led the conference in scoring defense last season, and if their offense takes the next step, this program could be a dark horse for a College Football Playoff run.

Picks: Tulane Green Wave (+1400), Oregon State (+2400)

 

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