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Penn State vs Iowa Odds, Lines & Predictions

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in College Football

Updated Sep 22, 2023 · 12:35 PM PDT

Penn State Nittany Lions quarterback Drew Allar throws a pass
Sep 9, 2023; University Park, Pennsylvania, USA; Penn State Nittany Lions quarterback Drew Allar (15) throws a pass during the first quarter against the Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens at Beaver Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matthew O'Haren-USA TODAY Sports
  • Penn State vs Iowa takes place in College Football Week 4 on Saturday
  • The Nittany Lions are 14.5-point home favorites at Beaver Stadium
  • Read below for Penn State vs Iowa odds, lines and predictions

Two undefeated Big Ten programs clash in college football Week 4 on Saturday, as the No. 7 Penn State Nittany Lions take on the No. 24 Iowa Hawkeyes at Beaver Stadium. Kickoff is set for 7:30 EST on CBS, featuring Penn State’s annual “whiteout” game atmosphere.

Penn State comes into the game as 14.5-point favorites, making them the clear choice in the eyes of bookmakers. The game total is set at just 40, with oddsmakers projecting two elite defenses to frustrate the offenses.

Let’s dive into the Penn State vs Iowa odds and offer our predictions for this Week 4 CFB clash.

Penn State vs Iowa Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Iowa Hawkeyes +14.5 (-110) +470 Over 39.5 (-110)
Penn State Nittany Lions -14.5 (-110) -650 Under 39.5 (-110)

As -650 moneyline favorites in the Week 4 college football odds, the Penn State Nittany Lions have an 87% implied probability of winning Saturday’s game.

 

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Penn State vs Iowa History

Iowa and Penn State played annually from 2016-2021, with the most recent meeting coming in October of 2021. The Hawkeyes won that game by a 23-20 score, forcing PSU QB Sean Clifford to throw four costly interceptions in the game.

PSU vs IA Recent Results

Date Location Penn State Score Iowa Score Winner
10/9/2021 Iowa City, Iowa 20 23 Iowa
11/21/2020 University Park, Pa 21 41 Iowa
10/12/2019 Iowa City, Iowa 17 12 Penn State
10/27/2018 University Park, Pa 30 24 Penn State
9/23/2017 Iowa City, Iowa 21 19 Penn State

The Hawkeyes are 7-8 all-time at Beaver Stadium, with their last trip coming in 2020, which resulted in a 41-21 victory for the visitors. While IA got the victory in the last meeting, the Nittany Lions have covered the spread in four of the past six meetings in University Park.

Penn State Betting Analysis

The Nittany Lions have roared into the college football season with three wins, making them the 7th-ranked team in the country. Penn State boasts a balanced offense, averaging 259 passing yards per game and 208.3 rushing yards per contest.

Drew Allar, Penn State’s quarterback, has 10 touchdowns and zero interceptions so far but had a less impressive Week 3 performance. In a 30-13 victory over the Illinois Illini, Allar completed 16 of 33 passes for 208 yards and no TDs, which tanked his Heisman odds.

We know the PSU rush attack will be a factor on Saturday, as Kaytron Allen (208 yds) and Nick Singleton (154 yds) are two of the top rushers in the conference. Defensively, the Nittany Lions are rock-solid, allowing only 11.7 points per contest.

Iowa Betting Analysis

Ranked 24th, the Iowa Hawkeyes have also had an impressive start to the CFB season with three straight wins. However, this will be Iowa’s toughest test yet, as Hawkeye’s first three opponents all had losing records last season (Utah State, Iowa State, Western Michigan).

The Hawkeyes are led on offense by quarterback Cade McNamara, who is completing just 53.7% of his passes for four TDs and three interceptions. Iowa has been a bit better in the run game, with RBs Leshon Williams and Jaziun Patterson both averaging over 5 yards per carry and rushing for over 100 yards apiece.

Iowa’s biggest strength is clearly its defense, which is allowing a stellar 12.7 points per game. Cooper DeJean on Iowa’s back end is one of the best defensive backs in the country, racking up 19 total tackles through the first three games.

Penn State vs Iowa Prediction

As this is Penn State’s annual White Out game, the atmosphere at Beaver Stadium is going to be electric. The Nittany Lions are known to draw immense energy from their home crowd, and they’ll need it against a gritty Iowa team that’s coming into this game with momentum.

Both teams have their strengths and weaknesses, but the matchup will likely hinge on Penn State’s offense against Iowa’s defense. Drew Allar, the promising QB for Penn State, will face a big test against an Iowa defense known for causing turnovers and making game-changing plays.

We think Penn State will secure the victory, but Iowa offers value to stay within the number. Allar’s yards per attempt have decreased from over 11 in Week 1 to just over six in Week 3, and we don’t see Penn State generating the explosive plays needed to blow this game open.

  • Pick: Iowa +14.5 (-110)

 

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