College Football Picks and Odds November 11th – Eastern Michigan vs Ball State, Toledo vs Western Michigan and Central Michigan vs NIU
- The Mid-American Conference’s midweek “MACtion” continues on Wednesday, Nov. 11, with three more games
- All three point spreads are single digits, highlighted by a compelling Toledo vs. Western Michigan matchup
- Find odds for the games and key information about each matchup in the article below
A battle of unbeatens highlights the three-game slate of Mid-American Conference action on Wednesday, Nov. 11, as Toledo hosts Western Michigan at 8 p.m. ET.
Elsewhere, Eastern Michigan heads to Ball State (7 p.m. ET) and Northern Illinois hosts Central Michigan (8 p.m. ET).
Here’s a look at all three matchups, with odds and analysis to get you set for the action.
Eastern Michigan vs Ball State Week 11 Odds
Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Eastern Michigan | +260 | +8.5 (-110) | Over 59.5 (-110) |
Ball State | -340 | -8.5 (-110) | Under 59.5 (-110) |
All odds as of Nov. 10th at FanDuel
Both Eastern Michigan and Ball State took one-score losses last week in their respective season openers.
Recent history appears to be on Eastern Michigan’s side in this one, as the Eagles are 5-1 against the spread in their past six games at Ball State (including a 42-20 win in 2018 as 2.5-point favorites).
Ball State did cover in last year’s matchup at Eastern Michigan, winning by six as two-point underdogs.
Did you miss any of our week one action at Kent State?
Take a look at some of the highlights ⤵️ #EMUEagles | #ETOUGH | #BREAKTHROUGH pic.twitter.com/FN06Dt9fUQ
— Eastern Michigan Football (@EMUFB) November 5, 2020
What works to Eastern Michigan’s detriment is the fact that Caleb Huntley is on the other side of the ball.
Huntley, Ball State’s star running back, rushed for 130 yards and two scores last week against Miami (OH). Against Eastern Michigan last year, he rushed for 152 yards.
https://twitter.com/BallStateSports/status/1316826678392307713?s=20
Given the head-to-head results from 2019 and the presence of Huntley, Ball State is the play here. Oh, and the over is 7-2 in the past nine meetings.
Pick: Ball State -8.5 (-110); Over 59.5 (-110)
Central Michigan vs Northern Illinois Week 11 Odds
Team | Moneyline | Point Spread | Over/Under Total |
---|---|---|---|
Central Michigan | -320 | -7.5 (-110) | Over 57.5 (-114) |
Northern Illinois | +245 | +7.5 (-110) | Under 57.5 (-106) |
Central Michigan posted an impressive win last week against Ohio, while Northern Illinois is likely still licking its wounds after allowing 49 points in a loss to Buffalo. Looking at the Chippewas vs. Huskies odds, it’s no wonder why Central Michigan is the favorite.
The Chippewas racked up 427 yards of offense last Wednesday, balanced well between passing (243) and rushing (184). The issues on defense for the Huskies were less about the defense itself — which allowed 357 yards — and more about the offense’s four turnovers that led to scores the other way.
Explosive plays = A major 🔑 to grabbing a road W in DeKalb tomorrow night. #FireUpChips 🔥⬆️🏈 pic.twitter.com/I9ISdhVSlw
— CMU Football (@CMU_Football) November 10, 2020
If the turnover trend continues, Central Michigan would look like an enticing play. They probably are anyway, given that they’ve covered in six consecutive matchups with Northern Illinois.
Central Michigan quarterback David Moore is eligible to return following a suspension, which gives the Chips more versatility under center. He probably won’t be needed though, given how well the offense was run by Daniel Richardson in his absence.
Pick: Central Michigan -7.5 (-110)
Toledo vs Western Michigan Week 11 Odds
Team | Moneyline | Point Spread | Over/Under Total |
---|---|---|---|
Toledo | +116 | +2.5 (-106) | 57.5 (-114) |
Western Michigan | -142 | -2.5 (-114) | 57.5 (-106) |
The winners of last week’s biggest blowouts face off in a game that should give an early indication of the MAC West division frontrunner. The Toledo vs. Western Michigan odds are tight — and rightfully so.
How much weight can be put into a couple blowout wins? Toledo dusted Bowling Green and Western Michigan trounced Akron, both of which are bottom-dwellers in the MAC East division. For now, those victories essentially cancel out.
Great way to start the season!! Check out the highlights from last night's Battle of I-75 in the Glass Bowl 🚀#ONErocket | #ForJD | #GoRockets pic.twitter.com/PsdAhvCb1d
— Toledo Football (@ToledoFB) November 5, 2020
So instead, let’s look at how these teams have fared against each other recently. Toledo has the ATS edge, having covered in the past three matchups (all three of which were straight up wins as well).
Toledo has a new starting quarterback this year in Eli Peters, but he’s a senior with plenty of comfort in the Rockets’ offense. The team’s potent running game, led by Bryant Koback and Shakif Seymour, features the same cast of characters.
Last thing: the underdog is 10-4 ATS in the past 14 matchups. Take the points and the Rockets.
Pick: Toledo +2.5 (-106)