UCLA vs Arizona Odds, Picks & Predictions

• #12 UCLA is a 20-point favorite in the Arizona vs UCLA odds in Week 11 college football action on Saturday
• The game features a 77-point total, the highest of any game so far this season
• Check out the latest UCLA vs Arizona odds below, along with analysis and best bets

If you love offense, you’ll want to pour that extra cup of coffee on Saturday afternoon to keep you energized for the Pac-12 after dark.

The Arizona (3-6, 1-5 Pac-12) vs #12 UCLA (8-1, 5-1 Pac-12) tilt is one of the last four games to kick off in Week 11, but no contest is expected to produce as much offense. In fact, the matchup features the highest total of any game this season in the college football odds. The question now becomes can these two rivals both hold up their end of the bargain offensively.

UCLA vs Arizona Odds

Odds as of November 10th at DraftKings. Get the DraftKings Sportsbook promo code.

Oddsmakers certainly expect the Bruins to do so, as UCLA is currently a 20-point favorite. The total currently sits at 77, which is 2.5 points higher than any other contest in 2022.

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As of Thursday evening, the betting public is skeptical of this contest living up to the hype. 78% of the over/under tickets are currently backing under 77, as is 70% of all money wagered on the total.

UCLA Bruins Betting Analysis

Few offenses are as potent as the Bruins. They rank third in offensive efficiency per SP+, fifth in total offense and eighth in points per game. They’ve put up at least 40 points in six of nine games, and are fresh off a season-high 50-point outburst versus Arizona State.

UCLA QB, and top-11 Heisman Trophy odds contender, Dorian Thompson-Robinson shook off an early pick and absolutely dominated the Sun Devils. He accounted for four total touchdowns, two through the air, and two on the ground, highlighted by this incredible run.

Nothing new, just Dorian Thompson-Robinson hurdling over a defender into the end zone pic.twitter.com/rObBkgjOIP

— Barstool UCLA (@StoolWestwood) November 6, 2022

Thompson-Robinson finished with 169 yards passing and 120 rushing yards, while the Bruins put up over 400 yards on the ground without the Pac-12’s leading rusher. Zach Charbonnet was active, but didn’t play due to triceps and calf injuries. Charbonnet is back at practice this week and has a chance to play on Saturday, but he’s officially listed as questionable.

It likely won’t matter who carries the ball versus the Wildcats because the matchup is that favorable. Arizona is yielding 5.8 yards per carry and ranks 119th in rushing yards allowed. UCLA meanwhile, leads the nation in yards per rush (6.3) and ranks seventh in rushing yards per game.

Arizona Wildcats Betting Analysis

The Wildcats have lost four straight, suffering double-digit defeats three times during that stretch. They’re fresh off a 45-20 loss at #13 Utah, where they turned the ball over four times.

Arizona fumbled seven times in total, but were able to recover three of those. Starting QB Jayden de Laura gave the ball away twice before being replaced once the game got out of hand.

The Wildcats came into the week with the third-best passing offense in the country, but managed just 231 yards through the air against the Utes. They should be able to find more success versus the Bruins, who are a pass-funnel defense.

Passing Yards Leaders thru Week 10

3,232—Michael Penix Jr., Washington
2,813—Jayden de Laura, Arizona
2,742—Caleb Williams, USC
2,622—Jaren Hall, BYU
2,495—Bo Nix, Oregon
2.374—Jack Plummer, Cal

*Penix Jr. No. 1 nationally; de Laura No. 7; Williams No. 9

— SuperWest Sports (@SuperWestSports) November 6, 2022

UCLA is terrific against the run, holding enemy backs under 4.0 yards per carry. Against the pass, however, they can be had. The Bruins are yielding a 66% completion rate, and rank 88th in passing yards allowed. The Sun Devils torched them for 349 passing yards last week, and they rank well behind Arizona in passing efficiency.

Also helping the Wildcats’ passing attack is a lackluster UCLA pass rush. The Bruins rank 77th in sack percentage, which should give de Laura plenty of time to throw.

UCLA vs Arizona Prediction

Arizona averages 31 points per game, which puts them 42nd nationally. On paper they should be able to keep pace with UCLA by airing it out, but recent history and trends suggest this game will fall short of the total.

For starters, just one of the Bruin’ nine games have exceeded 75 points this season, while only three of the Wildcats’ nine outings have cleared that number. The two schools have played to a total in the 70’s just once in their past six meetings, while 75+ point totals have a strong tendency to fall short.

UCLA vs Arizona Recent Meetings

In the last 15 college football games with a total of at least 75 points, the under has hit 11 times.

As for a spread pick, the numbers overwhelmingly favor UCLA. The Bruins are 5-1 ATS in their past six games, and 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 matchups with Arizona.

UCLA has also covered in eight of their last 10 conference games since the start of last season, the best ATS record in the FBS over that span.

Picks: UCLA -20 (-110), Under 77 (-110)