Bettors Fading Cowboys in Week 15: 74% of Money on Rams in Week 15

• The Cowboys (6-7) are a 1.5-point home underdog against the Rams (8-5) in Week 15
• The Rams are 3-1 against the spread in the last 4 games, while Dallas has failed to cover in 2 of their last 3
• 74% of the money has come in on the Rams – read our analysis and prediction below

The 6-7 Cowboys are 1.5-point home underdogs in Week 15 as they play host to the Rams. Dallas has lost three straight, and a date with the resurgent Rams sets up another uphill battle for Jason Garrett’s squad.

Los Angeles Rams vs Dallas Cowboys Odds

Odds taken Dec. 13

This week, bettors have been all over the Rams. According to sportsbooks, 74% of the handle is on Sean McVay’s team. Additionally, 76% of the total wager count has also come in on the side of Los Angeles. The sharps are right there against Dallas as well, with 79% of sharp money liking the Rams on the road this Sunday.

Can Dak Turn Things Around?

Cowboys’ quarterback Dak Prescott has hit a rough stretch late in the year. In his last three games, he’s completing only 59.5% of his passes and has a passer rating of 79.7. He’s thrown just three touchdowns and two interceptions.

In Prescott’s defense, this stretch has come against some of the better pass defenses in the league. He’s struggled in matchups with the NFL’s second (NE), third (BUF), and 13th (CHI) ranked pass defenses.

Things won’t be any easier on Sunday. The Rams’ field the league’s 10th-ranked pass defense (221.2 yards per game) and 11th-ranked scoring defense (20.2 points per game).

Can Goff Continue on Hot Streak?

Ram quarterback Jared Goff hit a similar rough stretch in the middle of the year, but in recent weeks, he appears to be regaining some momentum. Goff has completed over 70% of his throws in the last three weeks, and he has four touchdowns in the last two weeks, to go along with passer ratings of 120.7 against Arizona and 95.2 against the Seahawks.

He’ll have to be successful, because so far in 2019, his running game has not been nearly as effective as in year’s past. Todd Gurley, averaging 4.1 yards per carry, has yet to eclipse 100 yards in a game this season. Dallas has a solid run defense, allowing just over 100 yards per game, so this appears to be another game that Los Angeles will have to win through the air.

That sets up what will be the key matchup of the day. Goff will have to go head-to-head with a Cowboy defense that ranks seventh in pass defense, giving up just 216.4 pass yards per contest.

What’s the Best Bet?

Each of these teams’ 2019 track records display exactly why sharps, the public, and everyone in between love Los Angeles on Sunday. The Rams are 3-1 against the spread in their last four games, and hold a 9-4 ATS record this season.

They’re a road favorite on Sunday, and they’ve been money in that position. This year, McVay’s team is 4-1 against the spread as an away favorite, and 5-1 ATS overall when they go on the road.

Dallas, meanwhile, has been the picture of unreliability against the spread. The Cowboys have covered just once of their last three, and they are 4-6 in their last 10 contests.

At home, they’ve been pedestrian, going 3-3 against the spread at AT&T Stadium.

There’s no difference in motivations here. Dallas is fighting for the NFC East, and Los Angeles is fighting to stay in the NFC Wild Card race. That has been the situation for a couple of weeks now, and so far, it has been the Rams who have lived up to the pressure. On Sunday, siding with them is the way to go.