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Broncos vs Cowboys Odds, Lines, Picks, and Predictions

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Updated Nov 6, 2021 · 10:18 AM PDT

Dallas Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott
Dallas Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott (21) carries the ball up field during the first half of an NFL football game against the Minnesota Vikings, Sunday, Oct. 31, 2021, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Bruce Kluckhohn)
  • The Dallas Cowboys are healthy 9.5-point favorites over the visiting Denver Broncos in their NFL game scheduled for Sunday, November 7
  • Dallas will welcome back quarterback Dak Prescott following a one-game injury absence
  • Denver plays its first game minus All-Pro linebacker Von Miller, traded to the Los Angeles Rams

The Dallas Cowboys will be welcoming back a key member of their offense. The Denver Broncos are saying farwell to the heart and soul of their defense.

Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott is returning from a one-game absence due to a strained calf. This week, the Broncos traded All-Pro linebacker and Super Bowl 50 MVP Von Miller to the Los Angeles Rams.

Those separate elements are a microcosm of the direction the NFL season is heading for both of these teams.

Oddsmakers also are viewing these opposite outcomes in a similar manner. They are establishing the Cowboys as 9.5-point home favorites. The 4-4 Broncos are 0-4 straight up this season when facing an opponent with a winning record.

Broncos vs Cowboys Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Denver Broncos +360 +9.5 (-106) O 48.5 (-114)
Dallas Cowboys -460 -9.5 (-114) U 48.5 (-106)

Odds as of November 6th at FanDuel
Sunday’s kickoff is set for 1pm ET at AT&T Stadium. Meteorologists are forecasting clear skies, 11 mph wind and a temperature of 72 degrees.

Broncos vs Cowboys Line Movement

The betting lines on this game are steadily lengthening in favor of the 6-1 Cowboys, which shouldn’t be surprising. There’s 86% of handle and 75% of bets on Dallas in point spread wagering.

Likewise, a healthy 84% of handle and 91% of bets are on the Cowboys in the moneyline. The NFL betting trends are also showing 53% of handle is backing the over in the total. However, 67% of bets are supporting the under. The total has gone under in six of Denver’s last eight games. Five of eight Dallas games have gone over.

Broncos vs Cowboys Injury Report

While they welcome QB Prescott back, the Cowboys will be without some other key pieces of their offense. Fullback Sewo Olonilua (neck) was placed on IR. He’d been out since preseason and Dallas made the decision to officially sideline Olonilua for the season. Left tackle Tyron Smith (ankle) is out. Terence Steele will start at left tackle in Smith’s place.

Wide receivers CeeDee Lamb (ankle) and Amari Cooper (hamstring) are listed as questionable starters. Both Cooper and Lamb went over 100 receiving yards in last week’s win at Minnesota.

The Broncos will also be missing two offensive starters. Tight end Noah Fant (COVID-19) and left tackle Garrett Bolles (ankle) are out. Fant shares the team lead in touchdown receptions (three) and is second on the club in receptions (37). Right guard Graham Glasgow (hip) is questionable.

On defense, both nose tackle Mike Purcell (thumb) and weakside linebacker Malik Reed (hip) are questionable.

Broncos vs Cowboys Trends

The Broncos haven’t lost to the Cowboys since 1995 (6-0). That includes a three-game win streak at Dallas. Denver is 6-2-1 against the spread in the last nine games against Dallas.

However, these Broncos have fashioned their four victories this season against teams with a combined record of 7-24. They aren’t up to this task, especially on the road.

Trading away their best player when the team is 4-4 sends a terrible message reverberating through the Broncos locker room. Then there’s the clear personnel matter. How much will Denver’s #6-ranked defense miss their on-field leader?

Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott is averaing 116 yard rushing per game and six yards per carry at home his season. With a banged up receiving corps, look for Prescott to hand the rock off to Zeke with frequency.

Offensively, Dallas is the #3 scoring offense (32.1 points per game). Denver is #23 (19.6). The Broncos simply won’t be able to keep up with the Cowboys’ ability to put points on the board.

Broncos vs Cowboys Prediction

The Cowboys have won five straight at home by an average margin of 16 points. They’re scoring 39.8 points per game on their home field this season.

Overall, Dallas has won six in a a row since a season-opening loss at Tampa Bay. The Cowboys are a perfect 7-0 against the spread this season.

This is one of five Super Bowl rematches taking place during Week 9. In Super Bowl 12, Dallas routed Denver 27-10. Expect a repeat performance.

Best Bet: Dallas Cowboys -9.5 (-114).

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