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Broncos vs Browns Props – Best Team and Player Prop Bets for Week 7 TNF

John Hyslop

by John Hyslop in NFL Football

Updated Oct 20, 2021 · 6:01 PM PDT

Broncos
Denver Broncos wide receiver Courtland Sutton (14) against the Las Vegas Raiders during the second half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Oct. 17, 2021, in Denver. (AP Photo/Jack Dempsey)
  • The Denver Broncos and Cleveland Browns will get Week 7 of the 2021 NFL Season going in Cleveland, OH, at 8:20pm ET on Thursday, October 21st
  • The Browns are coming into this one as possibly the most beat-up team in the NFL as Baker Mayfield, Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt are all out
  • See the available statistical player props as well as touchdown scorer props by scrolling below

We are turning our calendars to Week 7 of the 2021 NFL Season Thursday night when the Denver Broncos pay a visit to the Cleveland Browns.

Kickoff from FirstEnergy Stadium is scheduled for 8:20pm ET on FOX. Disgusting 18 mph winds are in the forecast to go along with temperatures in the low 60s.

The Broncos began the season 3-0 but after a 34-24 loss to the Las Vegas Raiders last week they have fallen to 3-3. The Browns are not faring much better as they also sit at 3-3 after taking a 37-14 beating at the hands of the Arizona Cardinals last week. They also lost starting quarterback Baker Mayfield for the time being with a torn labrum.

This line for this game is at Cleveland -2 and appears to be heading down as news of Mayfield’s status trickles through the gambling community. The total is sitting at a very low 41.5 and it could go even lower before kickoff. Just like every other NFL game, there are plenty of player props to consider.

(Due to the Browns’ instability at the quarterback position, their pass catchers do not have props available at the time of publishing.)

Broncos vs Browns Player Props

Passer Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Teddy Bridgewater (Broncos) 19.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) 229.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +120 / Un -160)
Case Keenum (Browns) 19.5 (Ov +100 / Un -130) 220.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +145 / Un -195)
Rusher Longest Rush Rushing Yards Rush + Rec Yards
D’Ernest Johnson (Browns) 14.5 (Ov -110 / Un -125) 59.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) OFF
Javonte Williams (Broncos) OFF 46.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 64.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Melvin Gordon III (Broncos) OFF 39.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 54.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Receiver Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Courtland Sutton (Broncos) 5.5 (Ov +125 / Un -165) 67.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) 24.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Javonte Williams (Broncos) 2.5 (Ov -140 / Un -190) 13.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) 9.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Melvin Gordon III (Broncos) 1.5 (Ov -155 / Un +120) 11.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 8.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120)
Noah Fant (Broncos) 3.5 (Ov -150 / Un +110) 40.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) 17.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)
Tim Patrick (Broncos) 3.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105) 46.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) 20.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)

Odds taken Oct. 20 from DraftKings.

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Excludes MA.

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Courtland Sutton is King in Denver

We may see a little wind in Cleveland Thursday night but definitely not an illegal amount. Just enough to keep the lines down a little. Why do we care about that? Because Courtland Sutton is primed for a huge night and we don’t want weather messing it up.

He almost had his line come out at least 10 yards higher had any of these balls been completed last week.

I don’t expect a ton of offense in this game given the Browns’ quarterback situation but we should see enough of Sutton to get us home on a low number. Over the past two weeks, Sutton has seen a 30+% target share, which is crazy. In those games the Broncos trailed so they threw more but target share tells who they want to throw to when they throw the ball. They like Sutton.

The Browns have a pretty good defense overall. They are clearly better at stopping the run as evidenced by the way they were gashed by the Chargers and Cardinals’ receivers in the last two weeks. Sutton’s receiving yards number sits at 67.5. The Browns have given that total up to four different receivers in the last two weeks.

This game shouldn’t be a shootout like the last two the Browns have played, but still, 67.5 yards is a low bar for a guy like Sutton. He hasn’t gone under 94 in the past two weeks. If he sees anything over seven targets, he should go over 67.5 receiving yards even if Jerry Jeudy makes his return.

  • The Pick: Courtland Sutton Over 67.5 Receiving Yards (-110) – Wager 1.1 unit to win 1 unit
  • SBD 2021 NFL Player Props Record: 7-12, -3.98 Units

Broncos vs Browns Scoring Props

Player First Touchdown Scorer Anytime Touchdown Scorer
D’Ernest Johnson (Browns) +700 +110
Demetric Felton (Browns) +1000 +165
Odell Beckham Jr. (Browns)
+1000 +175
Melvin Gordon III (Broncos) +1000 +175
Jarvis Landry(Browns) +1200 +200
Javonte Williams (Broncos) +1200 +200
Courtland Sutton (Broncos) +1200 +200
Jerry Jeudy (Broncos) +1200 +200
Donovan Peoples-Jones (Browns) +1300 +230
Noah Fant (Broncos) +1300 +230
Tim Patrick (Broncos) +1400 +250
Rashard Higgins (Browns) +1600 +280

Sutton and Fant Can Score

The Browns don’t give up many touchdowns on the ground, so we may need to look elsewhere. That leaves the tight ends and the wide receivers. The first guy that came to mind was someone we just got finished talking about.

Ladies and gentlemen: Courtland Sutton.

So far this season the Browns have given up nine touchdowns to the wide receiver position. Only two teams have given up more. On top of that, they’ve managed to allow three touchdowns to tight ends, which firmly puts Noah Fant in the mix.

The two have combined for five touchdowns this season and I think one or both will find the end zone Thursday night.

  • Pick: Courtland Sutton Anytime TD Scorer (+200) – Wager 0.10 units to win 0.2 units
  • Pick: Noah Fant Anytime TD Scorer (+230) – Wager 0.10 units to win 0.23 units
  • 2021 Touchdown Scorer prop record: 9-11, +.25 units
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