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Cardinals vs Saints Picks & Odds – Arizona Receiving 66% of Money Bet ATS

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Updated Apr 14, 2020 · 11:09 AM PDT

Larry Fitzgerald points out something to officials
Is Larry Fitzgerald pointing toward an upset? Oddsmakers show that the Arizona Cardinals are drawing 86% of sharp ATS money for Sunday's game against the favored New Orleans Saints. Photo by Keith Allison (Flickr) [CC License].
  • The Arizona Cardinals are drawing 86% of sharp against the spread money for Sunday’s game against the favored New Orleans Saints
  • In total, 66% of ATS money is on Arizona, however 69% of ATS bets are on New Orleans
  • Read below to find our matchup analysis, odds and prediction for this game

Oddsmakers are listing the New Orleans Saints as 10.5-point favorites over the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday in the Cardinals vs Saints odds and picks.

The smart money seems to be of the opinion that 10.5 points is too many points to give. Currently, 86% of all the against the spread wagers made by sharps on this game have been placed on the Cardinals.

Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Over/Under
Arizona Cardinals +416 +10.5 (-105) Over 47.5 (-110)
New Orleans Saints -550 -10.5 (-115) Under 47.5 (-110)

*Odds taken 10/26/19

Overall, 66% of all ATS money wagered is backing Arizona in this betting market. However, 69% of all ATS wagers on the game are supporting New Orleans to cover.

Saints Offer Blanket ATS Coverage

Since starting quarterback Drew Brees underwent thumb surgery following their Week 2 loss at the Los Angeles Rams, the Saints have won five in a row under second-string QB Teddy Bridgewater.

Not only has New Orleans won five in a row, the Saints have covered the spread in five successive games, three of them as road underdogs at Seattle, Jacksonville and Chicago. Only one of the covers was as a home favorite, and that was just giving three points to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

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This will be the largest margin New Orleans has been asked overcome in a point spread all season long. The Saints were 6.5-point favorites over the Houston Texans in Week 1 and failed to cover in a 30-28 win.

New Orleans is 1-2 in the last three games in which it has given away a double-digit point spread at home.

Cardinals are Soaring

Following an 0-3-1 start to the season, Arizona has won three in a row and QB Kyler Murray has placed himself solidly in the driver’s seat to earn the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award.

It should be noted, though, that those wins were secured against the Cincinnati Bengals (0-7), New York Giants (2-5) and Atlanta Falcons (1-6). Not exactly the cream of the NFL crop.

However, it’s also significant to note that Arziona is 5-2 ATS this season. As a road underdog, the Cardinals are 3-0.

Who’s Under Center?

Brees, the NFL career passing-yardage leader, practiced all week. Saints coach Sean Payton was mum on his starting QB would be, saying he won’t tip his hand toward Brees or Bridgewater until game time Sunday.

That forces the Arizona defense to prep for both possibilities. Speculation is that Brees will start.

Saints running back Alvin Kamara (ankle/knee) is questionable after missing last week’s win at Chicago. In his place, Latavius Murray posted a 100-yard rushing performance.

Last week, minus Brees, Kamara and starting tight end Jared Cook, the Saints put up 36 points on the Bears’ #6-ranked NFL defense.

Meanwhile, the Cardinals will be without RB David Johnson (ankle). In Johnson’s place last week, Chase Edmonds rambled for 126 yards and three touchdowns. But the New Orelans defense hasn’t permitted a 100-yard rusher in 33 games.

Saints go Marching On

Like the Cardinals, the Saints are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games. Cardinals QB Murray hasn’t faced a defense as punishing as the one New Orleans will set out after him. The Saints menaced Jaguars rookie QB Gardner Minshew two weeks ago.

Arizona is 1-7 SU in its last eight visits to New Orleans. The Cardinals are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings with the Saints.

Pick: New Orleans Saints -10.5 (-115).

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