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Eagles vs Bills Picks, Odds & Preview: Bettors Still Backing Philadelphia

David Golokhov

by David Golokhov in NFL Football

Updated Apr 7, 2020 · 12:07 PM PDT

Carson Wentz on the field.
Can Carson Wentz and the Philadelphia Eagles end their two-game losing streak this weekend? Photo by Keith Allison (Wikimedia) [CC License].
  • 51% of the ATS bets and 57% of the money is on the Philadelphia Eagles
  • The Buffalo Bills five wins have come against teams that are a combined 6-27.
  • Get the odds, our pick, and all the info you need to bet the game below

The Philadelphia Eagles will visit the Buffalo Bills on Sunday as they try to turn their season around. According to sportsbooks, 74% of the sharp money (against the spread) is on the Eagles as they’re clearly expecting a win. Is that a good bet or are the Bills going to take care of business?

Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Philadelphia Eagles +2 (-110) +110 41.5 (+100)
Buffalo Bills -2 (-110) -130 41.5 (-120)

*Odds taken October 26th.

Eagles Locker Room has Been a Mess

As the Eagles try to get it together in what might be their biggest game of the season, they’ve had to deal with all sorts of in-house problems. Cornerback Orlando Scandrick, who was signed in July, then released in the final round of cuts in August, and then re-signed on September 27th, has been creating locker room problems.

This week, he ripped defensive captain Malcolm Jenkins and general manager Howie Roseman. The team was forced to cut him as he was also leaking locker room information. This is an Eagles’ defense that actually needed help on pass defense as their secondary is giving up 270.6 passing yards per game (sixth-most).

The Eagles were hoping to have a good week of practice and put together a win in Buffalo. Now they’ve been forced to deal with a bizarre distraction. That won’t help.

Are the Bills for Real?

Sure, the Eagles are 3-4 and the Bills are 5-1, but considering the Bills are at +3300 to win the Super Bowl and the Eagles are priced shorter, at +2500, that gives you an indication of how the oddsmakers view these two teams.

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The Bills might be 5-1 but their five wins have come against teams that are a combined 6-27. At the same time, they’ve taken care of business and they can only play who is put in front of them, so the Bills can’t be faulted here. They have the league’s fourth-ranked pass defense. That should match up well with the pass-happy Eagles.

Can the Eagles D, Ground Game Step Up?

The Eagles have averaged 111.5 rushing yards over the last two weeks but they’ve had a really tough time running the ball consistently this season. Their offense is far too predictable as they have 246 pass attempts compared to 194 rush attempts. The numbers are misleading as the Eagles have been able to run consistently for weeks.

In their last two wins, the Eagles haven’t passed more than they’ve run. In their last two losses, the Eagles have thrown the ball 66 times and run it just 50. They need to establish some balance to have a shot to win on the road.

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The other factor here is the defense. They’ve been shredded for 849 total yards and 75 points in the last two weeks. This is now their third road game in a row and fourth in five weeks. Fatigue could be a factor. Can their defense hold the fort and keep the Bills around the 20-point range?

What’s the Best Bet?

I’m going to side with the sharps and the Eagles in this one. While the Bills are 4-2 ATS this season, I think the Eagles bring their ‘A’ game here and push the Bills to the max. Both teams will struggle offensively and I think under is probably the best bet, but in terms of the sides, I would take the points.

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