LA Rams vs Kansas City Chiefs Odds, Lines, Spread, and Picks NFL Week 12
- Two teams going in opposite directions square off Sunday, November 27th in the Rams vs Chiefs matchup
- Kansas City is a fifteen-and-a-half-point favorite, the largest on the Week 12 slate
- See the Rams vs Chiefs odds and picks ahead of Sunday evening’s game at 4:25 pm ET
Two teams headed in entirely different directions go toe-to-toe on Sunday, with the hapless Rams headed to Kansas City to square off with the red-hot Chiefs. LA won’t have the services of starter Matthew Stafford, who has been ruled out. Read on for some Rams vs Chiefs analysis.
The Chiefs have the second shortest Super Bowl odds at +450, while the Rams have astronomical +15000 odds to win back-to-back Lombardi Trophies.
Rams vs Chiefs Odds
| Team | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams | +15.5 (-110) | O 41.5 (-110) | +850 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | -15.5 (-110) | U 41.5 (-110) | -1400 |
Odds as of November 25th at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim the DraftKings Sportsbook promo code.
The Chiefs are massive -1400 favorites on the moneyline, 15.5-point favorites against the spread, and the total is set at 41.5 in this Rams vs Chiefs matchup.
KC is predicted to win 28.6-14.1 based on our formula.
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Kickoff at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO is set for 4:25 pm ET. It’s expected to be a mix of sun and clouds all game. Wind gusts will subside the further the game goes along, from 20 MPH to 12 MPH with temperatures in the mid 40’s. FOX is carrying the broadcast in the United States.
Betting Analysis
What a difference a season makes – in last year’s Super Bowl LVI campaign, the Rams had the eighth-highest points per game average. In 2022, things have dramatically shifted, as they’re fourth from the bottom. It was a struggle even before WR Cooper Kupp and QB Matthew Stafford went down with injuries, and it’s not getting easier. LA has dropped six of seven, and has scored more than 20 points just twice this year.
Backup QB John Wolford is expected to suit up, but there’s a very real chance that they’ll have to turn to third-string undrafted QB Bryce Perkins. In a small sample size, he’s gone 6-for-11 for 61 yards, with no TD’s or INT’s and three sacks. He’s also rushed for 43 yards. The Rams have allowed at least 27 points in three of their last four games, and they’ll be in tough against a fierce Chiefs squad.
Another QB change: Rams' HC Sean McVay has ruled out QB Matthew Stafford for Sunday's game vs. the Chiefs due to what the team believes is a strained neck.
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) November 23, 2022
As for the Chiefs, they continue to hum along, as winners of four in a row. Only once this season have they failed to record more than 20 points. They are dealing with some injuries to their offensive skill position players, yet that hasn’t stopped them from recording the highest yards per game and the most points per contest.
The Rams have the 13th-best team according to Pro Football Focus (27th on offense, 4th on defense). Their counterparts are 2nd overall (the best offense and 12th on D).
Injury Report
As mentioned, starting QB Matthew Stafford is out – joining him are Cooper Kupp (on injured reserve), along with C Brian Allen, DT A’Shawn Robinson and LB Travin Howard. WR Allen Robinson and TE Tyler Higbee are questionable, along with two others.
The Chiefs won’t have RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (ankle), who was placed on IR. WR Kadarius Toney is out with a hamstring injury. Three others, including OL Joe Thuney, are questionable.
#Chiefs vs Rams Injury Report – Friday pic.twitter.com/e1l7Gk1fIs
— Nick Jacobs (@Jacobs71) November 25, 2022
74% of the handle has been placed for the Chiefs to cover the 15.5 point spread, with a 81% of bets on the over in Rams vs Chiefs NFL betting trends, with a whopping 91% of bets placed on the Chiefs to win on the moneyline.
Rams vs Chiefs Prediction
The 15.5-point spread for the Chiefs is daunting, particularly because they haven’t covered that number in their last three contests. However, this Rams team has lost six of their last seven games, though just one of them was by more than 15.5 points.
LA’s defense has kept them in enough games, despite the litany of losses piling up. In their last three defeats, it was by a combined 20 points. Three of their last four contests have gone over the listed 41.5 points, while six of the Chiefs’ last seven have gone over the mark as well.
The Pick:
- Rams +15.5 (-110); 1 unit to win 0.91 units
- Over 41.5 points (-110) 1 unit to win 0.91 units
2022 record: 13-15; -2.11 units
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Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 16 years, where he's been featured on Sportscentre, That's Hockey, That's Hockey 2Nite, The Masters preview shows, and several more.
