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NFL Line Movement – Updated Week 14 Odds, Spreads, and Betting Lines

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Updated Dec 9, 2021 · 7:55 PM PST

Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski bump helmets in celebration
Tampa Bay Buccaneers tight end Rob Gronkowski (87) and quarterback Tom Brady (12) celebrate a touchdown during the first half of an NFL football game against the Atlanta Falcons, Sunday, Dec. 5, 2021, in Atlanta. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 30-17. (AP Photo/Danny Karnik)
  • Week 14 of the NFL season got underway with Thursday’s Pittsburgh Steelers vs Minnesota Vikings game
  • Which betting line has moved the most since opening? What’s the smallest spread of the week?
  • All of the wagering information on every NFL game is listed below

There is line movement and there’s also a movement toward traditional rivalries as Week 14 of the NFL was kicking off on Thursday.

This week’s games include such battles as the NFL’s oldest rivalry, the Chicago Bears and the Green Bay Packers. There’s also an old-school AFL throw down showdown between the Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders.

The names may change but when the Dallas Cowboys clash with the Washington Football Team, what location either team occupies in the standings is irrelevant.

Which games are looking to be the biggest movers and shakers in NFL Week 14 line movement?

Let’s look at that. First, though, check out how the NFL odds are moving for Week 14.

NFL Week 14 Odds

Matchup Opening Spread Current Spread Opening Total Current Total
Steelers vs Vikings MIN-3.5 MIN-4 44.5 43.5
Raiders vs Chiefs KC-8.5 KC-9.5 51.5 47.5
Jaguars vs Titans TEN-10.5 TEN-8.5 44.5 43.5
Saints vs Jets NO-6 NO-5.5 43.5 43
Ravens vs Browns BAL-1.5 CLE-2 43.5 43
Falcons vs Panthers CAR-3 CAR-2.5 44 42.5
Cowboys vs Washington DAL-4.5 DAL-4 49.5 48
Seahawks vs Texans SEA-7 SEA-8.5 43.5 41.5
Lions vs Broncos DEN-8.5 DEN-10 43 42.5
49ers vs Bengals CIN-2 SF-1 47.5 48.5
Giants vs Chargers LAC-10 LAC-9.5 45.5 43
Bills vs Buccaneers TB-3 TB-3 53 53.5
Bears vs Packers GB-12.5 GB-11.5 45.5 43
Rams vs Cardinals ARI-3 ARI-2 52.5 51.5

Odds as of December 9th at FanDuel.

Speaking Of Rematches

If you want to see bad blood and bitterness on display, there’s no better place to start than a game between the Cleveland Browns and Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens used to be the Cleveland Browns, until owner Art Modell spirited them out of town to relocate in the land of crabcakes in 1996.

Adding to that level of spite, there’s also the fact that the Ravens top the AFC North and the Browns are seeking to topple them from that mantle. As well, this is Cleveland’s second straight game against Baltimore. The Ravens and Browns met two weeks ago, then Cleveland enjoyed a bye week.

https://twitter.com/RavensArab/status/1465936533287063556?s=20

Perhaps it has to do with Baltimore’s 20-19 loss last week at Pittsburgh. Whatever the case, the line on this game opened at Ravens -1.5. It’s swung around to Cleveland -2. That 3.5-point turnaround is creating the biggest spread move of Week 14.

It also appears to be ignoring history, Baltimore is 4-0 and 10-2 straight up against Cleveland. The Ravens are also 8-3 against the spread in the last 11 games when facing the Browns. Don’t be surprised to see this line shifting back toward Baltimore before Sunday’s kickoff.

Chiefs Of Big Numbers

Kansas City is used to occupying the place of honor as one of the teams participating in the game with the largest total. For Week 14, though, the Chiefs and Raiders are involved in the largest total movement of the week. And in terms of KC’s usual production, it’s heading in the wrong direction.

The Chiefs and Raiders opened with a total of 51.5 points – about standard for a Kansas City game. Ten of KC’s 12 games this season were featuring a total of over 50 points.

However, that number has since shrunk to 47.5 points. Obviously, it’s being driven by the reality that the Chiefs have gone under two weeks in a row. Not to mention the fact that Kansas City has scored a combined total of 41 points over its last two games.

Switching Favorites

The game with the smallest point spread of Week 14 also is showing a switch in the team that is favored. As well, it involves an AFC North team and a squad from Ohio.

The Cincinnati Bengals opened as two-point home favorites over the San Francisco 49ers. Today, the line is showing San Fran -1.

Undoubtedly, the movement is being spurred by news that Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow is dealing with a dislocated pinky finger on his throwing hand. He suffered the injury in last week’s 41-22 drubbing handed the Bengals by the Los Angeles Chargers.

The Niners also suffered an embarrassing loss last week. They fell 30-23 at Seattle, ending San Fran’s three-game win streak. Evidently, though, they still have the backing of the betting masses.

A Lions-Sized Margin

Their first win of the season isn’t instilling any confidence in the Detroit Lions among NFL oddsmakers. Playing at Denver this week, the Lions opened as 8.5-point road underdogs to the Broncos. That line has since grown to 10 points.

Detroit has only won twice at Denver – in 2011 and 1971. The Lions are 3-1 against the spread this season when lining up as a double-digit point underdog. But the only time Detroit failed to cover was at Green Bay – a place much like Denver in that it is known for its unforgiving climate.

Tiny Total Time

Perhaps it’s because the clock is ticking closer toward postseason play. Whatever the case, oddsmakers are clamping down tight when it comes to totals for Week 14. Nine games are set with totals of 43 points or lower.

The Seattle Seahawks and Houston Texans began the week in that range with a total set at 43.5 points. It’s shrunk to a Week 14-low of 41.5. That’s the lowest total for a Seahawks game since the final week of the 2018 regular season. A Seattle-Arizona game on December 30, 2018 was set with a total of 39.5 points.

The 41.5-point total is reflective of a Seahawks team that’s scoring 19.9 points per game. That rates 22nd in the NFL in scoring offence. The Texans (13.7 ppg) are dead last in the 32-team NFL in this category. Starting QB Tyrod Taylor is also out for Houston.

Which Bills Will Show Up?

Which Buffalo team is coming to Tampa Bay? The 10-point Bills of last week’s loss to the New England? The 31-point Bills from two weeks ago in New Orleans? Or will it be the Buffalo squad that surrendered 41 to the Colts three weeks back?

Oddsmakers are suspecting that it will be one of the latter two teams. The total opened at 53 points for the Bills-Buccaneers. It’s grown to a Week 14-high 53.5.

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