Upcoming Match-ups

Texans vs Chiefs Odds, Lines, and Spread for 2020 NFL Season Opener

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Updated Mar 9, 2021 · 3:19 PM PST

Mahomes
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes warms up before the AFC championship NFL football game against the Buffalo Bills, Sunday, Jan. 24, 2021, in Kansas City, Mo. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs are nine-point home favorites over the visiting Houston Texans as the NFL regular season kicks off Thursday night
  • Kansas City is 8-2 against the spread over the past 10 games
  • KC was an NFL-best .714 (5-2-1) as a home favorite last season. Houston was .571 (4-3) as a road underdog in 2019

The last time the Houston Texans came to Arrowhead Stadium to face the Kansas City Chiefs, they committed one of the most epic fails in NFL history, blowing a 24-0 lead in last year’s divisional playoffs.

The Texans will be seeking redemption in their return trip to KC to kick off the 2020 NFL regular season on Thursday, Sep. 10th (8:20 pm ET).

Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total at DraftKings
Houston Texans +330 +9 (-109) O 54.5 (-110)
Kansas City Chiefs -420 -9 (-112) U 54.5 (-110)

Odds taken Sept. 9th

Thursday’s forecast in Kansas City is calling for 65 degrees with cloudy skies and a minimal 6 mph wind.

Betting Trends

The line has moved slightly for the Texans. Kansas City opened as the 10-point chalk in the Texans vs Chiefs odds. The Chiefs were the NFL’s best home favorite last season, going 5-2-1 for a .714 winning percentage.

The Chiefs won the first-ever TNF game on Nov. 23, 2006, beating the Denver Broncos 19-10. As a home favorite on TNF, KC is 2-2.

Kansas City is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games. The Chiefs are also 11-0 ATS in their last 11 September games. KC is 6-1 ATS over its last seven home games and through the last seven games against AFC opposition.

The Texans are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games. Houston is also 2-4 ATS over the team’s last six visits to Arrowhead Stadium. As well, the Texans are 2-5 SU in their last seven meetings with the Chiefs.

The QBs Got Paid

Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes signed a 10-year contract extension worth $503 million, a record for an NFL QB. Houston counterpart Deshaun Watson was also rewarded with a four-year contract extension valued at $175 million.

While the playoff debacle is the freshest memory for Houston at Arrowhead, it’s easy to forget that Watson led the Texans to a 31-24 victory there last season in Week 6 as 3.5-point underdogs.

Watson utilized both his legs and arm to generate the upset. He rumbled for a pair of touchdowns and also threw for 280 yards, including a TD strike to Duke Johnson.

On the Run

Both teams will debut new running backs who figure to play large roles. Houston dealt All-Pro wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins to the Arizona Cardinals for David Johnson.

In 2016, Johnson rushed for 1,239 yards and led the NFL in touches (373), yards from scrimmage (2,118), and total TDs (20). He was limited to nine starts and 345 yards on the ground last season due to ankle and back injuries.

Kansas City selected LSU back Clyde Edwards-Helaire in the first round of the 2020 NFL Draft. He was a rushing and receiving threat for the national champion Tigers, with 1,414 rushing yards, 55 receptions, and 16 total TDs.

Damien Williams, KC’s leading rusher in 2019, opted out of the season. Edwards-Helaire will be the Chiefs’ feature back.

Get Over It

All signs point to the Chiefs winning here but nine points is a lot to give for a season opener. The total has dropped from 55 to 54 since the line opened.

The total has gone over in six of KC’s last seven September home games. Both Mahomes-Watson meetings last season went over.

Last season, KC captured three of its five home wins by at least 10 points. The Texans defense surrendered an AFC-worst 295.9 passing yards per road game in 2019.

Best Bet: Over 54 (-110)

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