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Stars vs Flames Game 5 Odds and Picks

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NHL Hockey

Updated May 10, 2022 · 10:02 AM PDT

Calgary Flames players celebrating a win over Dallas
May 9, 2022; Dallas, Texas, USA; Calgary Flames goaltender Jacob Markstrom (25) and left wing Johnny Gaudreau (13) and defenseman Nikita Zadorov (16) celebrate the win over the Dallas Stars in game four of the first round of the 2022 Stanley Cup Playoffs at American Airlines Center. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Calgary Flames are -220 home favorites over the Dallas Stars in Game 5 of their first-round series on Wednesday, May 11
  • This best-of-seven series is deadlocked 2-2
  • Below, see the Game 5 Stars vs Flames odds and betting predictions

There’s not been much to choose from between the Calgary Flames and Dallas Stars through four games of their Western Conference opening-round Stanley Cup series.

Each team has won a game by shutout. Dallas has scored two goals or less in three of the four games. Calgary has scored two goals or less in three of the four games.  They’ve each won a game in the other team’s rink.

With the series returning to Calgary, oddsmakers are establishing the Flames as solid -220 favorites. Dallas is 48-38 on the moneyline this season. The Stars offer a return on investment of 8.88%, which is fourth-best among NHL teams.

Stars vs Flames Odds

Team Puck Line Total Moneyline
Dallas Stars +1.5 (-145) O 5.5 (+105) +180
Calgary Flames -1.5 (+125) U 5.5 (-125) -220

Odds as of May 10th at Caesars Sportsbook.

The puck is scheduled to drop inside the Scotiabank Saddledome at 9:30 pm ET. ESPN is carrying the broadcast.

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Dallas vs Calgary NHL Betting Trends

The NHL betting lines show that with a moneyline of -220, the Flames are assigned an implied probability of victory of 68.75%. A successful $10 moneyline wager on the Flames would bring a payout of $14.50.

Stars vs Flames Recent Results

Date Home-Away Moneyline Puck Line Over/Under
4/21/2022 Calgary 4 Dallas 2 CAL CAL Over
5/3/2022 Calgary 1 Dallas 0 CAL DAL Under
5/5/2022 Calgary 0 Dallas 2 DAL DAL Under
5/7/2022 Dallas 4 Calgary 2 DAL DAL Over
5/9/2022 Dallas 1 Calgary 4 CAL CAL Under

Veteran forward Joe Pavelski is pacing the Stars with three goals in the series. Elias Lindholm has tallied three times for the Flames. Pavelski and Calgary center Johnny Gaudreau share the series scoring lead, each with four points.

Calgary’s 54 shots against Dallas are the third-most in a playoff game in franchise history and the most in a contest that did not require overtime. The previous best was 52 in Game 2 of 1989 Division Finals.

Dallas vs Calgary Injury Report

Stars goaltender Braden Holtby is out with a lower-body injury.

The Flames are missing forward Sean Monahan. He’s down with a hip injury.

Flames Finally Get Pucks Past Oettinger

It took 54 shots on goal but the Flames finally found a path to get multiple pucks past Stars netminder Jake Oettinger in Game 4. In his first playoff action as a pro, Oettinger had allowed just three goals through the first three games of the series.

Oettinger is third in the Stanley Cup playoffs in goals-against average (1.53) and second in save percentage (.960).

Stars vs Flames Projected Starting Goalies

Team Goalie Record SV% GAA
Stars Jake Oettinger 2-2 .960 1.53
Flames Jacob Markstrom 2-2 .952 1.27

Calgary’s Jacob Markstrom is matching Oettinger save for save. He stopped 34 shots in the Flames’ Game 4 victory. He’s also a Vezina Trophy finalist.

Markstrom is second in the postseason in GAA (1.27) and third in save percentage (.952).

Stars vs Flames Game 5 Prediction

NHL analytics show that he winner of Game 5 holds an all-time series record of 219-58 (.791), so to say this is a big game is an understatement.

YouTube video

Calgary is an impressive 26-10-7 at home this season. However, the Stars are 8-3 in their last 11 road games against the Flames.

Dating back to the 2012-13 campaign, the Stars boast a 15-7-3 record in their last 25 regular-season meetings with Calgary. Dallas is 4-4 at Calgary in the playoffs.

Pick: Dallas Stars ML (+180)

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