Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Odds & Prediction – DFB-Pokal Semifinals
- It’s Freiburg vs RB Leipzig in the semifinal of the 2022-23 DFB-Pokal on Tuesday, May 2
- A repeat of the 2021-22 final kicks off in the Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg at 2:45 pm ET
- Find our prediction below, where we look at the odds and offer some picks
It’s Freiburg vs RB Leipzig in the semifinal of the DFB-Pokal on Tuesday, May 2. It all kicks off in the Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg at 2:45 pm ET.
Freiburg qualified for this semi by beating the mighty Bayern Munich, while RB Leipzig beat the once-mighty Borussia Dortmund. We preview our Freiburg vs RB Leipzig picks, look at the odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and predictions below.
Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Odds
| Matchup | Moneyline | To Advance to the Final |
|---|---|---|
| Freiburg | +260 | +135 |
| RB Leipzig | +100 | -195 |
| Draw | +250 | N/A |
The bookmakers have Leipzig listed as evens favorites to go through in regular time with an implied win probability of 50%, while Freiburg, with home advantage, are on offer at +260 to win the game with a probability of 28%.
The draw after 90 minutes is priced at +250 in the Freiburg vs RB Leipzig odds and is implied at 29%. RB Leipzig are -195 favorites to advance if it goes to extra time and/or penalties.
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook on April 30.
Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Over/Under and Spread
With the tipping point set at 3.5 goals in the game, the bookies have listed the under at -370 and the over at a far more tempting +250.
Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Preview
In a repeat of last season’s final – won 4-2 by RB Leipzig on penalties after the game ended 1-1 – Freiburg will be hoping their good Bundesliga form will help take them one step further this season and see them lift the trophy for the first time.
The Breisgau-Brasilianer currently sit fourth in the Bundesliga and are currently on course to claim one of the four Champions League places, while improving on their sixth-place finish in 2021-22.
Genießt den Abend, liebe #SCF-Fans! DANKE für eure Unterstützung! 🙌 pic.twitter.com/lnMrBZvQjM
— SC Freiburg (@scfreiburg) April 29, 2023
Freiburg Beat the Mighty Bayern
Freiburg’s route to the semifinal has not been a straightforward one with them needing penalty shootout wins to get through the first two rounds, followed by a more convincing 2-0 victory over Sandhusen in the round-of-16.
Where it got more interesting was in the quarterfinal where they came from behind in the Allianz Arena to sensationally beat Bayern Munich 2-1, thanks to a 95th-minute penalty from Lucas Holer.
When these two met earlier in the season in Leipzig, the home side won 3-1.
UCL Place Still in Reach of Leipzig
RB have struggled over the last couple of seasons to maintain their rivalry with the Bundesliga’s big two – Bayern and Borussia Dortmund – but they still are among the challenging pack and last season managed fourth place which brought with it a place in the Champions League.
This season has been a little bit more difficult for them – they are currently down in fifth – but are only two points behind Freiburg with four games left to play. Their chance of Champions League soccer is still there.
🔟. Scorerpunkt für unsere Nummer 🔟!#RBLTSG #Bundesliga pic.twitter.com/T4E1KO16Nm
— RB Leipzig (@RBLeipzig) April 30, 2023
Impressive Win Over BVB
But for now, all their focus will be on the DFB-Pokal as they look to retain the trophy they won for the first time in 2021-22. Their route to the semifinal has been much more comfortable than Freiburg’s with four comfortable wins, which included an 8-0 thrashing of Teutonia Ottensen in the first round and an impressive 2-0 win over BVB in the quarterfinal.
Home advantage may favor Freiburg but this RB team has plenty of recent experience of big games like this.
Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Team Lineups and Injuries
Freiburg Projected Lineup: Flekken, Gunter, Lienhart, Ginter, Kubler, Hofler, Eggestein, Grifo, Doan, Holer, Gregoritsch.
Injuries & absences: Kyereh, Gulde.
RB Leipzig Projected Lineup: Blaswich, Klostermann, Orban, Gvardiol, Simakan, Laimer, Kampi, Raum, Werner, Forsberg, Nkunku.
Injuries & absences: Gulacsi, Schlager, Schliek.
Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Head-to-Head Stats
| 16-8-6 | Bundesliga Record | 16-6-8 |
| 46 / 37 | Goals For / Against (Bundesliga) | 54 / 37 |
| 8 / 3 | Goals For / Against (DFB-Pokal) | 17 / 1 |
| 2-0 (vs Sandhausen) | Biggest Cup Win | 7-0 (vs Teutonia) |
| 1 | DFB-Pokal finals | 1 |
| DWLWWW | Form Guide (all comps) | LWWWLW |
DFB-Pokal Prediction
Freiburg’s heartbreak in last season’s final will still be fresh in their minds and they will use this as motivation for this semifinal.
While RB have the greater experience, these are two well-matched teams and so home advantage may ultimately be the deciding factor. While they are still in plus money, the value is with Freiburg.
Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Picks: Freiburg to win in 90 mins (+260) / Over 3.5 goals (+250)
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Once just a sports fanatic, fan-turned-writer Gary Gowers has been featured on European television and radio networks to discuss several professional football clubs. His work can be found in an assortment of publications like The Metro, MyFootballWriter.com, and BBC Radio Norfolk.
