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Liga NOS Matchday 29 Odds & Picks: Betting Intrigue Across Portugal

Carlos Verde

by Carlos Verde in Soccer News

Updated Mar 11, 2021 · 10:27 AM PST

Porto vs Sporting
Sporting's Luis Neto, right, and Pedro Porro celebrate after teammate Matheus Nunes scored the opening goal during the Portuguese League soccer match between Sporting CP and Benfica at the Alvalade stadium in Lisbon, Monday, Feb. 1, 2021. Nunes scored once in Sporting's 1-0 victory. (AP Photo/Armando Franca)
  • The title race remains red-hot in Portugal’s Liga NOS entering Matchday 29, with Benfica trailing Porto by three points and both set to hit the road.
  • 6th-place Rio Ave (+245) host 4th-place Braga (+105) in a game with plenty of European intrigue
  • Get all the odds and best bets for Matchday 29 in Portugal below

Porto regained sole possession of first place in Liga NOS last week, as a 4-0 rivalry win over Boavista lifted them clear of Benfica following the latter’s wild 4-3 defeat vs. Santa Clara.

Sergio Conceicao’s league leaders are -233 favorites travelling to Paços Ferreira (+700), while Benfica are tipped at -204 to take all three points home on their visit to Maritimo (+600).

Elsewhere, matches like Aves-Moreirense and Rio Ave-Braga offer value for savvy bettors.

From the top-5 to the relegation zone, there is betting intrigue across the board in Portugal — check out our best betting predictions as we explore Matchday 29.

Liga NOS Matchday 29 Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Boavista pk (-116) +163 O 2 (-105)
Santa Clara pk (-104) +183 U 2 (-115)
Draw N/A +188 N/A
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Aves +0.5 (-109) +280 O 2, 2.5 (+101)
Moreirense -0.5 (-111) -111 U 2, 2.5 (-121)
Draw N/A +235 N/A
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Maritimo +1 (+101) +600 O 2.5, 3 (+105)
Benfica -1 (-121) -204 U 2.5, 3 (-125)
Draw N/A +275 N/A
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Pacos Ferreira +1, 1.5 (-121) +700 O 2.5 (-106)
FC Porto -1, 1.5 (+101) -233 U 2.5 (-114)
Draw N/A +290 N/A
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Famalicao -0.5 (+102) +102 O 2.5 (-120)
Portimonense +0.5 (-122) +245 U 2.5 (+100)
Draw N/A +223 N/A
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Vitoria Guimaraes -1 (-122) -250 O 2.5 (+105)
Vitoria Setubal +1 (+102) +650 U 2.5 (-125)
Draw N/A +325 N/A
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Rio Ave pk, +0.5 (+101) +245 O 2.5 (+100)
Sporting Braga pk, -0.5 (-121) +105 U 2.5 (-120)
Draw N/A +215 N/A
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Belenenses pk (-115) +163 O 2, 2.5 (+105)
Tondela pk (-105) +180 U 2, 2.5 (-125)
Draw N/A +191 N/A
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Sporting Lisbon -1 (-112) -192 O 2.5 (-106)
Gil Vicente +1 (-108) +580 U 2.5 (-114)
Draw N/A +265 N/A

All odds taken June 27

Aves vs Moreirense

The writing is on the wall for Aves (4-2-22) as they enter Monday’s match against Moreirense (8-11-9), as they sit dead-last and 14 points south of safety with 18 possible points left on the board this season.

Every year in Portugal, there seems to be one team that just isn’t able to compete weekly — Feirense last season, Nacional in 2016-17, etc. — and unfortunately Aves have been that side; an 0-1-3 record since the restart has doomed them as other relegation-battle clubs have picked up wins.

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Moreirense are trucking along, solidly mid-table with points in three of their first four games since the COVID break, and have been steady defensively for long stretches this season.

Aves have lost four of their last five at home, and Moreirense has not lost (2-3-0) in their last five road outings.

Pick: Moreirense (-111)

Rio Ave vs Braga

With Braga (15-5-8) somewhat topsy-turvy out of COVID and Rio Ave (12-8-8) having won two of their last three matches, Tuesday’s showdown in Vila do Conde presents an interesting affair.

Oddly, Carlos Carvalhal’s Rio Ave have been more vulnerable at home (4-5-5) than on the road (8-3-3) — and Braga are a very capable team away from home (7-2-5).

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With Tuesday’s visitors chasing Sporting in the race for third, and Rio Ave in a tight race with Famalicao for fifth, it’s a key clash.

It’s worth noting that Rio Ave has won this fixture against Braga in three of the last four years by identical 1-0 scorelines.

Pick: under 2.5 (-120)

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Sporting vs Gil Vicente

Sporting (16-4-8) have sprung to life under expensive new manager Ruben Amorim — lured away from Braga earlier this season — and raced out of the restart with a 3-1-0 record.

Gil Vicente (8-9-11) are enjoying a better return to the top flight than most had likely envisioned, with grizzled boss Vitor Oliveira getting the job done.

However, this should be a wash: Sporting is in excellent form, and is the second-best home win rate (71%) in the Liga; Gil Vicente, on the other hand, have won just three of their 14 road matches (21%) and lost both of their away outings since the restart — against far lesser sides (Maritimo and Portimonense) than Sporting.

Pick: Sporting -1 (-112)

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