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Lyon vs Marseille Odds & Prediction – Ligue 1 Round 14

John Dillon

by John Dillon in Soccer News

Updated Nov 20, 2021 · 5:43 PM PST

Marseille players challenging Metz player
Metz's Kevin N'Doram, center, is challenged by Marseille's Matteo Guendouzi, left, and Marseille's Leonardo Balerdi during the French League One soccer match between Marseille and Metz at the Stade Velodrome stadium in Marseille, Sunday, Nov. 7, 2021. (AP Photo/Daniel Cole)
  • Seventh-placed Lyon protects unbeaten home run in the derby clash at  2:45pm ET on Sunday
  • Marseille is in the fourth spot and is undefeated in its last five league outings
  • See the odds, prediction & best bets for Lyon vs Marseille  – France Ligue 1 Round 14

Marseille will be seeking its first league win at Lyon since 2007-08 when the two southern French giants meet on Sunday.

This derby is known as the Choc Des Olympiques – or the Clash of the Olympics – given that both teams’ names are preceded by the title Olympique.

It is emphatically one of the most keenly-contested rivalries in Ligue 1, although Marseille has won only once in the last 13 collisions of these sides.

Lyon vs Marseille Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline Total
Lyon vs Marseille LYO -0.5 (-115) | MAR +0.5 (-110) LYO -110 | MAR +280 | DRAW +295 Ov 2.5 (-180) | Un 2.5 (+145)

Odds as of November 19 at DraftKings

In fourth place, Marseille is enjoying a better domestic season than its rival outfit.

It will, however, certainly be aiming for an improvement in form after drawing three of its last league fixtures – with one win in that run.

Lyon Thrashed at Rennes

There will, additionally, be a need for improvement for Lyon which was thrashed 4-1 at Rennes in its most recent game before the international break.

Despite that setback and its lower position in seventh place, the oddsmakers at DraftKings surprisingly make Lyon a firm favorite for a home win at -110.

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This obviously reflects results between the two sides in recent years and Marseille’s poor record at Lyon.

A win for Marseille, meanwhile, is priced at +280 with kick-off at 2:45pm ET.

It is the draw, though, which offers the best value here at +295 — with Marseille keeping an impressive six league clean sheets so far.

With just two wins in the last six league fixtures, Lyon is believed to be suffering from fatigue brought on by a successful campaign in the Europa League.

Lyon is unbeaten at home in all competitions this season.

The team has won all four of its fixtures to lead its group; with significant away wins against Glasgow Rangers and Sparta Prague to its credit.

This shows the capabilities of coach Peter Bosz’s side, although it must improve its discipline after receiving five red cards in Ligue 1 already.

Furthermore, it is unbeaten at home in all competitions this season.

https://youtu.be/w9X5SRz0Nls

The home league record of four wins and three draws is thus the third-best in Ligue 1.

However, the side needs to be stronger defensively after conceding 21 goals in its 13 league games so far – winning five, drawing four and losing four while also scoring 21 times.

Moreover, it has not been in the top five places all season.

Nevertheless, only eight of those goals were conceded on its patch.

Things are congested at the top end of the table and, although it is seventh, Lyon’s points tally leaves it only five points adrift of second-placed Lens.

Lyon vs Marseille Statistics

Lyon
VS
Marseille
5 Wins 6
4 Draws 5
4 Losses 2
21 Goals 20
21 Goals Against 12
20 Yellow Cards 21
5 Red Cards 2
2 Clean Sheets 6

Paris St. Germain is undoubtedly running away from the pack in first place with 34 points.

Marseille finds itself in fourth place with its most recent outing a 0-0 home draw against Metz.

With 23 points, it is only one behind second-placed Lens.

Coach Jorge Sampaoli’s team began with a flurry of goals – scoring 12 times in an unbeaten six-game run at the beginning of the campaign.

It has been beaten only twice in the league which backs up the idea that it is strong enough to claim at least a draw this time around at its unhappy hunting ground in Lyon.

Only Two League Defeats for Marseille

Those three draws in the last four matches also support that analysis.

Further to that, Marseille has also drawn all four of its Europa League matches so far.

It is now unbeaten in its last five league matches – with two wins and three draws – again suggesting that the oddsmakers have favored Lyon too strongly.

Conversely to Lyon, Marseille has not been outside of the top five all season.

Moreover, Marseille has the third-best statistics on the road in the league with three wins, two draws and only one defeat.

Things have certainly been tight in those games with seven scored and five conceded.

Since that last Marseille victory at Lyon in November 2007, there have been nine wins for Lyon and six draws in this particular fixture.

Lyon vs Marseille Pick

Both league meetings between these teams last season and in 1-1 draws.

Cameroon forward Karl Toko Ekambi is Lyon’s leading scorer with 10 goals.

Meanwhile, the leading marksman for Marseille is the hugely talented Dimitri Payet with seven goals.

And, in conclusion, Marseille looks to be in solid enough form to claim a draw against a Lyon team that is strong at home but can be limited to just a point here.

Pick: Draw (+295)

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