Sevilla vs Real Madrid Odds & Preview – La Liga Round 32
- Leader Madrid heads to the southern Spanish hotbed in Andalusia at 3:00 pm ET on Sunday
- Ancelotti’s team has a 12-point lead while Sevilla is battling for a UCL qualification place
- See the Sevilla vs Real Madrid odds, best bets & predictions for La Liga Round 32
Real Madrid will seek to strengthen its grip on Spain’s title race when it visits high-flying Sevilla on Sunday.
In first place, Madrid is 12 points ahead of both second-placed Barcelona and third-placed Sevilla – with six rounds of fixtures remaining.
Carlo Ancelotti’s side is, furthermore, in a buoyant mood after advancing to the last four of the Champions League in midweek despite a 3-2 home defeat by Chelsea. It won the last eight tie 5-4 on aggregate.
Sevilla vs Real Madrid Odds
| Result | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| Sevilla | +195 |
| Madrid | +145 |
| Draw | +230 |
Odds as of April 16 at Barstool Sportsbook
Sevilla, meanwhile, has lost just once in its last 17 La Liga games.
However, its lingering title hopes faded away during a spell of four games without a win in March and early April.
Over/Under, Spread
- The total for Sunday’s matchup is set at 2.5, with the over paying out at +104. Barstool offers the opportunity to move the total around, so over 3.5 pays out at +260.
- Sevilla is coming off of a 4-2 win, but across all competitions seven of their last eight matches feature two or fewer goals. Madrid meanwhile, has had a few more high scoring results, going five-for-eight in all competitions.
Madrid Unlikely To Falter In Title Race
It would certainly take a major collapse for Madrid to fail in its aim of regaining the title it lost to Atletico Madrid last season following its most recent triumph in 2020.
With kick-off in southern Spain at 3:00 pm ET, Barstool Sportsbook believes Madrid will continue its march on the crown.
It makes Madrid the favorite for an away win at +145. Sevilla, meanwhile, is priced at +195 with the draw at +230.
That price for the draw is surely attractive because Sevilla still has plenty to play for even if its title hopes are over.
It is in a tight battle to finish in the top four Champions League qualification places – with fourth-placed Atletico Madrid and fifth-placed Real Betis just three points behind.
So every point counts critically at this stage of the season.
Once again, the stunning form of veteran Madrid striker Karim Benzema could be a key factor here.
He has hit no fewer than 38 goals this season – with 24 coming in La Liga.
Furthermore, he has a knack for finding the target in the big games.
Indeed, it was his 96th-minute strike against Chelsea at the Bernabeu last midweek that secured his team’s aggregate victory.
So the Prop offer of +390 for the Frenchman to score first at the Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan looks a compelling one.
Recovery From Barca Hammering
Certainly, Madrid has recovered well since a shock home 4-0 defeat by El Clasico rivals Barcelona on March 20 – which ended an eight-match undefeated run.
Following that setback, Ancelotti’s team won 2-1 at Celta Vigo and then 2-0 at home against Getafe.
Sevilla 🆚 Real Madrid. Tomorrow
⚽ 14 La Liga goals and 7 Assists for VINI this season 🔥 pic.twitter.com/UAm3eRBiuO
— The Football Culture (@m59173145) April 16, 2022
However, it is facing a Sevilla side with a strong home record in La Liga this season.
In 15 fixtures, it has claimed 37 points with 11 wins, four draws and no defeats.
Martial in training for Sevilla, in preparation for Real Madrid 👀 pic.twitter.com/3MSG3Kg7VS
— MartialXtra™️ (@martialxtra_) April 13, 2022
This is the competition’s only undefeated home record.
Madrid, however, has the best record on the road in the competition with 11 wins, two draws and only two defeats.
Sevilla vs Real Madrid Statistics
| 16 | Wins | 22 |
| 12 | Draws | 6 |
| 3 | Losses | 3 |
| 44 | Goals | 63 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 72 | Yellow Cards | 61 |
| 4 | Red Cards | 0 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
Until April 3, Sevilla enjoyed a 15-match unbeaten run in La Liga.
However, it came to an end with a 1-0 defeat at Barcelona.
It has since recovered with a 4-2 home defeat of Andalusian rival Granada last weekend.
There was a 2-1 win for Madrid when these sides met in La Liga last November.
Six-Match Winless Run Against Real For Sevilla
Indeed, Sevilla is enduring a six-match winless run against the giants from the capital.
This is their worst run since a 15-game winless streak which ended in April 2003.
It was also beaten 1-0 at home the last time these sides met in Seville in December 2020 – so Madrid is looking to put together a three-game winning run in the city.
Sevilla is not a prolific goal scorer and has hit the net only 44 times in La Liga – while conceding 22 times.
Its leading scorer, Rafa Mir, has just 11 goals this season.
Meanwhile, the loan signing of striker Anthony Martial from Manchester United has not worked out.
He has scored just once – in the Europa League – since his arrival in January.
Sevilla’s Europa League campaign came to a surprise end when it was beaten 2-1 on aggregate by West Ham United in the last 16.
On the home straight 🏃♂️
🔴⚪️ Sevilla FC vs. ⚪️⚪️ Real Madrid pic.twitter.com/uOec140Jvs
— GOAL India (@Goal_India) April 15, 2022
Contrastingly, Madrid has scored 62 times and is almost as tight defensively as Sevilla, with 26 goals conceded.
Sevilla vs Real Madrid Projected Line-Ups and Injuries
Sevilla Projected Lineup: Bounou; Navas, Kounde, Carlos, Augustinsson; Jordan, Rakitic; Ocampos, Martial, Corona; Rafa Mir
Sevilla Injuries: Regis, Rekik, Suko
Real Madrid Projected Lineup: Courtois; Carvajal, Militao, Alaba, Nacho; Kroos, Camavinga, Modric; Rodrygo, Benzema, Vinicius
Real Madrid Injuries: Casemiro, Marcelo, Mendy, Hazard
Sevilla vs Real Madrid Pick
So, in conclusion, there is much to play for here which makes a draw a powerful possibility.
However, it may be the time to take advantage of Benzema’s superb form and capitalize on the generous prop offer for him to start proceedings on the night.
Pick: Karim Benzema +390 (First Goalscorer)
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John Dillon is a leading member of the UK's sporting media, having spent three decades as a national newspaper soccer and sports writer, broadcaster and author. He has covered five World Cups, six European Championships and was Chief Sports Writer at the Daily Express for 14 years.
