Alexander Bublik vs Casper Ruud Odds & Prediction – Madrid Open Quarterfinals
- Alexander Bublik and Casper Ruud will go head-to-head in the quarterfinals of the Madrid Open tomorrow (May 7th)
- This will only be the second time these two have played each other
- Continue below for the odds and our best bet analysis ahead of the match
It’s down to the final eight in Madrid for men’s single play, and Alexander Bublik and Casper Ruud are two of three unseeded players who have made it to the quarterfinals.
Bublik and Ruud are set to play each other in the third quarterfinal match of the tournament tomorrow, May 7th at 1:00 PM ET. Ruud enters the match as the heavy favorite, as he’s coming off a win against Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Round of 16.
Alexander Bublik vs Casper Ruud Madrid Open Quarterfinal Odds
Player | Spread at DraftKings | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Alexander Bublik | +3.5 (-103) | +240 | Ov 22.5 (+104) |
Casper Ruud | -3.5 (-124) | -335 | Un 22.5 (-130) |
Odds as of May 6th.
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Bublik Reaches Second Masters Quarterfinal of 2021
In just over an hour, Bublik defeated Aslan Karatsev 6-4, 6-3 to reach his second Masters 1000 quarterfinal of 2021. Before 2021, Bublik had never made it pasted the Round of 64 at a Masters 1000 tournament.
The Bublik Show rolls on 💫
Alexander Bublik puts on a serving masterclass to defeat Karatsev 6-4 6-3 and reach his 2nd Masters 1000 quarter-final!#MMOpen pic.twitter.com/00MyR7EfDK
— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) May 6, 2021
In the match against Karatsev, Bublik recorded 14 aces with a 79 win percentage when landing his first serve.
On his route to the quarterfinals, Bublik was also able to send home Denis Shapovalov when he beat the Canadian 6-4, 5-7, 6-4, in the Round of 32 to take a 2-0 head-to-head series lead against him.
Bublik now has a career-high 19 wins in 2021, and we’re only in May. The 23-year old had never won a ATP Masters 1000 match outside Miami, and has now notched three impressive wins against Marton Fucsovic, Shapovalov, and Karatsev.
Ruud’s Biggest Win of His Career
Ruud is expected to make his Top 20 debut in the ranking following his performance here in Madrid. The 22-year is coming off the biggest win of his career, in terms of ranking, as he defeated World No. 5 Stefanos Tsitsipas 7-6(4), 6-4 and booked his spot in the quarterfinals.
Casper Ruud is yet to face a break point this week (!) and gets the biggest win of his career (in terms of ranking) to beat #5 (and in form) Stefanos Tsitsipas 7-6(4), 6-4 and reach the QFs in Madrid.
Top 20 debut expected, gets Bublik tomorrow. pic.twitter.com/ZLffVCGXPp
— José Morgado (@josemorgado) May 6, 2021
In the hour and a half match, the 22-year old Norwegian recorded four aces, while landing 74 percent of his first serve, and earning the one and only service break of the match in the second set.
Ruud took advantage of some uncharacteristic mistakes from Tsitsipas, and has now reached the quarterfinals of his third consecutive clay-court ATP Masters 1000 event.
Head-to-Head & Best Bet
We only have one match to go off between these two young players. The last time they saw each other was back in 2019. Ruud won the Round of 32 match in St. Petersburg 6-7(3), 6-4, 6-2.
Bublik vs Ruud Head-to-Head Stats
44 | ATP Ranking | 22 |
23 | Age | 22 |
0 | Career Titles | 12/5 |
51/51 | Career W/L | 74/58 |
0 | YTD Titles | 0 |
16/11 | YTD W/L | 12/5 |
0 | Head-to-Head Wins | 1 |
It’s expected that Ruud enters this match as the favorite. But he should be prepared for a tight match in the quarterfinals, as Bublik has surprised many of us with his showing here in Madrid.
Like many of these matches, the serve will be a big factor in who wins. Both players have strong serves, but Ruud put on quite the show against Tsitsipas. Not only did he not provide a break point opportunity, he was only taken to deuce once in his 12 service games.
Bublik, like I mentioned earlier recorded 14 aces in his previous match, but managed nine double faults as well. On a court that he considers his least favorite, Bublik will have to tighten up on those double faults if he wants a chance at beating Ruud.
I’m going to give the edge to Ruud as he’s been more consistent, and slightly more successful on the year.
The Pick: Ruud (-335); 2-0 (-113)
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