2018 Open Odds Tracker Archive
- We tracked the odds on the 2018 Open Championship
- If you need them, we’ve archived the page here for you.
The 2018 Open Championship – played at Carnoustie from July 19th to 22nd, is the oldest major tournament in golf. The challenging course, unmatched pedigree, and huge tournament purse attract the very best pro golfers in the world, all of whom try their utmost to lift the claret jug at the end.
The Open Odds Tracker
OWGR Top 5 Betting Tracker
The Open Championship Top 4
These odds from are as of 7/20/2018, after Friday’s round
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Tommy Fleetwood | +600 |
| Rory McIlroy | +700 |
| Zach Johnson | +700 |
| Jordan Spieth | +800 |
The Open Past Winners
These odds are as of 7/18/2018
| Player | Year they Won the Open Championship | 2018 Open Championship Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Johnson | 2015 | +700 |
| Rory McIlroy | 2014 | +700 |
| Jordan Spieth | 2017 | +800 |
| Tiger Woods | 2005 & 2006 & 2000 | +5000 |
| Phil Mickelson | 2013 | +10000 |
| Stewart Cink | 2009 | +20000 |
| Henrik Stenson | 2016 | +25000 |
| Padraig Harrington | 2007 & 2008 | CUT |
| Ernie Els | 2012 & 2002 | CUT |
| Todd Hamilton | 2004 | CUT |
| Mark Calcavecchia | 1989 | CUT |
| Sandy Lyle | 1985 | CUT |
| David Duval | 2001 | WD |
Odds Analysis and Live Updates
6/6/2018: These odds have mostly stayed the same, the only movements are slight. Rory McIlroy moved from +1200 to +100, which isn’t exactly monumental, and everyone else more or less stayed the same.
4/13/2018: Tiger Woods’ odds are too short at +1600, although not by much. He’s had some success this year (although not to the degree the golfing public feverishly anticipated), and is ranked fifth in Strokes Gained. It’s tough to predict how Tiger’s game will match up with Carnoustie, particularly when his play shifts so dramatically. His Masters performance was characterized by strong, consistent drives and inaccurate iron play, which conflicts with the rest of his career. If the always pin-high, occasionally wayward off the tee Tiger shows up to Carnoustie, he’ll have a chance. But big drives and scattershot approaches don’t win many claret jugs.
Like Tiger Woods, Rickie Fowler is also overrated at +1400. The one thing these two have in common is that neither has won a major since Fowler started playing in the PGA. The young American is a darling of these odds lists, he’s among the top ten in all majors futures, but he isn’t quite so popular at the top of leaderboards or advanced stats sheets. For all his well-earned popularity, Fowler doesn’t deliver in terms of betting value.
We all remember Fowler’s heartbreaking 2014, in which he finished in the top 5 at all four majors. Outrights, however, only pay the outright winner. His statistical profile isn’t attractive, so a bet on Rickie is a bet on an unmeasurable ability to “make it happen” at the majors (ignoring, of course, that he has yet to actually “make it happen”).
As with the other majors, Paul Casey is wholly underrated, listed at +4000, currently #1 on the Sagarin rankings, and in the top 20 (just above Jordan Spieth) in Strokes Gained. Alex Noren is also worth a look, as he’s listed at +3300 here, but is fourth in Strokes Gained. Noren appears to be getting more love at the Open than at the other majors – probably because he holds the course record (64) at Carnoustie – but is still likely underrated. We feel pretty comfortable putting money behind a player with great stats, unmatched play on the course, and long odds.
