Survivor 44 Odds and Predictions – Yam Yam Arocho Favored to Win Season
- Survivor season 44 is two weeks in the books on CBS
- Yam Yam Arocho is favorite to win the season over Carson Garrett and Matthew Grinstead-Mayle
- Read below for Survivor season 44 odds, plus our betting pick for who will be crowned champion
Two weeks into Survivor season 44, and the action is already fast and furious with plenty of contestants proving they’re worthy adversaries. Three contestants who won’t win, however, include Bruce Perreault, who was medically evacuated after banging his head in the first challenge. Joining him is Maddy Pomilla, who had the sole vote cast against her that snuffed her torch in the first tribal council. She’s joined by Helen Li, who appeared to have a strong chance to win before being voted off in episode two.
Early contenders to go all the way and be crowned champion include the hilariously entertaining Yam-Yam Arocho. He’s joined by his tribemate Carson Garrett, a NASA engineering student, who ironically enough, engineered the vote to oust Helen. Matthew Grinstead-Mayle has proven to be a tough competitor in both challenges and socially, making him a big threat for the title.
Let’s take a look at the Survivor Season 44 odds to be crowned champion, and offer you our early pick.
Survivor 44 – Odds to Win Season
| Contestant | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yamil “Yam Yam” Arocho | +275 |
| Carson Garrett | +500 |
| Matthew Grinstead-Mayle | +550 |
| Claire Rafson | +750 |
| Heidi Lagares-Greenblatt | +800 |
| Danny Massa | +800 |
| Brandon Cottom | +900 |
| Lauren Harpe | +1200 |
| Matt Blankinship | +1200 |
| Sarah Wade | +1600 |
| Josh Wilder | +1800 |
| Carolyn Wiger | +1800 |
| Frannie Marin | +2000 |
| Kane Fritzler | +2000 |
| Jamie Lynn Ruiz | +2200 |
Odds as of March 10th
The game started with the now typical three tribes of six contestants each, with Soka dominating the early going, along with Tika and Ratu comprising the three units. Tika member Bruce Perreault was medically evacuated on day one, with Maddy Pomilla voted off first on the Ratu tribe, and Helen Li seeing her torch snuffed the following week.
Early Contenders
It’s easy to see why Yam Yam is considered the front runner, with him ingratiating himself well with his Tika tribe with his fun personality and energy. He teamed up with Carolyn to produce an incredibly entertaining duo. She found the clue in the birdcage (a new twist this season), yet nobody on her squad thought she had a hidden idol. With her working with Yam Yam, they could put that idol to use at some point later in the game.
carolyn is living proof that you can find the extremely entertaining personality that was made for tv and that person can *also* be a fan of the game. no notes. perfect casting. #survivor
— jenny (@jennyautumn) March 9, 2023
Carson is the second favorite, with he, Yam Yam and Carolyn voting to eliminate Helen. He’s trained for several Survivor challenges before the game and to this point, hasn’t appeared super threatening, but he’s extremely intelligent. Matthew is an adventurous thrill seeker, who potentially could’ve been medically evacuated in episode one for falling hard on rocks. Despite his arm being in a sling, he proved his mettle in the latest immunity challenge by leading his tribe to victory.
Better Value For Other Survivor 44 Players
Two players that were chosen for the summit in episode one were Lauren (+1200), and Sarah (+1600). Lauren elected in the first installment to ‘bank her vote’ and it proved successful. She was cunning to rig the ‘random rocks’ draw to ensure she went on the summit. Evidently, she’s now able to now have an extra vote in the future. She has a good handle on the game and could steamroll her way through, though she’ll certainly be viewed as a threat.
I love that rock rigging from Lauren. That’s a fantastic quick moment of brilliance. #Survivor
— Peridiam (@BillyGiese) March 2, 2023
Sarah didn’t have a vote at the second tribal council, but now she now has gained the ‘inheritance’ advantage, where she secretly inherits all advantages and idols played at one tribal council. That could prove incredibly beneficial, and she appears to have a steady head about her.
Survivor 44 Winner Pick
As much as I’d love for Carolyn to pull off an epic underdog story en route to victory due to her sheer hilarity, unfortunately, that’s not likely to happen.
Instead, I’ll look to her tribemate Carson to take home the bacon. Even though he couldn’t figure out that Carolyn had the hidden immunity idol, thus far he’s received a solid edit consistent of a winner. If he can keep the fact he’s a rocket scientist under wraps, Carson could do serious damage.
Pick: Carson Garrett (+500)
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Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 16 years, where he's been featured on Sportscentre, That's Hockey, That's Hockey 2Nite, The Masters preview shows, and several more.
