Upcoming Match-ups

2019 WGC-Dell Match Play Quarterfinal Odds & Picks

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in Golf

Updated Mar 30, 2020 · 3:42 PM PDT

Tiger Woods
Three-time champion Tiger Woods is through to the qarterfinals of the WGC-Dell Match Play Championship. Photo from @TaylorMadeGolf (Twitter)
  • Tiger Woods has reached the quarterfinals of the WGC-Dell Match Play Championship
  • Woods has won the event three times
  • Matt Kuchar, the 2013 champ, is also through to the quarterfinals

Tiger Woods is doing Tiger Woods things at the WGC-Dell Match Play Championship. In Saturday morning’s Round of 16, Woods toppled World no. 1 Rory McIroy 2&1 to advance to the afternoon quarterfinals.

Woods will square off with Lucas Bjerregaard in one of the four quarterfinal matches. Just to get through into the Round of 16, Tiger rallied from two-down in his previous match against Patrick Cantlay by tearing up the back nine in six-under par.

Updated 2019 WGC-Dell Match Play Futures

Player Seed (Overall Rank) Odds
Tiger Woods 13 +250
Francesco Molinari 7 +300
Kevin Kisner 48 +550
Matt Kuchar 23 +650
Louis Oosthuizen 19 +700
Sergio Garcia 26 +700
Lucas Bjerregaard 50 +1000
Kevin Na 57 +1000

*Odds taken March 30

Matt Kuchar (2013) is the only other previous winner still remaining in the field.

Is It Tiger Time?

Woods has played well in this event in the past, although not necessarily the recent past. He most recently won the tournament in 2008, and remains the only back-to-back WGC-Dell Match Play champion thanks to his 2003-04 victories.

He also lost in the 2000 final to Darren Clarke. Woods, Jason Day (2014, 2016) and Geoff Ogilvy (2006, 2009) are the only multiple winners of the event.

WGC-Dell Match Play A 50-50 Split

The WGC-Dell Match Play Championship is turning into a Mini Me version of the Ryder Cup. Of the eight remaining contenders, four are American and four are international players.

Woods was joined in the final eight by American golfers Matt Kuchar, Kevin Kisner and Kevin Na. South Africa’s Louis Ooosthuizen, Italy’s Francesco Molinari, Denmark’s Lucas Bjerregaard, and Spain’s Sergio Garcia represent the rest of the world.

American players have taken the past two tournaments. Bubba Watson won the WGC-Dell Match Play Championship in 2018 and Dustin Johnson earned the title in 2017.

McIlroy was the last European winner in 2015. No South African player has ever won the tournament.

Opening Match Play Quarterfinal Odds

Player Moneyline Player Moneyline
Louis Oosthuizen -140 Kevin Kisner +110
Francisco Molinari -120 Kevin Na -110
Tiger Woods -155 Lucas Bjerregaard +120
Matt Kuchar -115 Sergio Garcia -115

Oosthuizen reached the final of this event in 2016.

Don’t Sleep On Kisner

He might not be the fashionable choice when you are considering where to put your money, but Kisner is the only player remaining in the hunt with a recent run of success in this tournament.

Kisner claimed wins over past WGC-Dell Match Play champions Kuchar (2013) and Ian Poulter (2010) en route to the final. But he’ll face a tough quarterfinal test in 2010 British Open champion Oosthuizen, who beat Mark Leishman 2&1 in the Round of 16. He’s 15-under in his last 27 holes.

Still, Kisner rolled past Hao Tong Li 6&5 in his Round of 16 match, so why not ride the hot hand?

Bracket Buster

If this were the 2018 NCAA Tournament, Bjerregaard would be the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers. Much like Dante Hicks, the forlorn convenience store worker in the Kevin Smith cult classic Clerks, quite simply, the Danish player isn’t even supposed to be here today.

Only 1.1% of brackets had Bjerregaard making it to the Round of 16, let alone a quarterfinal showdown against the most famous golfer on the planet.

The only match-play rookie remaining in the field, Bjerregaard never trailed in the Round of 16 against Sweden’s Henrik Stenson, the 2007 winner of this event .

Bjerregaard has proven to be a survivor. He overcame deficits to win his first three matches. But like Loyola-Chicago, eventually, Cinderella’s slipper will no longer fit. Bet on Tiger to eat Danish for lunch.

Who Wins It All?

Woods, the 13-seed, is the chalk right now at +250, and you have to like his chances of running the table. He just took out the 4-seed in McIlroy and the no. 2 (Justin Rose) and no. 10 (Paul Casey) seeds also went by the wayside in the Round of 16.

But if you want to avoid betting a favorite, Molinari is a solid price at +300. The Italian has just four bogeys in 60 holes. He made short work of Casey, beating him 5&4. Molinari is 5-0 lifetime in Ryder Cup play.

He also carries a hot hand, with a recent win at the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Author Image