Braves vs Orioles Odds, Picks, and Probable Pitchers (August 22)
By Robert Duff in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Atlanta Braves are -155 away favorites over the Baltimore Orioles in an MLB inter-league afternoon game slated for Sunday, August 22
- Baltimore has lost 17 games in a row
- Atlanta has won eight games in a row overall and 12-straight on the road
Things have gone so far south for the Baltimore Orioles (38-84, 17-39 home) that even their traditional hoodoo over the Atlanta Braves (67-56, 36-27 away) no longer has any effect. Baltimore suffered its 17th consecutive loss on Sunday, a 5-4 defeat handed them by the Braves at Camden Yards.
Prior to this weekend’s home series with the Braves, the Orioles had won nine of the last 11 from Atlanta. They held an 8-1 advantage through the past nine games played in Baltimore.
Two games into this current three-game set, the Braves have won two in a row in Baltimore for the first time since 2004. They’re poised to sweep the Orioles for the first time since 2005.
Oddsmakers are believing in Atlanta’s ability to do so. The Braves are -155 favorites to win on Sunday. Baltimore is 14-33 as a home underdog this season.
Braves vs Orioles Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | -155 | -1.5 (-115) | O 10 (-115) |
| Baltimore Orioles | -235 | +1.5 (-105) | U 10 (-105) |
Odds as of August 21st at DraftKings
Sunday’s first pitch is set for 1:05pm ET. Clouds are in the forecast, as are 3 mph wind and a temperature of 86 degrees.
Toussaint vs Means
| 2-2 | Record | 5-5 |
| 4.01 | ERA | 3.44 |
| 4.54 | xERA | 4.07 |
| 1.10 | WHIP | 1.01 |
| 3.18 | SO/W Ratio | 5.52 |
Even left-hander Means, among Baltimore more effective players this season, has gone south in this current skid. He’s allowed 10 earned runs over his past two starts, totaling 8.1 innings. That’s an ERA of 10.80. Means took the loss in both starts. He’s also served up five home runs over his past two trips to the mound.
Need a good John Means start or we're beating the 1988 losing streak lol
— Rose Mountkatzle (@NaturallyKatz11) August 17, 2021
Means opened the season 4-0 and has gone 1-5 since. He’s winless at home in his last five starts since April 25. In seven home starts this season, Means is 1-2 with a 5.50 ERA. Means has surrendered multiple home runs in nine of his 18 starts in 2021.
This will be his first career appearance against Atlanta. Means is among the bottom 8% in MLB in maximum exit velocity (115.7). He’s in the top 3% in base on balls percentage (4.2%).
https://twitter.com/___hash___/status/1427461996346232837?s=20
Toussaint got the win in his last start against the Miami Marlins. He allowed three hits and two earned runs over 6.1 innings pitched. In six starts this season, the right-hander has allowed more than three earned runs just once and more than two earned runs twice.
He’s 0-1 with a 16.88 ERA in one career start against the Orioles. In 2.2 innings pitched against Baltimore, Toussaint was roughed up for seven hits and eight runs, five of them earned. He also walked three and surrendered a pair of home runs, while posting a WHIP of 3.75.
That was on September 14, 2020 during a 14-1 Braves loss at Camden Yards.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Orioles Batters | Batting Average vs Toussaint | Braves Batters | Batting Average vs Means |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cedric Mullins | 1.000 | Guillermo Heredia | .333 |
| DJ Stewart | .500 | Jorge Soler | .200 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.000 | N/A | N/A |
Braves centerfielder Gulliermo Heredia is 3-for-6 (.500) when facing Means. Right fielder Jorge Soler is just 1-for-5 (.200) against Means but that one hit was a solo homer.
The streak goes on…
That's right, Ryan Mountcastle loudly extends the longest active hitting streak in baseball! pic.twitter.com/uPW5JYO0lW
— Baltimore Orioles (@Orioles) August 21, 2021
Orioles DH/first baseman Ryan Mountcastle is 2-for-2 (1.000) against Toussaint, including a homer and two RBI. Centerfielder Cedric Mullins is also batting 1.000 off of Toussaint (1-for-1). Outfielder DJ Stewart is 1-for-2 with a homer and three RBI.
Braves vs Orioles Pick
The Orioles are nearing the club record for futility. In 1988, Baltimore opened the season with 21 consecutive losses. That set a franchise record for a losing streak.
The Orioles claimed RHP Chris Ellis off waivers from Tampa Bay, designating struggling RHP César Valdez for assignment.
Mountcastle is riding a 13-game hitting streak. Baltimore right fielder Anthony Santander returned to the lineup after missing one game due to a sore left ankle.
#Braves' William Contreras will catch Touki Toussaint's start on Sunday, Brian Snitker said. Contreras was called up and is in Baltimore now, after Travis d'Arnaud went on the paternity list.
— David O'Brien (@DOBrienATL) August 21, 2021
Just back from the IL, Braves catcher Travis D’Arnaud is out again. He’s been placed on the paternity list.
Reigning NL MVP Freddie Freeman is hitting .357 in August with four homers and 11 RBI. Shortstop Dansby Swanson is batting .360 for the month with four homers and 17 RBI.
Pick: Atlanta Braves (-155)
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Sports Writer
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
