Braves vs Dodgers Game 3 Odds, Picks, and Probable Pitchers
- The Dodgers are -196 home favorites over the Braves in Game 3 of the NLCS
- Charlie Morton (14-6, 3.34) will pitch for the Braves against Walker Buehler (16-4, 2.47)
- A look at the odds and matchups can be found below with a prediction
The Los Angeles Dodgers will try to get back into the National League Division Series when they host the Atlanta Braves in Game 3 at 5:08 pm ET Tuesday at Dodger Stadium.
The Braves (93-74, 47-36 road) won the first two games of the best-of-seven series over the weekend in Atlanta. That gave the Braves five wins in a row and 17 victories in their last 20 games.
The Dodgers (110-60, 60-24 home) have lost back-to-back games for the first time since Sept. 8-9. In between those pair of consecutive losses, Los Angeles went 22-5.
The Dodgers are big favorites in Game 3, which will be televised by TBS.
Braves vs Dodgers Odds
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Atlanta Braves | +164 | +1.5 (-142) | Over 7.5 (-114) |
Los Angeles Dodgers | -196 | -1.5 (+118) | Under 7.5 (-106) |
Odds as of October 18th at FanDuel.
The moneyline has inched up after the Dodgers opened at -187. The low temperature is forecast for 52 degrees with partly cloudy skies and wind from the southwest at 5-10 mph.
Probable Pitchers
Charlie Morton (14-6, 3.34 regular season) will take the mound for the Braves against Walker Buehler (16-4, 2.47).
Both will be working with six days of rest after being asked to pitch on three days of rest in the National League Division Series.
Morton vs Buehler
14-6 | Record | 16-4 |
3.34 | ERA | 2.47 |
3.32 | xERA | 3.08 |
1.04 | WHIP | 0.96 |
3.72 | SO/W | 4.08 |
Morton lasted 3.1 in innings against the visiting Milwaukee Brewers in Game 4 and did not factor in the decision as the Braves went on to clinch the best-of-five series. He gave up two runs on four hits while striking out five and walking two.
In his last six starts, Morton has a 1-2 record despite a fine 2.70 ERA. He has notched 20 quality starts in 35 outings this season, though the Braves are just 18-17 when he takes the hill.
Never doubt Charlie Morton in a big game pic.twitter.com/kkSWk39A9g
— Talkin’ Baseball (@TalkinBaseball_) October 12, 2021
Morton has an 8-4 record with a 3.05 ERA in 16 road starts. In eight starts in the daytime, Morton is 1-2 with a 4.28 ERA.
Morton faced the Dodgers twice in the regular season, going 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA and is 2-2 against them lifetime with a 4.42 ERA in seven games (six starts).
At Dodger Stadium, Morton is 1-1 with a 2.65 ERA in three games (two starts). He famously allowed one run in four relief innings to get the win for the Houston Astros in Game 7 of the 2017 World Series at Chavez Ravine.
Morton has a 7-4 career record in the postseason and a 3.44 ERA in 15 games (14 starts).
Buehler went on short rest in Game 4 against the San Francisco Giants at home and got a no-decision. He allowed one run and three hits in 4.1 innings with four strikeouts and two walks.
Needed to force Game 5 and @buehlersdayoff delivered. pic.twitter.com/2vFmuyNeig
— Los Angeles Dodgers (@Dodgers) October 13, 2021
Buehler won his last two regular season starts but is 0-1 with 3.38 ERA in two postseason starts.
Of Buehler’s 35 starts this year, 28 have been of the quality variety and the Dodgers are 23-12 in those games. He has been very good at home with an 11-2 record and 2.04 ERA in 20 starts and is 5-1 with a 2.45 ERA in six starts during the day.
Against the Braves, Buehler is 3-0 with a 3.06 ERA in six career starts. He faced them once this year in the regular season and had a no-decision Aug. 31 when he yielded two runs in seven innings.
Buehler will be making his 14th postseason start. He is 3-2 with an outstanding 2.50 ERA.
Start for Arcia?
Braves manager Brian Snitker might work utility player Orlando Arcia into the starting lineup as he is 4 for 9 against Buehler with two home runs.
Catcher Travis d’Arnaud is 4 for 8 with a double off Buehler. Center fielder Adam Duvall is 1 for 9, though.
Batting Averages vs Starting Pitchers
Braves Batters | Batting Average vs Buehler | Dodgers Batters | Batting Average vs Morton |
---|---|---|---|
Travis d’Arnaud | .500 | Gavin Lux | .500 |
Orlando Arcia | .444 | Matt Beaty | .500 |
Dansby Swanson | .364 | Justin Turner | .353 |
Ozzie Albies | .267 | Mookie Betts | .300 |
Austin Riley | .250 | Cody Bellinger | .273 |
Joc Pederson | .250 | Albert Pujols | .242 |
Freddie Freeman | .200 | Chris Taylor | .200 |
Adam Duvall | .111 | Trea Turner | .111 |
Guillermo Heredia | .000 | AJ Pollock | .000 |
Ehire Adrianza | .000 | Corey Seager | .000 |
Johan Camargo | .000 | Austin Barnes | .000 |
Will Smith | .000 |
Dodgers third baseman Justin Turner is 6 for 17 versus Morton with two doubles and one homer. Turner is expected to be back in the starting lineup after being limited to a pinch-hitting appearance in Game 2 because of neck soreness.
Justin Turner has started 77 straight postseason games for the Dodgers.
He’s out of the lineup tonight with a neck stinger. pic.twitter.com/A3hvDkqBTA
— B/R Walk-Off (@BRWalkoff) October 17, 2021
Right fielder Mookie Betts has had some success with Morton, going 9 for 30 with two doubles and a homer. However, second baseman Trea Turner (1 for 9), left fielder AJ Pollock (0 for 11) and shortstop Corey Seager (0 for 9) are a combined 1 for 29 against the veteran right-hander.
Braves vs Dodgers Pick
The team have split eight games this season, but the Dodgers have won all three in Los Angeles. They swept a series from the Braves from Aug. 30-Sept. 1.
The Braves walked off the Dodgers for the second night in a row Sunday when Eddie Rosario’s RBI single in ninth inning gave Atlanta a 5-4 victory in Game 4. Rosario had four hits.
Join the celebration. #Walkoff pic.twitter.com/1n1rkGIWuD
— MLB (@MLB) October 18, 2021
The Dodgers were in the same situation in last year’s NLCS against the Braves. They fell behind 2-0 and 3-1 before coming back to win the series and eventually the World Series.
Los Angeles has a veteran team and is tough at home, so don’t expect any panic. The Dodgers will get back in the series with a win.
The Picks: Dodgers moneyline (-196); Under 7.5 (-106)