Braves vs Mets (game one) Odds, Picks & Starting Pitchers (Aug. 12)
- The Atlanta Braves are -166 away favorites over the New York Mets in the first game of a doubleheader on Saturday, August 12
- Atlanta has won three of four road games over the Mets and is 9-2 against the runline in the last 11 meetings between these two NL East rivals
- See the Braves vs Mets odds and picks for Saturday’s matinee
At the outset of the MLB season, a lot of baseball pundits were figuring the NL East winner would come down to a battle between the Atlanta Braves (73-41, 58-56 ATS) and New York Mets (52-63, 45-70 ATS).
Turns out they were half right. While the Braves are the most dominant club in baseball, most MLB teams have enjoyed clubbing the Mets this summer.
A recent house-cleaning that saw six Cy Young Awards depart between Justin Verlander and Max Scherzer was displaying exactly how far south things have gone for New York’s NL franchise.
Braves vs Mets Odds
| Team | Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | -1.5 (+135) | O 9.5 (-105) | -166 |
| New York Mets | +1.5 (-115) | U 9.5 (-115) | +140 |
Oddsmakers don’t see things getting any better in the opener of a twin bill against Atlanta. The Braves are set as -166 away favorites. Atlanta has scored at least three runs in 14 successive games against the Mets.
First pitch on Saturday, August 12, at Citi Field is set for 1:10pm ET. The Mets are an MLB-best 10-3 against the spread as a home underdog this season.
The MLB public betting trends are with the Braves in the opener of this doubleheader. Atlanta is drawing 98% of handle and 73% of bets on the run line splits. Atlanta is 30-27 ATS on the road this season. It’s also all Braves in the moneyline splits. It’s 97% of handle and 83% of bets on Atlanta with his trend. The Braves are leading MLB with a 36-21 road record. On the total of 9.5 runs, the over is the play. It’s getting 90% of handle and 98% of bets. The Braves are 63-48-3 on the total in 2023.
Odds as of August 11 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Claim the FanDuel promo code to get a great bonus on Saturday’s Braves vs Mets game.
Both Pitchers Are Spot Starting Call-Ups
Two years ago, the Mets didn’t protect right-hander Allan Winans in the MLB Rule 5 Draft. Saturday, Winans will be making the second start of his MLB career against the Mets, the team that dealt him to Atlanta two years ago.
Welcome back, Allan Winans! pic.twitter.com/ppdsYjXUlJ https://t.co/2VaQ1HwVav
— Kevin Keneely (@KevinKeneely1) August 11, 2023
Winans was summoned from Triple-A Gwinnett to make a spot start in the opener of this twin bill. He made his MLB debut July 22 in a start against the Milwaukee Brewers. Winans allowed two earned runs and five hits over 4.1 innings and didn’t factor in the decision.
Winans vs Reyes
| 0-0 | Record | 0-1 |
| 4.15 | ERA | 6.14 |
| 2.76 | xERA | 4.58 |
| 1.39 | WHIP | 1.50 |
| 5.00 | SO/W | 2.67 |
It’s deja vu all over again for Mets right-hander Denyi Reyes. He’ll be making his second start of the season and fourth of his MLB career. It’s also his second start in the opener of a doubleheader against the Braves. Reyes was also summoned from the minor leagues to make this spot start.
Mets starters against Braves for tomorrow…
* Game one: Denyi Reyes
* Game two: Jose Quintana— Tim Healey (@timbhealey) August 12, 2023
On May 1, Atlanta chased him after one inning. The Braves roughed him up for five hits and five earned runs during his one inning of work, including a pair of home runs.
He’s 0-1 with a 45.00 ERA against Atlanta. Both Sean Murphy (three-run homer) and Kevin Pillar (two-run homer) took Reyes deep in that game.
Braves vs Mets Prediction
Atlanta is dominating the Mets, with 10 SU wins in the last 11 meetings. Overall, the Braves are 4-1 SU in their last five games.
Braves vs Mets Recent Results
| Date | Home-Away | Moneyline | Run Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2022 | ATL 5 NYM 2 | ATL | ATL | Under |
| 10/01/2022 | ATL 4 NYM 2 | ATL | ATL | Under |
| 10/02/2022 | ATL 5 NYM 3 | ATL | ATL | Under |
| 04/28/2023 | NYM 0 ATL 4 | ATL | ATL | Under |
| 05/01/2023 | NYM 5 ATL 3 | NYM | NYM | Under |
| 05/01/2023 | NYM 8 ATL 9 | ATL | NYM | Under |
| 06/06/2023 | ATL 6 NYM 4 | ATL | ATL | Over |
| 06/07/2023 | ATL 7 NYM 5 | ATL | ATL | Over |
| 06/08/2023 | ATL 13 NYM 10 | ATL | ATL | Over |
| 08/11/2023 | NYM 0 ATL 7 | ATL | ATL | Under |
Atlanta is also hitting the over hard of late. The Braves are 6-1 on the total in their last seven games and 5-1 in their last six road games.
Braves vs Mets Picks: Atlanta Braves ML (-166)
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An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
