Giants vs Reds Predictions, Odds & Props to Target (July 17)

• The Giants vs Reds odds list San Francisco as a -155 moneyline favorite on Monday
• Logan Webb (8-7, 3.14 ERA) toes the rubber for San Fran, while Cincinnati counters with Brandon Williamson (1-2, 5.56 ERA)
• Check out the latest Giants vs Reds predictions, odds and player prop bets below

Over the course of their last two series, the Reds (50-44, 23-24 away) had an opportunity to prove they were playoff ready. Cincinnati sat on top of the NL Central after a red-hot June and early July, but six games later they find themselves two games back of first place Milwaukee.

That’s what will happen when you drop five of six games to a division rival, and online sportsbooks aren’t expecting the Reds to turn things around on Monday. They’ve been pegged as home underdogs against the Giants (52-41, 26-19 away) in the MLB odds, as San Fran gives the ball to ace Logan Webb.

Giants vs Reds Odds

The Giants are currently a -155 moneyline favorite, in a contest with a total of 9.5. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm ET at the Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH, with a sun-cloud mix, and the possibility of thunderstorms in the forecast.

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San Francisco vs Cincinnati Probable Pitchers

San Francisco has won five straight, and has seen its World Series odds shorten to +2800 as a result. Webb was on the hill for the second game of this latest winning streak, throwing an absolute gem against the Rockies. The right-hander pitched a complete game, seven hit shutout, striking out 10 and walking none.

Logan Webb spins the first complete game shutout of his career! pic.twitter.com/wuxJwpWqsQ

— Talkin’ Baseball (@TalkinBaseball_) July 9, 2023

That marked his second straight double-digit strikeout performance, and the second consecutive start in which he’s allowed two or fewer runs. Webb has battled some inconsistent stretches this season, as evident by his 4.70 June ERA, but when he’s on, he’s resembled an NL Cy Young odds candidate.

He’s held opponents to two earned runs or less in 10 starts so far, and accomplished the feat seven times in a row over late April and early May. The 26-year-old appears to have recaptured that form and is catching the Reds bats at just the right time – more on that later.

Webb doesn’t have a ton of experience dealing with the Cincy regulars in the MLB starting lineups, but those who have faced him have not fared well. He’s held current Reds hitters to a .130 average over his MLB tenure, and a woeful .174 slugging percentage.

Webb vs Williamson Stats

Cincinnati will counter with Brandon Williamson. The 25-year-old has had an up and down rookie campaign, seeing far more action than expected thanks to multiple injuries to the Reds rotation.

After an abysmal June, Williamson has looked sharp in two July starts. He limited the Padres to three hits and two runs at the beginning of the month, then allowed just a single hit to Washington last time out. Williamson only got through 3 innings against the Nats due to a weather delay, but looked as good as he has all season.

He struck out four of the 11 batters he faced, and let just three balls leave the infield. Now he’ll face a Giants team that despite their five-game winning streak, hasn’t exactly been tearing the cover off the ball.

Giants vs Reds Predictions

San Fran is averaging only 4.5 runs during their streak, slashing .211/.306/.305 over the last week. No player has clubbed more than one home run over that span, but big slugging numbers aren’t the Giants key to success. They rank well below league average in homers, but boast a top-11 pitching staff.

That unit has been lights out over the last two weeks, with Webb leading the charge. San Fran has yielded an average of less than three runs per contest over their last five games, and have shut out the opposition twice in their last seven outings.

#SFGiants sWWWeep and have won 5 consecutive!!

— San Francisco Giants (@SFGiantsFans) July 16, 2023

Cincy meanwhile, managed only three runs while getting swept over the weekend by Milwaukee, and have been shut out three times in their past four contests. After a torrid June and early July, the Reds are batting .156 in their last six games, with a .260 slugging percentage.

NL ROY odds candidate Elly De La Cruz is hitting .200 over that stretch, while only one of his teammates is hitting north of .300. Cincy’s leading slugger Spencer Steer is 1 for his last 22 at the dish, while second leading slugger Jonathan India is batting .111 over his last five contests.

To make matters worse, the team is striking out at a sky-high rate. The Reds have a 37.6% K rate over the last five games, which spells disaster against Webb given his recent form.

Picks: Under 9.5 (+100), Logan Webb Over 5.5 K’s (-150)