Upcoming Match-ups

Guardians vs Mariners Odds & Predictions (March 31)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Updated Mar 30, 2023 · 8:08 PM PDT

Mariners vs Guardians
Feb 28, 2023; Peoria, Arizona, USA; Seattle Mariners right fielder Teoscar Hernandez (35) beats the tag by Cleveland Guardians second baseman Angel Martinez (79) in the first inning of a spring training game at the Peoria Sports Complex. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Seattle Mariners are -170 home favorites over the Cleveland Guardians in an MLB game scheduled for Friday, March 31
  • Seattle sends sending 2021 AL Cy Young Award-winner Robbie Ray to the mound, while Hunter Gaddis makes his third big-league start for Cleveland
  • Below, find the Guardians vs Mariners odds and predictions for March 31, 2023

The Cleveland Guardians and Seattle Mariners, two American League playoff teams that are both loaded with young stars, are clashing in the opening series of the season.

Cleveland is the defending AL Central champions. Seattle qualified for postseason play as an AL Wild Card team.

It’s the hometown Mariners that oddsmakers are going with in this game. Seattle is a -170 favorite. Cleveland was second in the AL last season against the run line, covering 89 times.

Guardians vs Mariners Odds

Team Run Line Total Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians +1.5 (-145) O 7.5 (-120) +143
Seattle Mariners -1.5 (+122) U 7.5 (+100) -170

First pitch for this game on Friday, March 31, is set for 10:10pm ET at T-Mobile Park. The game will be broadcast on the MLB Network.

 

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When it comes to the MLB public betting splits, the people are divided on the run line. There’s 64% of handle supporting Cleveland, while 52% of bets are going on Seattle. Moneyline splits are unanimously with the Mariners. Seattle is drawing 55% of handle and 59% of bets.

Over/under bettors are leaning toward the under on the total of 7.5 runs. It’s drawing 68% of handle and 56% of bets. Seattle was 32-45-5 on the total at home in 2022. Five of the final seven games played last season between Seattle and Cleveland went under.

With a betting line of +800, Seattle is the #4 pick to win the AL pennant odds. Cleveland is +1400 to win the ALCS and the +125 chalk to earn the AL Central title

Ray Pitcher of Perfection vs Cleveland

It’s a small sample size to be sure, but when Mariners left-hander Robbie Ray is facing the Guardians, his shields are up. He’s 2-0 in four career appearances against Cleveland, with a 0.90 ERA and 0.95 WHIP.

Coming off his 2021 AL Cy Young Award win the the Toronto Blue Jays, Ray’s numbers were showing regression across the board during his first season in Seattle. He led the AL with a 2.48 ERA in 2021. Ray is 6-6 with a 2.97 ERA in 20 career starts in Seattle.

Gaddis vs Ray

Hunter Gaddis
VS
Robbie Ray
0-2 Record 12-12
18.41 ERA 3.71
12.20 xERA 3.59
2.45 WHIP 1.19
1.67 SO/W 3.42

Donning his spectacles as he takes the mound in his Cleveland uniform, Guardians right-hander Hunter Gaddis bears a striking resemblance to Ricky Vaughn. Checking out his stats during a brief MLB tenure, and Gaddis also resembles Vaughn. Well, at least Vaughn’s early work in the baseball cult classic Major League.

In two starts last season for Cleveland, Gaddis was 0-2 with a 12.20 ERA and 18.41 xERA. The 28th-rated prospect in the Cleveland system, Vaughn is drawing the starting assignment in place of the injured Triston McKenzie.

Zunino Has Measure of Ray

Cleveland added catcher Mike Zunino and first baseman Josh Bell to add more pop to a lineup deep in contact hitters. Based on Zunino’s history against Ray, he might be delivering some of that pop very quickly.

In 21 at-bats facing Ray, Zunino is only hitting .238. However, he’s gone deep four times and driven in six runs. Guardians shortstop Amed Rosario is 5-for-10 (.500) off of Ray.

Guardians vs Mariners Recent Results

Date Home-Away Moneyline Run Line Total
06/11/2021 CLE 7 SEA 0 CLE CLE Under
06/12/2021 CLE 5 SEA 4 CLE SEA Over
06/13/2021 CLE 2 SEA 6 SEA SEA Over
08/25/2022 SEA 3 CLE 1 SEA SEA Under
08/26/2022 SEA 3 CLE 2 SEA SEA Under
08/27/2022 SEA 3 CLE 4 CLE CLE Push
08/28/2022 SEA 4 CLE 0 SEA SEA Under
09/02/2022 SEA 6 CLE 1 SEA SEA Under
09/03/2022 SEA 4 CLE 0 SEA SEA Under
09/04/2022 SEA 6 CLE 3 SEA SEA Over

Outfielder AJ Pollock is the only Mariners batter to have faced Gaddis in the big leagues. He’s 0-for-2.

Guardians vs Mariners Pick & Prediction

Seattle was dominating Cleveland last season. The Mariners were 6-1 straight up and 5-2 against the run line. Overall, they’re on a 7-1 SU run against the Guardians entering opening day of the 2023 MLB season.

Couple that with Ray’s dominance of Cleveland and the overall struggles of Gaddis in his brief MLB indoctrination, and it doesn’t bode well for the Guardians

Pick: Seattle Mariners RL -1.5 (+122)

 

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