Dodgers vs Marlins Picks & Odds (Aug 28)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers are -278 away favorites over the Miami Marlins in a National League afternoon game set for Sunday, August 28
- Going back to last season, LA is 5-1 straight up and 4-2 against the spread against Miami
- See the Dodgers vs Marlins odds ahead of Sunday’s match-up
Whatever happens over the next two games between the Miami Marlins (55-71) and Los Angeles Dodgers (87-38), the Marlins can rest assured of one facet. They aren’t going to be swept in the season series.
Prior to Saturday’s 2-1 Marlins victory over the Dodgers, LA were winners of all four games between the two in 2022. In fact, the Dodgers were riding a five-game win streak during which they’d averaged seven runs per game. Saturday’s game marked the first time in seven games with Miami that LA didn’t put at least a six spot on the scoreboard.
Oddsmakers are expecting the axis of this series to tilt back toward LA in Sunday’s game. It’s the Dodgers who are set as solid -278 favorites. LA is 37-22 against the runline as a road favorite this season.
Dodgers vs Marlins Odds
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles Dodgers | -278 | -1.5 (-155) | O 7 (-105) |
Miami Marlins | +222 | +1.5 (+130) | U 7 (-115) |
Odds as of August 27 at Caesars Sportsbook. Get this Caesars Sportsbook bonus code to bet on MLB today
The MLB lineups for these two teams will be ready for the first pitch at loanDepot Park at 12:05 pm ET on Sunday, August 28. Thundershowers, 10 mph wind and a temperature of 87 degrees are in the weather forecast, so expect that the stadium’s retractable roof will be closed.
At odds of -278, the Dodgers have an implied probability of victory of 73.54% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on Los Angeles would create a payout of $13.60.
In the MLB Division odds, the betting line is displaying the Dodgers as the -10000 chalk to win the NL West. The Marlins are at +156467 to take the NL East. In the MLB pennant odds, the Dodgers are +170 favorites to win the National League and the Marlins are at +100000. In the World Series odds, the Dodgers are +350 chalk and the Marlins are +200000.
Dodgers vs Marlins Probable Pitchers
Dodgers left-hander Julio Urias has won his past six road decisions. His last away defeat was on June 12. However, a home loss to the Milwaukee Brewers in his most recent start halted Urias’ win streak at 10 games.
Urias rates among the top 4% of MLB hurlers in hard hit percentage (29.1) and within the top 9% in xERA (2.76), xwOBA (.260) and xwOBAcon (.315). He’s third in the NL in ERA (2.36) and walks & hits per inning (.958), tied for third in wins (13), ninth in winning percentage (.650), sixth in hits per nine innings (6.58), and fifth in bases on balls per nine innings (1.82).
https://twitter.com/RoundnThird/status/1561904600319508481?s=20&t=oZN-ohcSAcU8Q1AQR8HDMw
Urias has served up one home run over his past 37.2 innings pitched. He’s allowed two earned runs or fewer in 12 of his past 14 starts.
Against the Marlins, Urias is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA in two career starts. He’s 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA at Miami.
Urias vs Cabrera Stats
13-7 | Record | 4-1 |
2.36 | ERA | 1.41 |
2.76 | xERA | 2.86 |
0.96 | WHIP | 0.97 |
4.81 | SO/W Ratio | 2.00 |
During the month of August, Marlins right-hander Edward Cabrera is 2-0 in four starts. He hasn’t allowed a single run, earned or unearned. In fact, he hasn’t allowed a run over his past five starts.
Since joining the Miami rotation in June, the Marlins are 5-2 when Cabrera is their starting pitcher. He’s 1-0 with an 0.90 ERA in two home starts.
https://twitter.com/JustBBMedia/status/1561922376488607744?s=20&t=oZN-ohcSAcU8Q1AQR8HDMw
The only factors proving capable of slowing Cabrera down this season are injuries and illness. He lost two weeks to a back ailment and a month to an infection.
Over his past 22.2 innings pitched, Cabrera is showing 28 strikeouts against 10 walks. He’ll be facing the Dodgers for the first time in his two-season MLB career.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
Marlins Batters | Batting Average vs Urias | Dodgers Batters | Batting Average vs Cabrera |
---|---|---|---|
Garrett Cooper | .333 | Freddie Freeman | .000 |
Miguel Rojas | .667 | Chris Taylor | .000 |
Luke Williams | .200 | Trea Turner | .000 |
Miguel Rojas of the Marlins in 2-for-3 (.667) against Urias. Garrett Cooper is 1-for-3.
Miguel Rojas gets it done 😤
RBI single drives in Peyton Burdick, and the Marlins trail 2-1 in the 8th!@Marlins | #MakeItMiami pic.twitter.com/oH2jgz4x2p
— Bally Sports Florida: Marlins (@BallyMarlins) August 24, 2022
Freddie Freeman is the only Dodgers batter to have faced Cabrera previously in an MLB game. He’s 0-for-1.
Dodgers vs Marlins Prediction
Since June 18, the Dodgers are 11-1 SU when Urias is their starting pitcher. However, five of his seven losses have come in consecutive games. He’s endured two and three-game losing streaks.
Sandy Alcantara puts the finishing touches on his FOURTH complete game of the season!#MakeItMiami #AlwaysLA #Marlins #Dodgers #MLB https://t.co/SIhJqKfeMS
— Brian (@byysports) August 28, 2022
Cabrera has gone over a month without allowing a single baserunner to cross home plate. And the Marlins are 5-2 straight up in their past seven home games against the Dodgers
Pick: Miami Marlins (+222)
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