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Nationals vs Rockies Odds and Picks (Sep 29)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Updated Sep 28, 2021 · 8:07 PM PDT

Colorado Rockies third baseman Ryan McMahon throwing to first base
Colorado Rockies third baseman Ryan McMahon throws to first base after fielding a bunt single off the bat of Washington Nationals pinch-hitter Andrew Stevenson in the ninth inning of a baseball game Monday, Sept. 27, 2021, in Denver. The Nationals won 5-4. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
  • The Colorado Rockies are -112 home favorites over the Washington Nationals in a National League afternoon game slated for Wednesday, September 29
  • Entering play Tuesday, Colorado had lost five in a row and seven of eight games
  • Washington was 6-8 on the road during the month of September

Two fourth-place teams playing out the string meet Wednesday for a matinee game as the Colorado Rockies (71-85, 46-33 home) play host to the Washington Nationals (65-92, 30-49 away). The Rockies are fourth in the NL West. The Nationals are fourth in the NL East.

Entering play Tuesday, Washington had won two straight over the Rockies and five of the past eight games. However, Colorado were winners in three of last five meetings.

It’s the Rockies who are being established as slight -112 favorites.  Bettors can access -104 odds on the Nationals should they opt to make a play on the underdog. Washington had won six of the last 10 games played between the two teams in Colorado.

Nationals vs Rockies Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Washington Nationals -104 -1.5 (+136) O 12 (-118)
Colorado Rockies -112 +1.5 (-164) U 12 (-104)

Odds as of September 28th at FanDuel.

First pitch in Wednesday’s game at Coors Field is set for 3:10pm ET at Coors Field. In the weather forecast, there are clouds, 8 mph wind and a temperature of 73 degrees.

Probable Pitchers

Paolo Espino
VS
Peter Lambert
5-5 Record 0-0
4.01 ERA 4.91
4.92 xERA 7.92
1.19 WHIP 1.36
2.73 SO/W Ratio 2.00

Nationals veteran right-hander Espino, 34, will be making his 19th start of the season. He was elevated in the rotation on a full-time basis on June 28. Of his last 17 appearances, 16 were as a starter.

He’s 5-4 with a 4.18 ERA as a starter. He’s gone at least five innings in six straight starts. Espino is 1-0 with a save and a 5.23 ERA in 17 road appearances this season, including seven starts. His barrel percentage of 11.6 is in the bottom 5% of the league.

On September 19, Espino spun 5.2 innings of three-hit, shutout ball against the Rockies. Ultimately, the righty got the win in a 3-0 Washington shutout. That’s his only career appearance against Colorado.

When Rockies right-hander Lambert took the mound on September 24, it was his first MLB start in 735 days. He underwent Tommy John surgery on July 21, 2020.

Lambert worked 3.2 innings and didn’t figure in the decision as Colorado lost 7-2. He surrendered a pair of solo homers among the four hits he allowed. Lambert shows a 9.33 career ERA in five previous September appearances.

https://twitter.com/RoxGifsVids/status/1441610145419522052?s=20

He’s made one career appearance against the Nationals, at Washington on July 23, 2019. Lambert allowed nine hits and three earned runs over 5.1 innings and took the loss in an 11-1 seback. His ERA against the Nats is 5.06.

Lambert is 1-1 with a 7.15 ERA in seven career day game appearances. He’s 2-2 with a 7.04 ERA in 11 career starts at Coors Field.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Rockies Batters Batting Average vs Espino Nationals Batters Batting Average vs Lambert
Charlie Blackmon .500 Riley Adams .000
CJ Cron .000 Alex Avila .000
Yonathan Daza .000 Josh Bell .000
Elias Diaz .000 Alcides Escobar .000
Garrett Hampson .000 Luis Garcia .000
Sam Hilliard .000 Yadiel Hernandez .000
Ryan McMahon .000 Carter Kieboom .000
Dom Nunez .000 Jordy Mercer .000
Brendan Rodgers .333 Keibert Ruiz .000
Rio Ruiz .000 Juan Soto .000
Yoshi Tsutsugo .000 Andrew Stevenson .000
Trevor Story .333 Lane Thomas .000
Raimel Tapia .000 Ryan Zimmerman .000
Colton Welker .000

Rockies rightfielder Charlie Blackmon is 1-for-2 (.500) when facing Espino. Second baseman Brendan Rodgers is 1-for-3 (.333).

https://twitter.com/RoxGifsVids/status/1439677317907992578?s=20

Right fielder Juan Soto is the only Nationals player to previously face Lambert. He’s 0-for-3.

Nationals vs Rockies Pick

When they took the field on Tuesday night to face the Nationals, Colorado had lost five in a row at Coors Field. They’d also lost 10 of their last 11 at home. That being said, only seven MLB teams had posted more home wins than the 46 recorded by the Rockies.

Colorado owns an MLB-best 77.4% success rate (24-7) as a home favorite this season. The Nats are 24-40 (34.4%) as a road underdog.

YouTube video

Rockies second baseman Rodgers was back in the lineup Tuesday, one night after being hit in the batting helmet with a pitch. Rodgers passed all of the MLB concussion protocol tests.

Despite playing in homer-happy Coors Field, Colorado is the #1 under team in MLB. The Rockies have gone under 86 times, or in 57.3% of all games. Washington has gone under in 79 times, or in 52.1% of all games.

Colorado is also MLB’s second-best runline team as a home favorite. The Rockies are 17-14 (54.8%).

Pick: Washington Nationals (-104)

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