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Orioles vs Guardians Odds & Picks (Aug 30)

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball

Updated Aug 29, 2022 · 5:06 PM PDT

Baltimore Orioles celebration
Aug 27, 2022; Houston, Texas, USA; Baltimore Orioles left fielder Anthony Santander (25) celebrates with center fielder Ryan McKenna (26) and right fielder Austin Hays (21) after the Orioles defeated the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Orioles vs Guardians odds favor Cleveland as -155 moneyline favorites on Tuesday, August 30, at 6:10pm ET
  • Baltimore will give the ball to Spenser Watkins (4-4, 3.96 ERA), while Cleveland will counter with Cal Quantrill (10-5, 3.59 ERA)
  • Read below for the Orioles vs Guardians odds and betting prediction

The Baltimore Orioles (67-60, 30-36 away) have to be sad the month of August is coming to a close. Baltimore is 16-9 so far this month, and begin the week just one and a half games out of the final AL Wild Card spot.

After an off day Monday, the O’s will travel to Cleveland to begin a three-game set starting Tuesday versus the Guardians (67-59, 32-25 home). Despite Baltimore’s fine form, it’s Cleveland that drew favorite status in the series opener.

Orioles vs Guardians Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Baltimore Orioles +135 +1.5 (-165) Ov 8 (-120)
Cleveland Guardians -155 -1.5 (+140) Un 8 (+100)

Odds as of August 29 at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars Sportsbook bonus code.

 

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The Guardians opened up as -155 moneyline favorites, in a contest that features a total of 8. First pitch is scheduled at 6:10pm ET at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio, with clear skies and 77 degree game-time temperatures in the forecast.

Baltimore vs Cleveland Probable Pitchers

Cleveland began the week with a two-game lead over Minnesota top the AL Central. Both the Guardians and Orioles are currently longshots in the World Series odds, but have wildly exceeded preseason expectations so far.

Cleveland will give the ball to Cal Quantrill on Tuesday, who’s in the midst of a personal six-game winning streak. Last time out he blanked the Padres over 7 innings, scattering five hits while striking out six.

That marked the third time in four starts he’s pitched at least 6 scoreless innings. Quantrill has a 2.25 ERA in five August starts, with a tidy 23-to-5 strikeout-to-walk rate.

Watkins vs Quantrill Stats

Spenser Watkins
VS
Cal Quantrill
4-4 Record 10-5
3.96 ERA 3.59
1.32 WHIP 1.20
.262 OBA .250
2.0 SO/W Ratio 2.5

Baltimore will counter with Spenser Watkins. The 30-year-old has overcome a rocky first three months of the season and has pitched very well since the start of July.

Last time out, he held the White Sox to two runs and five hits over 6 innings, while striking out five. He’s yielded just three runs total over his past 11.2 innings, and has held the opposition to two runs or less in seven of his past 10 starts.

He’ll never be accused of being a big strikeout pitcher, but he doesn’t allow a lot of walks and he keeps the ball in the yard. He’s coughed up just four home runs in his past 54 innings, while issuing only nine free passes.

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Orioles vs Guardians Betting Analysis

The Orioles enter play on Tuesday having won three of four, and five of their last seven overall. In an era where offense is king, the majority of Baltimore’s recent success has been thanks to their arms.

Their lineup is producing just 3.28 runs per contest during their past seven outings, but the pitching staff has yielded even less than that. The O’s starters have been excellent and their bullpen has arguably been even better. Baltimore relievers rank ninth in WAR, fifth in ERA, third in strand rate and second in ground ball percentage this season.

One O’s batter to keep an eye on though is Cedric Mullins. He’s currently riding an 11-game hitting streak, and is 2-for-4 lifetime against Quantrill with a home run.

Cleveland meanwhile, has had trouble producing runs all season outside of a pair of hitters. Jose Ramirez ranks second in MLB in RBI’s and is a longshot AL MVP odds contender, while Andres Gimenez ranks second in the American League in WAR.

They’re the only Guardian batters who’ve reached 60 RBI, and the only two regulars with an OPS north of .768. Cleveland is top-10 in the Majors in batting average, but ranks below league average in runs per game, slugging, OPS and clutch hitting.

BAL vs CLE Last 10 Meetings

Date Away Team Home Team Score
6/5/22 Guardians Orioles CLE, 3-2
6/4/22 Guardians Orioles BAL, 5-4
6/3/22 Guardians Orioles CLE, 6-3
6/17/21 Orioles Guardians CLE, 10-3
6/16/21 Orioles Guardians CLE, 8-7
6/15/21 Orioles Guardians CLE, 7-2
6/14/21 Orioles Guardians CLE, 4-3
6/6/21 Guardians Orioles BAL, 18-5
6/5/21 Guardians Orioles CLE, 10-4
6/4/21 Guardians Orioles BAL, 3-1

Orioles vs Guardians Pick

Despite a history of high scoring contests over the past two seasons, there’s plenty of reasons to like the under in Tuesday’s matchup.

Both Watkins and Quantrill are pitching as well as they have all year, and both the O’s and Guardians bats are underwhelming.

Baltimore and Cleveland are each among the top-10 most profitable under teams this season, with the O’s seeing 10 of their past 12 games fall short of the total. Not to be outdone, the Guardians are 15-3-2 to the under in their past 20 contests.

Pick: Under 8 (+100)

 

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