Upcoming Match-ups

Orioles vs Blue Jays Odds, Picks and Predictions (June 16)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Updated Jun 15, 2022 · 8:51 PM PDT

Orioles vs Blue Jays Odds
Jun 15, 2022; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (27) is greeted by designated hitter Teoscar Hernandez (37) after hittin a solo home run against the Baltimore Orioles in the fifth inning at Rogers Centre. Mandatory Credit: Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Toronto Blue Jays are solid -250 home favorites over the Baltimore Orioles in an American League afternoon game scheduled for Thursday, June 16
  • Toronto is 8-1 straight up and 6-3 against the runline in the last nine games against Baltimore
  • All of the Orioles vs Blue Jays odds, picks, predictions and best bets are assessed in the story below

In this battle of the birds, the Toronto Blue Jays (37-25, 20-11 home) don’t just beat the Baltimore Orioles (27-37, 12-22 away), the Jays put a beat down on them.

Straight up, Toronto has won eight of nine from Baltimore. The Jays are 6-3 against the runline in that span. In six of those nine games, Toronto has put double digits on the board.

No wonder then that it’s the Blue Jays who are set as solid -250 home favorites for Thursday’s finale of this four-game set with the Orioles. Baltimore is 11-22 SU as a road underdog this season.

First pitch for this Thursday, June 16 game at Rogers Centre is set for 3:07pm ET. Clouds, 12 mph wind and a temperature of 82 degrees are in the weather forecast.

Orioles vs Blue Jays Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Baltimore Orioles +210 +1.5 (+100) O 8.5 (-105)
Toronto Blue Jays -250 -1.5 (-120) U 8.5 (-115)

Odds as of June 16th at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars promo codes.

At odds of -250, the Blue Jays are given an implied probability of victory of 71.43% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on Chicago would deliver a payout of $14.00.

DRAFTKINGS
SPORTSBOOK


Bet $5 on MLB & Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly!

LOCK IN PROMO
CODE: SBD150
CODE: SBD150
MLB SIGNUP PROMO
BET $5
GET $200

GET PROMO

Bucking the oddsmakers, the public is going with Baltimore in the MLB betting trends. The Orioles are getting 88% of the runline action and 83% of the moneyline play. The public is also going big for the under, with 88% of bets backing that outcome.

In the AL Division odds, the Blue Jays are the second betting choice to win the AL East at +285. You can access +10000 odds on the O’s to win the division, should you dare. The World Series odds show the Blue Jays at +950 and the Orioles at +100000.

Baltimore vs Toronto Probable Pitchers

Orioles right-hander Tyler Wells is 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA in his last three starts. In 12 starts this year, he’s only given up three or more earned runs on four occasions. Wells has also worked five or more innings three times in his last four starts after doing so just three times through his first eight starts.

Wells is a disappointing 2-4 with a 4.80 ERA in seven road starts this season. He’s 2-3 with a 5.63 in six starts during day games. As well, Wells is 0-1 with a 21.90 ERA when starting in a domed stadium, so he’d best hope they’ve got the Rogers Centre roof open for this game.

Wells is 1-1 with a 10.80 ERA in six games against the Blue Jays. None of those appearances were starts. He’s pitched just 1.1 innings at the Rogers Centre, allowing no runs.

Wells vs Gausman

Tyler Wells
VS
Kevin Gausman
3-4 Record 5-5
3.86 ERA 2.67
3.45 xERA 3.24
1.08 WHIP 1.19
3.00 SO/W Ratio 7.70

Fortunately for the Blue Jays, right-hander Kevin Gausman is locating his pitches much better than he does major American cities. As the Blue Jays played on the weekend at Detroit, Gausman admitted to shock at discovering the Motor City was directly across the border from Canada.

Gausman rates among the top 4% of MLB pitchers in base on balls percentage (3.4). He also leads the American League in FIP (1.75) and strikeouts to walks ratio (7.70).

An Orioles pitcher from 2003-18, Gausman is facing his old team for the first time. He’s 5-5 with a 3.78 ERA in 18 career appearances at Rogers Centre.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Blue Jays Batters Batting Average vs Wells Orioles Batters Batting Average vs Gausman
Bo Bichette .200 Robinson Chirinos .000
Cavan Biggio .000 Austin Hays .000
Matt Chapman .000 Trey Mancini .000
Santiago Espinal .000 Richie Martin .000
Vladimir Guerrero Jr .250 Jorge Mateo .250
Lourdes Gurriel Jr .667 Ryan McKenna .000
Teoscar Hernandez 1.000 Ryan Mountcastle .000
Alejandro Kirk .000 Cedric Mullins .000
Gabriel Moreno .000 Tyler Nevin .000
George Springer 1.000 Rougned Odor .400
Raimel Tapia .000 Adley Rutschman .000
Bradley Zimmer .000 Kyle Stowers .000

Blue Jays hitters Teoscar Hernandez (2-for-2) and George Springer (1-for-1) are both batting 1.000 against Wells. In Springer’s case, the hit was a two-run homer. Lourdes Gurriel Jr is 2-for-3 (.667) with a homer and 3 RBI.

Baltimore’s Rougned Odor is hitting .400 (6-for-15) when facing Gausman. He’s one of just three Orioles batters to have previously faced Gausman.

Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction

Gausman has lost his last two starts and is 2-4 in his last six trips to the mound. But the Jays have put at least six runs on the board in two of his last three starts.

Wells has already set career highs for wins and for innings pitched in a game (6) this season. However, his road struggles and day game difficulties are hard to overlook.

Pick: Toronto Blue Jays ML (-250)

 

Author Image