Phillies vs Reds Odds, Lines & Spread (Aug 17)
- The Philadelphia Phillies are -160 road favorites over the Cincinnati Reds in a National League afternoon game slated for Wednesday, August 17
- By winning the first two games of this three-game set, Philadelphia has won a series in Cincinnati for the first time since 2012
- Below, see the Phillies vs Reds odds and best bets
It’s taken them a decade but the Philadelphia Phillies (65-51, 33-25 away) have finally got the better of the Cincinnati Reds (45-70, 25-36 home) on the road. Now, the question is whether the Phillies can sweep a series at Cincinnati for the first time since 2011.
Oddsmakers are liking the chances that Philadelphia will be getting out the brooms. The Phillies are established as -160 road favorites. The Reds are 15-25 straight up as a home underdog.
Phillies vs Reds Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies | -160 | -1.5 (+105) | O 8.5 (-115) |
| Cincinnati Reds | +135 | +1.5 (-125) | U 8.5 (-105) |
Odds as of August 16 at Caesars Sportsbook.
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An 11-4 win on Tuesday, coupled with Monday’s 4-3 verdict, already renders Philadelphia the winner of this three-game series. That hadn’t happened since the Phillies took two of three at Cincinnati from Sept. 3-5, 2012. They’d gone 0-7-1 in their previous eight series at Cincinnati.
As they ready to play the final game of the set on Wednesday, the Phillies are looking for a road sweep over the Reds. That most recently occurred when Philadelphia ran the table in a four-game road series against the Reds from Aug. 29-Sept. 1, 2011.
First pitch at Great American Ball Park is set for 12:35pm ET on Wednesday, August 17. Mostly sunny skies with 8 mph wind and a temperature of 82 degrees are in the weather forecast.
At odds of -160, the Phillies have an implied probability of victory of 61.54% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on Philadelphia would deliver a payout of $16.30.
In the MLB Division odds, the betting line is displaying the Phillies as the +1000 third betting option to win the NL East. Cincinnati is the fifth betting choice at +30000 in the NL Central. The MLB pennant odds show Philadelphia at +1300 and the Reds at +100000. In the World Series odds, Philadelphia is +3500 and Cincinnati is +200000.
Philadelphia vs Cincinnati Probable Pitchers
Wednesday’s MLB lineups show a showdown of southpaws in Cincy, as Ranger Suarez takes the mound for the Phillies against rookie Nick Lodolo of the Reds.
Suarez has taken a loss just once since June 13. He’s 4-1 over his past eight starts. Suarez ranks among the top 10% of MLB hurlers in hard hit percentage (30.9).
Ranger Suarez since coming off the IL
28.1 IP
4 Earned Runs
25 KsPhillies are 4-0 with him on the mound. pic.twitter.com/KC01Rxbaiw
— Aidan Doc🧸 (@AidanDoc_) August 13, 2022
Since returning from the IL (lower back spasms) on July 16, Suarez has been pitching lights out. Over his last five starts covering 28.3 innings of work, Suarez has allowed only four earned runs. That works out to an ERA of 1.27.
Suarez has faced the Reds five times previously, including one start. He’s 1-0 with a 2.86 ERA. Suarez is 10-3 with a 2.34 ERA in 38 day-game appearances.
Suarez vs Lodolo Stats
| 8-5 | Record | 3-4 |
| 3.52 | ERA | 4.72 |
| 3.64 | xERA | 4.13 |
| 1.32 | WHIP | 1.66 |
| 2.28 | SO/W Ratio | 2.67 |
Reds rookie left-hander Lodolo is like a lot of Cincinnati’s young pitchers. He’s erratic. In 10 starts, Lodolo has allowed fewer than three earned runs four times. He’s surrendered three or more earned runs in each of his other six starts, including the last two.
In four starts, Lodolo has failed to make it through the fifth inning. That also includes his last two trips to the bump. Lodolo ranks among the bottom 5% of MLB pitchers in wOBA (.372).
Nick Lodolo ends his night with his 6th K pic.twitter.com/JJV1q1kgPQ
— ATBBTTR (@ATBBTTR) August 12, 2022
Control is also an issue for him. Over his last 9.1 innings of work, Lodolo has walked eight and hit two batters.
He’ll be facing the Phillies for the first time in his MLB career. Lodolo is 3-2 with a 3.50 ERA in seven home starts. He’s 2-2 with a 5.96 ERA in five day-game starts.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Phillies Batters | Batting Average vs Lodolo | Reds Batters | Batting Average vs Suarez |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | .000 | Alberto Almora Jr | .000 |
| Nick Castellanos | .000 | Aristides Aquino | .000 |
| Darick Hall | .000 | Jose Barrero | .000 |
| Rhys Hoskins | .000 | Kyle Farmer | .000 |
| Brandon Marsh | .000 | Jake Fraley | .000 |
| Nick Maton | .000 | TJ Friedl | .000 |
| JT Realmuto | .000 | Jonathan India | .000 |
| Kyle Schwarber | .000 | Alejo Lopez | .000 |
| Jean Segura | .000 | Michael Papierski | .000 |
| Edmundo Sosa | .333 | Matt Reynolds | .000 |
| Bryson Stott | .000 | Austin Romine | .000 |
| Garrett Stubbs | .000 | Nick Senzel | 1.000 |
| Matt Vierling | .000 | Joey Votto | .167 |
Edmundo Sosa is the only Phillies batter who’s faced Lodolo in an MLB game. He’s 1-for-3 (.333) with two RBI.
https://twitter.com/BrodesMedia/status/1559331836303736835?s=20&t=C1ML_ZXAIbRf2UxjA4J55g
Cincinnati’s Nick Senzel is 1-for-1 (1.000) batting against Suarez. Joey Votto (1-for-6, .167) is the only other Reds player to hit safely against the Phillies pitcher.
Phillies vs Reds Prediction
Along with his spectacular recency, solid day-game stats and unbeaten status when facing the Reds, the Phillies are also 14-6 this season in games started by Suarez.
https://twitter.com/BrodesMedia/status/1559722148729585664?s=20&t=C1ML_ZXAIbRf2UxjA4J55g
The Reds are 1-7 SU over the past eight games and 1-4 on their current six-game homestead.
Pick: Philadelphia Phillies ML (-160)
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An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
